Teams discovered by an always-on evolutionary search, verified in real Pokémon Showdown battles, and scouted with practice-sim probes. Snapshot generated 2026-09-02 14:09:04 UTC.
Each card leads with four chips, and only four. Rating is the team's Elo on the lab's verified Showdown ladder, with the number of series behind it. Won is its share of verified games. Opposition grades how varied the teams behind that record were — broad, mixed, or narrow. A narrow record is mostly wins over the lab's fixed sparring partners and generalises less than the same number earned against many distinct cores. Gauntlet is the crucible verdict: a verified run against the team's own hardest known counters, shown with the matchup it did worst in. Most teams on this board lose it, and that is the point of running it.
The matchup row leads with the losses. It shows the worst archetype matchups first, then the best, out of the most-played archetypes on file. Everything else — the full matchup list, the sample breakdown, the rating uncertainty, and the practice-sim probes — sits one click down in each card's evidence & detail panel, and the full dossier is behind scout report.
Two kinds of evidence appear here, and they are not equal.
Verified numbers come from real Pokémon Showdown battles played under the current ruleset — the engine the game is actually played on. These are the numbers that count.
Practice sim numbers come from a fast approximate simulator the lab uses to scout habits: which four get picked, who leads, what moves open the game. Good for reading tendencies, but hypotheses only — a practice-sim number is never proof and is always labelled.
Confidence chips grade the verified sample: Strong evidence means 500+ verified games against 8+ different opponents; Established 200+ against 6+; Still developing 60+ against 3+; Early anything less. “Scouting probe out of date” means the habit data was recorded before the latest rules update — the verified record itself is always current.
A “game” is counted from this team’s side of a battle. “Picked” means chosen among the four Pokémon actually brought to a battle — teams register six, only four play.
| search rating | 1813 the lab’s own search ladder. It tracks the verified Elo almost exactly (r≈0.99 across the top 30) and is not evidence — the verified rating above is the one that counts. |
| rating uncertainty | ±45 at the ladder’s floor — this team has played far too many series for the rating to move much, which is true of every team on this board. |
| sample | 25,872 verified games · 641 opponents · 112 distinct cores |
| vs fixed references | 45.9% of games (11,880 of 25,872) games played against the lab’s fixed sparring teams. They count as rating evidence, but a record built mostly on them generalises less. |
| all verified matchups | Milotic (ranked build) 79.9% 576 gamesGholdengo 79.2% 624 gamesRaichu (ranked build) 78.2% 600 gamesStaraptor-Mega 71.7% 576 gamesPelipper (ranked build) 68.8% 696 gamesAerodactyl-Mega 66.5% 648 gamesFarigiraf (ranked build) 66.2% 600 gamesWhimsicott (ranked build) 65.5% 600 gamesFarigiraf 60.2% 648 gamesArchaludon 60.1% 576 gamesSableye (ranked build) 58.2% 576 gamesKingambit 56.0% 648 games |
Excadrill @ Focus Sash Ability: Sand Rush Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 Atk / 32 Spe Adamant Nature - Iron Head - Protect - Rock Slide - Earthquake Basculegion-F @ Life Orb Ability: Adaptability Level: 50 EVs: 4 HP / 14 Def / 16 SpA / 32 Spe Modest Nature - Shadow Ball - Muddy Water - Protect - Ice Beam Gholdengo @ Choice Scarf Ability: Good as Gold Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 SpA / 32 Spe Timid Nature - Shadow Ball - Make It Rain - Reflect - Nasty Plot Talonflame @ Expert Belt Ability: Gale Wings Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 29 Atk / 3 SpD / 32 Spe Impish Nature - Tailwind - Protect - Flare Blitz - Brave Bird Staraptor @ Staraptite Ability: Intimidate Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 Atk / 32 Spe Adamant Nature - Close Combat - Protect - Brave Bird - Roost Garchomp @ Roseli Berry Ability: Sand Veil Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 Atk / 32 Spe Jolly Nature - Protect - Earthquake - Rock Slide - Dragon Claw
Based on 25,872 verified Showdown games under the current rules, against 641 different opponents.
Two kinds of evidence appear here, and they are not equal.
Verified numbers come from real Pokémon Showdown battles played under the current ruleset — the engine the game is actually played on. These are the numbers that count.
Practice sim numbers come from a fast approximate simulator the lab uses to scout habits: which four get picked, who leads, what moves open the game. Good for reading tendencies, but hypotheses only — a practice-sim number is never proof and is always labelled.
Confidence chips grade the verified sample: Strong evidence means 500+ verified games against 8+ different opponents; Established 200+ against 6+; Still developing 60+ against 3+; Early anything less. “Scouting probe out of date” means the habit data was recorded before the latest rules update — the verified record itself is always current.
A “game” is counted from this team’s side of a battle. “Picked” means chosen among the four Pokémon actually brought to a battle — teams register six, only four play.
Basculegion-F
Staraptor ExcadrillWon 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Chosen for the battle in only 17% of 6,762 verified games — a roster slot doing very little work.
Won only 4% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 17% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 21% of 24 verified games against it.
under max scrutiny: vs Farigiraf (engine) 50.0% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs mixed players 50.0% (crucible, real engine)
Basculegion-F carries the hard games: 44.0% WR brought (641 probe games) vs 67.6% benched (37) (it gets sent into the tough matchups — if IT can't win them, nothing on the bench does)
Staraptordefault core100.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Basculegion-Fdefault core94.5%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 95% of games.
Gholdengoflex pick69.2%of games pickedPicked or benched depending on the opponent (69% of games overall); the matchup decides.
Talonflameflex pick55.3%of games pickedPicked or benched depending on the opponent (55% of games overall); the matchup decides.
Excadrillspecialist43.5%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 44% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
Garchompspecialist37.5%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 37% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
| Pokémon | verdict | picked | wins when picked / benched | swing | verified games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excadrill |
role player | 23.9% (1,619/6,762) | 65.5% (1,619) / 68.2% (5,143) | -3pp ±1 | 6,762 |
| Basculegion-F |
core pick | 98.8% (6,680/6,762) | 67.6% (6,680) / 61.0% (82) | +7pp ±6 | 6,762 |
| Gholdengo |
core pick | 93.0% (6,291/6,762) | 67.7% (6,291) / 65.6% (471) | +2pp ±2 | 6,762 |
| Talonflame |
rarely picked | 17.0% (1,152/6,762) | 67.5% (1,152) / 67.6% (5,610) | 0pp ±2 | 6,762 |
| Staraptor |
core pick | 99.9% (6,756/6,762) | 67.5% (6,756) / 83.3% (6) | -16pp ±20 | 6,762 |
| Garchomp |
role player | 67.3% (4,550/6,762) | 68.0% (4,550) / 66.7% (2,212) | +1pp ±1 | 6,762 |
node cli.js roster-ablate <team> <slot>.| Pokémon | picked | leads when picked | opening moves | share of team’s KOs | share of damage | wins when picked / benched |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Staraptor |
100.0% | 99.9% | closecombat 67.4% bravebird 18.5% |
33.8% | 33.6% | 45.3% / — |
| Basculegion-F |
94.5% | 37.8% | shadowball 45.5% icebeam 33.5% |
29.3% | 24.4% | 44.0% / 67.6% |
| Gholdengo |
69.2% | 40.9% | makeitrain 58.3% shadowball 32.8% |
11.7% | 17.6% | 31.8% / 75.6% |
| Excadrill |
43.5% | 5.8% | earthquake 47.1% ironhead 47.1% |
10.3% | 10.2% | 39.3% / 49.9% |
| Talonflame |
55.3% | 50.9% | flareblitz 41.9% bravebird 24.1% |
7.7% | 7.5% | 53.9% / 34.7% |
| Garchomp |
37.5% | 14.6% | earthquake 64.9% dragonclaw 29.7% |
7.1% | 6.7% | 67.7% / 31.8% |
StaraptorleadTalonflameleadBasculegion-Fin backGholdengoin backStaraptor most often opens Close Combat (38% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Talonflame most often opens Flare Blitz (35% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 23.3% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Talonflame Staraptor Excadrillbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Basculegion-Fbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Gholdengobacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Reflect
Talonflameleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Garchompbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Basculegion-FleadStaraptorleadGarchompin backTalonflamein backBasculegion-F most often opens Shadow Ball (98% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (85% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 89.4% over 47 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Basculegion-F Staraptor Excadrillbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Basculegion-Fleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Gholdengobenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect
Talonflamebacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Tailwind
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Garchompbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
GholdengoleadStaraptorleadBasculegion-Fin backExcadrillin backGholdengo most often opens Make It Rain (52% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (87% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 48.4% over 31 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Gholdengo Staraptor Excadrillbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Basculegion-Fbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Gholdengoleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect
Talonflamebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Tailwind
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Garchompbencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
GholdengoleadStaraptorleadBasculegion-Fin backExcadrillin backGholdengo most often opens Make It Rain (91% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (88% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 16.7% over 33 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Gholdengo Staraptor Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Basculegion-Fbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Gholdengoleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect
Talonflamebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Garchompbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
GholdengoleadStaraptorleadBasculegion-Fin backExcadrillin backGholdengo most often opens Shadow Ball (58% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Brave Bird (97% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 46.6% over 59 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Gholdengo Staraptor Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Basculegion-Fbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Gholdengoleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Reflect
Talonflamebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Garchompbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
StaraptorleadTalonflameleadBasculegion-Fin backGholdengoin backStaraptor most often opens Close Combat (92% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Talonflame most often opens Flare Blitz (53% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 22.0% over 59 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Talonflame Staraptor Excadrillbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Basculegion-Fbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Gholdengobacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect
Talonflameleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Garchompbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
GholdengoleadStaraptorleadBasculegion-Fin backExcadrillin backGholdengo most often opens Make It Rain (87% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (83% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 22.3% over 47 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Gholdengo Staraptor Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Basculegion-Fbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Gholdengoleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect
Talonflamebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Garchompbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Basculegion-FleadStaraptorleadGarchompin backTalonflamein backBasculegion-F most often opens Shadow Ball (65% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (55% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 74.2% over 31 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Basculegion-F Staraptor Excadrillbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Basculegion-Fleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Gholdengobenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Reflect
Talonflamebacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Tailwind
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Garchompbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
| search rating | 1792 the lab’s own search ladder. It tracks the verified Elo almost exactly (r≈0.99 across the top 30) and is not evidence — the verified rating above is the one that counts. |
| rating uncertainty | ±45 at the ladder’s floor — this team has played far too many series for the rating to move much, which is true of every team on this board. |
| sample | 25,372 verified games · 540 opponents · 164 distinct cores |
| vs fixed references | 39.3% of games (9,976 of 25,372) games played against the lab’s fixed sparring teams. They count as rating evidence, but a record built mostly on them generalises less. |
| all verified matchups | Kingambit 78.1% 384 gamesRaichu (ranked build) 77.8% 288 gamesPelipper (ranked build) 69.4% 288 gamesFarigiraf (ranked build) 69.0% 336 gamesMilotic (ranked build) 68.5% 432 gamesFarigiraf 66.7% 312 gamesGholdengo 62.1% 456 gamesAerodactyl-Mega 61.5% 408 gamesStaraptor-Mega 54.2% 288 gamesSylveon 53.5% 288 gamesWhimsicott (ranked build) 51.4% 360 gamesAerodactyl (ranked build) 41.2% 456 games |
Hydreigon @ Choice Scarf Ability: Levitate Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 4 Def / 32 SpA / 28 Spe Modest Nature - Dark Pulse - Draco Meteor - Snarl - Earth Power Talonflame @ Sharp Beak Ability: Gale Wings Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 28 Atk / 4 Def / 4 SpD / 28 Spe Jolly Nature - Tailwind - Protect - Flare Blitz - Brave Bird Swampert @ Swampertite Ability: Torrent Level: 50 EVs: 29 HP / 29 Atk / 2 Def / 6 Spe Adamant Nature - Protect - Wave Crash - Ice Punch - Earthquake Corviknight @ Leftovers Ability: Mirror Armor Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 32 SpD / 2 Spe Jolly Nature - Brave Bird - Tailwind - Roost - Iron Head Pelipper @ Focus Sash Ability: Drizzle Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 SpA / 32 Spe Timid Nature - Hurricane - Tailwind - Weather Ball - Wide Guard Archaludon @ Wise Glasses Ability: Stamina Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 1 Def / 5 SpA / 22 SpD / 6 Spe Bold Nature - Electro Shot - Flash Cannon - Protect - Reflect
Based on 25,372 verified Showdown games under the current rules, against 540 different opponents.
Two kinds of evidence appear here, and they are not equal.
Verified numbers come from real Pokémon Showdown battles played under the current ruleset — the engine the game is actually played on. These are the numbers that count.
Practice sim numbers come from a fast approximate simulator the lab uses to scout habits: which four get picked, who leads, what moves open the game. Good for reading tendencies, but hypotheses only — a practice-sim number is never proof and is always labelled.
Confidence chips grade the verified sample: Strong evidence means 500+ verified games against 8+ different opponents; Established 200+ against 6+; Still developing 60+ against 3+; Early anything less. “Scouting probe out of date” means the habit data was recorded before the latest rules update — the verified record itself is always current.
A “game” is counted from this team’s side of a battle. “Picked” means chosen among the four Pokémon actually brought to a battle — teams register six, only four play.
Archaludon Pelipper Corviknight
SwampertWon 100% of 40 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 0% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 0% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 0% of 24 verified games against it.
under max scrutiny: vs Incineroar (engine) 40.0% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs mixed players 50.0% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs nash players 43.8% (crucible, real engine)
Swampertdefault core100.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Pelipperdefault core100.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Archaludondefault core95.3%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 95% of games.
Hydreigonflex pick51.5%of games pickedPicked or benched depending on the opponent (52% of games overall); the matchup decides.
Corviknightflex pick51.5%of games pickedPicked or benched depending on the opponent (52% of games overall); the matchup decides.
Talonflamespecialist1.7%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 2% of games.
| Pokémon | verdict | picked | wins when picked / benched | swing | verified games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hydreigon |
role player | 65.9% (7,414/11,244) | 64.6% (7,414) / 62.0% (3,830) | +3pp ±1 | 11,244 |
| Talonflame |
matchup specialist | 3.5% (396/11,244) | 73.5% (396) / 63.4% (10,848) | +10pp ±3 | 11,244 |
| Swampert |
core pick | 100.0% (11,240/11,244) | 63.7% (11,240) / 25.0% (4) | +39pp ±25 | 11,244 |
| Corviknight |
role player | 36.6% (4,117/11,244) | 61.0% (4,117) / 65.3% (7,127) | -4pp ±1 | 11,244 |
| Pelipper |
core pick | 100.0% (11,244/11,244) | 63.7% (11,244) / never benched | — | 11,244 |
| Archaludon |
core pick | 94.0% (10,565/11,244) | 63.8% (10,565) / 62.9% (679) | +1pp ±2 | 11,244 |
node cli.js roster-ablate <team> <slot>.| Pokémon | picked | leads when picked | opening moves | share of team’s KOs | share of damage | wins when picked / benched |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swampert |
100.0% | 45.0% | wavecrash 68.5% earthquake 14.1% |
39.5% | 40.8% | 52.4% / — |
| Archaludon |
95.3% | 56.6% | flashcannon 35.0% electroshot 29.7% |
28.7% | 24.9% | 52.8% / 45.2% |
| Pelipper |
100.0% | 99.1% | weatherball 57.5% tailwind 19.7% |
14.4% | 19.0% | 52.4% / — |
| Hydreigon |
51.5% | 3.5% | dracometeor 50.0% darkpulse 50.0% |
12.5% | 12.0% | 53.4% / 51.4% |
| Corviknight |
51.5% | 0.0% | — | 4.6% | 3.0% | 51.3% / 53.6% |
| Talonflame |
1.7% | 9.1% | bravebird 100.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 36.4% / 52.7% |
ArchaludonleadPelipperleadCorviknightin backSwampertin backArchaludon most often opens Protect (17% of its leads) — it scouts the opening and preserves board position.
Pelipper most often opens Tailwind (43% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Record with this lead pair: 62.5% over 48 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Pelipper Archaludon Hydreigonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Snarl
Talonflamebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Swampertbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Corviknightbacka frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Pelipperleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Tailwind + Wide Guard + rain setter
Archaludonleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Reflect
PelipperleadSwampertleadArchaludonin backHydreigonin backPelipper most often opens Weather Ball (95% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Swampert most often opens Wave Crash (70% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 55.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Swampert Pelipper Hydreigonbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Snarl
Talonflamebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Tailwind
Swampertleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Corviknightbencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; offers Tailwind
Pelipperleada frequent selection in this matchup; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Tailwind + Wide Guard + rain setter
Archaludonbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect
PelipperleadSwampertleadArchaludonin backHydreigonin backPelipper most often opens Weather Ball (93% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Swampert most often opens Wave Crash (100% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 65.1% over 43 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Swampert Pelipper Hydreigonbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Snarl
Talonflamebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Tailwind
Swampertleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Corviknightbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Tailwind
Pelipperleada frequent selection in this matchup; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Tailwind + Wide Guard + rain setter
Archaludonbacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect
ArchaludonleadPelipperleadCorviknightin backSwampertin backArchaludon most often opens Flash Cannon (53% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Pelipper most often opens Weather Ball (58% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 12.8% over 47 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Pelipper Archaludon Hydreigonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Snarl
Talonflamebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Swampertbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Corviknightbacka frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Pelipperleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Tailwind + Wide Guard + rain setter
Archaludonleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect
ArchaludonleadPelipperleadHydreigonin backSwampertin backArchaludon most often opens Electro Shot (62% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Pelipper most often opens Hurricane (85% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 40.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Pelipper Archaludon Hydreigonbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Snarl
Talonflamebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Swampertbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Corviknightbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Pelipperleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Tailwind + Wide Guard + rain setter
Archaludonleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Reflect
ArchaludonleadPelipperleadCorviknightin backSwampertin backArchaludon most often opens Electro Shot (84% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Pelipper most often opens Weather Ball (55% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 65.5% over 55 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Pelipper Archaludon Hydreigonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Snarl
Talonflamebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Swampertbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Corviknightbacka frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Pelipperleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Tailwind + Wide Guard + rain setter
Archaludonleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect
ArchaludonleadPelipperleadCorviknightin backSwampertin backArchaludon most often opens Flash Cannon (48% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Pelipper most often opens Weather Ball (68% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 61.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Pelipper Archaludon Hydreigonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Snarl
Talonflamebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Swampertbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Corviknightbacka frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Pelipperleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Tailwind + Wide Guard + rain setter
Archaludonleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect
PelipperleadSwampertleadArchaludonin backHydreigonin backPelipper most often opens Weather Ball (27% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Swampert most often opens Wave Crash (57% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 45.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Swampert Pelipper Hydreigonbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Snarl
Talonflamebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Tailwind
Swampertleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Corviknightbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Tailwind
Pelipperleada frequent selection in this matchup; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Tailwind + Wide Guard + rain setter
Archaludonbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Reflect
| search rating | 1797 the lab’s own search ladder. It tracks the verified Elo almost exactly (r≈0.99 across the top 30) and is not evidence — the verified rating above is the one that counts. |
| rating uncertainty | ±45 at the ladder’s floor — this team has played far too many series for the rating to move much, which is true of every team on this board. |
| sample | 25,644 verified games · 669 opponents · 77 distinct cores |
| vs fixed references | 78.1% of games (20,016 of 25,644) games played against the lab’s fixed sparring teams. They count as rating evidence, but a record built mostly on them generalises less. |
| practice-sim score | 44.1% ≈53.0% calibrated the fast simulator’s own guess — a hypothesis, not a result. it currently reads about 9 points cold versus real Showdown. |
| hidden-teams Bo3 (sim) | 61.1% practice-sim best-of-3 with team sheets hidden — a habit probe. |
| any-pilot floor | 29.9% worst result across several competent play styles; the styles disagree by 17 points. A team only a perfect pilot can win with scores low here. |
| surprise bonus | +8 pts how much more it wins when its sets are hidden, on the same opponents. |
| all verified matchups | Incineroar 92.5% 360 gamesangrypnuts (tournament team) 82.6% 408 gamesarsalpuri (tournament team) 75.5% 384 gamesfrancescopiopero (tournament team) 73.5% 528 gamesStaraptor-Mega 62.5% 360 gamesKingambit 52.5% 360 gamesAerodactyl-Mega 50.0% 360 gamesqu1ck (tournament team) 46.3% 456 gamesFarigiraf 40.0% 360 gamesArchaludon 37.5% 360 gamesSylveon 27.5% 360 gamesjackg (tournament team) 15.8% 480 games |
Aegislash @ Leftovers Ability: Stance Change Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 31 Atk / 3 Spe Impish Nature - King's Shield - Iron Head - Shadow Sneak - Poltergeist Staraptor @ Staraptite Ability: Intimidate Level: 50 EVs: 29 HP / 1 Atk / 4 SpD / 32 Spe Jolly Nature - Close Combat - Protect - Brave Bird - Roost Excadrill @ Focus Sash Ability: Sand Rush Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 Atk / 32 Spe Impish Nature - Iron Head - Protect - Rock Slide - Earthquake Tyranitar @ Choice Scarf Ability: Sand Stream Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 Atk / 32 Spe Impish Nature - Rock Slide - Knock Off - Low Kick - Earth Power Garganacl @ Sitrus Berry Ability: Purifying Salt Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 2 Def / 32 SpD Careful Nature - Salt Cure - Wide Guard - Recover - Protect Bellibolt @ Expert Belt Ability: Electromorphosis Level: 50 EVs: 30 HP / 11 Def / 7 SpA / 18 SpD Modest Nature - Endure - Protect - Soak - Thunderbolt
Based on 25,644 verified Showdown games under the current rules, against 669 different opponents.
Two kinds of evidence appear here, and they are not equal.
Verified numbers come from real Pokémon Showdown battles played under the current ruleset — the engine the game is actually played on. These are the numbers that count.
Practice sim numbers come from a fast approximate simulator the lab uses to scout habits: which four get picked, who leads, what moves open the game. Good for reading tendencies, but hypotheses only — a practice-sim number is never proof and is always labelled.
Confidence chips grade the verified sample: Strong evidence means 500+ verified games against 8+ different opponents; Established 200+ against 6+; Still developing 60+ against 3+; Early anything less. “Scouting probe out of date” means the habit data was recorded before the latest rules update — the verified record itself is always current.
A “game” is counted from this team’s side of a battle. “Picked” means chosen among the four Pokémon actually brought to a battle — teams register six, only four play.
Staraptor Tyranitar Bellibolt ExcadrillWon 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 0% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 8% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 8% of 24 verified games against it.
under max scrutiny: vs Kingambit (engine) 52.5% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs Farigiraf (engine) 40.0% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs Sylveon (engine) 27.5% (crucible, real engine)
Staraptordefault core100.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Tyranitardefault core100.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Excadrilldefault core99.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 99% of games.
Belliboltdefault core82.8%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 83% of games.
Aegislashspecialist18.2%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 18% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
Garganaclspecialist0.0%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 0% of games.
| Pokémon | verdict | picked | wins when picked / benched | swing | verified games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aegislash |
role player | 23.7% (5,106/21,540) | 56.1% (5,106) / 59.2% (16,434) | -3pp ±1 | 21,540 |
| Staraptor |
core pick | 100.0% (21,533/21,540) | 58.5% (21,533) / 28.6% (7) | +30pp ±19 | 21,540 |
| Excadrill |
pulls its weight | 97.2% (20,928/21,540) | 58.9% (20,928) / 43.8% (612) | +15pp ±2 | 21,540 |
| Tyranitar |
core pick | 100.0% (21,540/21,540) | 58.5% (21,540) / never benched | — | 21,540 |
| Garganacl |
matchup specialist | 1.4% (311/21,540) | 69.1% (311) / 58.3% (21,229) | +11pp ±3 | 21,540 |
| Bellibolt |
core pick | 77.7% (16,742/21,540) | 58.5% (16,742) / 58.5% (4,798) | 0pp ±1 | 21,540 |
node cli.js roster-ablate <team> <slot>.| Pokémon | picked | leads when picked | opening moves | share of team’s KOs | share of damage | wins when picked / benched |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excadrill |
99.0% | 2.4% | ironhead 75.0% protect 12.5% |
30.3% | 29.6% | 37.6% / 0.0% |
| Staraptor |
100.0% | 99.3% | closecombat 84.1% protect 8.7% |
27.0% | 35.0% | 37.2% / — |
| Tyranitar |
100.0% | 98.4% | knockoff 51.3% rockslide 20.3% |
20.7% | 14.7% | 37.2% / — |
| Bellibolt |
82.8% | 0.0% | — | 16.6% | 17.7% | 38.4% / 31.7% |
| Aegislash |
18.2% | 0.0% | — | 5.4% | 3.0% | 29.9% / 38.9% |
| Garganacl |
0.0% | 0.0% | — | 0.0% | 0.0% | — / 37.2% |
StaraptorleadTyranitarleadBelliboltin backExcadrillin backStaraptor most often opens Close Combat (75% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Knock Off (73% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 44.2% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Tyranitar Aegislashbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Garganaclbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Wide Guard
Belliboltbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
StaraptorleadTyranitarleadBelliboltin backExcadrillin backStaraptor most often opens Close Combat (87% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Rock Slide (42% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 71.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Tyranitar Aegislashbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Garganaclbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Wide Guard
Belliboltbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
StaraptorleadTyranitarleadBelliboltin backExcadrillin backStaraptor most often opens Close Combat (98% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Knock Off (83% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 28.3% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Tyranitar Aegislashbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Garganaclbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Wide Guard
Belliboltbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
StaraptorleadTyranitarleadBelliboltin backExcadrillin backStaraptor most often opens Close Combat (97% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Knock Off (82% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 16.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Tyranitar Aegislashbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Garganaclbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Wide Guard
Belliboltbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
StaraptorleadTyranitarleadAegislashin backExcadrillin backStaraptor most often opens Close Combat (80% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Rock Slide (45% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 21.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Tyranitar Aegislashbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Garganaclbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Wide Guard
Belliboltbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
StaraptorleadTyranitarleadBelliboltin backExcadrillin backStaraptor most often opens Close Combat (87% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Rock Slide (5% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 11.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Tyranitar Aegislashbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Garganaclbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Wide Guard
Belliboltbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
StaraptorleadTyranitarleadBelliboltin backExcadrillin backStaraptor most often opens Close Combat (98% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Knock Off (83% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 21.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Tyranitar Aegislashbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Garganaclbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Wide Guard
Belliboltbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
StaraptorleadTyranitarleadBelliboltin backExcadrillin backStaraptor most often opens Close Combat (55% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Knock Off (60% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 40.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Tyranitar Aegislashbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Garganaclbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Wide Guard
Belliboltbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
| search rating | 1783 the lab’s own search ladder. It tracks the verified Elo almost exactly (r≈0.99 across the top 30) and is not evidence — the verified rating above is the one that counts. |
| rating uncertainty | ±45 at the ladder’s floor — this team has played far too many series for the rating to move much, which is true of every team on this board. |
| sample | 23,836 verified games · 755 opponents · 78 distinct cores |
| vs fixed references | 80.2% of games (19,108 of 23,836) games played against the lab’s fixed sparring teams. They count as rating evidence, but a record built mostly on them generalises less. |
| all verified matchups | arsalpuri (tournament team) 86.7% 188 gamesangrypnuts (tournament team) 79.6% 240 gamesux9p70xuw8yanagitpoke (tournament team) 76.6% 192 gamesKingambit 76.2% 168 gamesdryster (tournament team) 72.9% 288 gamesFarigiraf (ranked build) 71.4% 192 gamesFarigiraf 56.0% 168 gameskardeas (tournament team) 51.4% 212 gamesqu1ck (tournament team) 49.8% 624 gamesjackg (tournament team) 41.9% 456 gamesfrancescopiopero (tournament team) 41.6% 308 games8pjewg3e9k1803gi (tournament team) 31.1% 360 games |
Serperior @ Sitrus Berry Ability: Contrary Level: 50 EVs: 3 HP / 32 SpA / 31 Spe Timid Nature - Leaf Storm - Protect - Glare - Reflect Victreebel @ Life Orb Ability: Chlorophyll Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 14 Def / 20 SpD Jolly Nature - Leaf Storm - Poison Jab - Knock Off - Protect Tyranitar @ Choice Scarf Ability: Sand Stream Level: 50 EVs: 32 Atk / 2 SpD / 32 Spe Adamant Nature - Rock Slide - Knock Off - Ice Punch - Low Kick Lycanroc @ Focus Sash Ability: Sand Rush Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 Atk / 32 Spe Adamant Nature - Rock Slide - Close Combat - Protect - Accelerock Corviknight @ Leftovers Ability: Mirror Armor Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 25 Def / 9 Spe Impish Nature - Brave Bird - Roost - Tailwind - Body Press Blastoise @ Blastoisinite Ability: Rain Dish Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 2 Def / 28 SpA / 4 SpD Modest Nature - Water Spout - Dark Pulse - Aura Sphere - Fake Out
Based on 23,836 verified Showdown games under the current rules, against 755 different opponents.
Two kinds of evidence appear here, and they are not equal.
Verified numbers come from real Pokémon Showdown battles played under the current ruleset — the engine the game is actually played on. These are the numbers that count.
Practice sim numbers come from a fast approximate simulator the lab uses to scout habits: which four get picked, who leads, what moves open the game. Good for reading tendencies, but hypotheses only — a practice-sim number is never proof and is always labelled.
Confidence chips grade the verified sample: Strong evidence means 500+ verified games against 8+ different opponents; Established 200+ against 6+; Still developing 60+ against 3+; Early anything less. “Scouting probe out of date” means the habit data was recorded before the latest rules update — the verified record itself is always current.
A “game” is counted from this team’s side of a battle. “Picked” means chosen among the four Pokémon actually brought to a battle — teams register six, only four play.
Blastoise Tyranitar Corviknight LycanrocWon 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Chosen for the battle in only 17% of 23,324 verified games — a roster slot doing very little work.
Chosen for the battle in only 14% of 23,324 verified games — a roster slot doing very little work.
Won only 0% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 13% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 13% of 24 verified games against it.
predictable preview: Blastoise + Tyranitar leads 99.4% of games (678 of 682 probe games) — a scouted opponent can counter-lead it
Tyranitar is glass: faints in 97.1% of its 682 probe games — it must trade up before going down
biggest problem mon: Garchomp (219 KOs across 210 losses) · Charizard (204 KOs across 198 losses) · Archaludon (114 KOs across 55 losses) — bring the designated answer or ban the matchup
Blastoisedefault core100.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Tyranitardefault core100.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Corviknightdefault core92.1%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 92% of games.
Lycanrocflex pick74.8%of games pickedPicked or benched depending on the opponent (75% of games overall); the matchup decides.
Victreebelspecialist24.6%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 25% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
Serperiorspecialist8.5%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 9% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
| Pokémon | verdict | picked | wins when picked / benched | swing | verified games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serperior |
rarely picked | 14.3% (3,346/23,324) | 59.7% (3,346) / 65.4% (19,978) | -6pp ±1 | 23,324 |
| Victreebel |
rarely picked | 17.3% (4,033/23,324) | 55.7% (4,033) / 66.4% (19,291) | -11pp ±1 | 23,324 |
| Tyranitar |
core pick | 100.0% (23,318/23,324) | 64.6% (23,318) / 50.0% (6) | +15pp ±20 | 23,324 |
| Lycanroc |
pulls its weight | 79.9% (18,630/23,324) | 66.9% (18,630) / 55.1% (4,694) | +12pp ±1 | 23,324 |
| Corviknight |
core pick | 88.6% (20,660/23,324) | 64.9% (20,660) / 61.6% (2,664) | +3pp ±1 | 23,324 |
| Blastoise |
core pick | 99.9% (23,309/23,324) | 64.6% (23,309) / 60.0% (15) | +5pp ±13 | 23,324 |
node cli.js roster-ablate <team> <slot>.| Pokémon | picked | leads when picked | opening moves | share of team’s KOs | share of damage | wins when picked / benched |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blastoise |
100.0% | 100.0% | waterspout 97.9% darkpulse 0.4% |
30.7% | 37.2% | 59.0% / — |
| Lycanroc |
74.8% | 0.0% | — | 22.2% | 17.6% | 59.1% / 58.7% |
| Corviknight |
92.1% | 0.5% | bravebird 33.3% | 21.1% | 15.9% | 62.1% / 23.1% |
| Tyranitar |
100.0% | 99.4% | rockslide 56.9% icepunch 6.0% |
20.7% | 24.6% | 59.0% / — |
| Victreebel |
24.6% | 0.6% | protect 100.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 55.7% / 60.1% |
| Serperior |
8.5% | 0.0% | — | 1.6% | 1.6% | 34.5% / 61.3% |
BlastoiseleadTyranitarleadCorviknightin backLycanrocin backBlastoise most often opens Water Spout (97% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Rock Slide (78% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 95.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Tyranitar Blastoise Serperiorbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Reflect
Victreebelbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Lycanrocbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Corviknightbacka frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Blastoiseleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Fake Out
BlastoiseleadTyranitarleadCorviknightin backLycanrocin backBlastoise most often opens Water Spout (100% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Rock Slide (3% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 21.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Tyranitar Blastoise Serperiorbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect
Victreebelbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Lycanrocbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Corviknightbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Tailwind
Blastoiseleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Fake Out
BlastoiseleadTyranitarleadCorviknightin backLycanrocin backBlastoise most often opens Water Spout (100% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Rock Slide (100% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 85.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Tyranitar Blastoise Serperiorbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect
Victreebelbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Lycanrocbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Corviknightbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Tailwind
Blastoiseleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Fake Out
BlastoiseleadTyranitarleadCorviknightin backLycanrocin backBlastoise most often opens Water Spout (100% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Rock Slide (100% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 92.5% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Tyranitar Blastoise Serperiorbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect
Victreebelbencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Lycanrocbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Corviknightbacka frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Blastoiseleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Fake Out
BlastoiseleadTyranitarleadLycanrocin backSerperiorin backBlastoise most often opens Water Spout (98% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Rock Slide (88% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 8.3% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Tyranitar Blastoise Serperiorbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; offers Reflect
Victreebelbencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Lycanrocbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Corviknightbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Blastoiseleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Fake Out
BlastoiseleadTyranitarleadCorviknightin backLycanrocin backBlastoise most often opens Water Spout (100% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Ice Punch (2% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 55.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Tyranitar Blastoise Serperiorbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect
Victreebelbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Lycanrocbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Corviknightbacka frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Blastoiseleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Fake Out
BlastoiseleadTyranitarleadCorviknightin backLycanrocin backBlastoise most often opens Water Spout (100% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Rock Slide (100% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 61.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Tyranitar Blastoise Serperiorbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect
Victreebelbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Lycanrocbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Corviknightbacka frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Blastoiseleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Fake Out
BlastoiseleadTyranitarleadCorviknightin backLycanrocin backBlastoise most often opens Water Spout (98% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Knock Off (28% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 59.2% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Tyranitar Blastoise Serperiorbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Reflect
Victreebelbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Lycanrocbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Corviknightbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Tailwind
Blastoiseleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Fake Out
| search rating | 1766 the lab’s own search ladder. It tracks the verified Elo almost exactly (r≈0.99 across the top 30) and is not evidence — the verified rating above is the one that counts. |
| rating uncertainty | ±45 at the ladder’s floor — this team has played far too many series for the rating to move much, which is true of every team on this board. |
| sample | 16,182 verified games · 391 opponents · 88 distinct cores |
| vs fixed references | 55.2% of games (8,928 of 16,182) games played against the lab’s fixed sparring teams. They count as rating evidence, but a record built mostly on them generalises less. |
| practice-sim score | 72.0% ≈80.9% calibrated the fast simulator’s own guess — a hypothesis, not a result. it currently reads about 9 points cold versus real Showdown. |
| hidden-teams Bo3 (sim) | 86.1% practice-sim best-of-3 with team sheets hidden — a habit probe. |
| any-pilot floor | 57.1% worst result across several competent play styles; the styles disagree by 10 points. A team only a perfect pilot can win with scores low here. |
| surprise bonus | +3 pts how much more it wins when its sets are hidden, on the same opponents. |
| all verified matchups | qu1ck (tournament team) 97.0% 168 gamesIncineroar 92.5% 160 gamesfrancescopiopero (tournament team) 83.0% 176 gamesGholdengo 72.5% 160 gamesFarigiraf 67.5% 160 gamesjackg (tournament team) 65.6% 288 gamesKingambit 62.5% 160 gamesSylveon 60.0% 160 gamescrf0satqllinfppoke (tournament team) 48.3% 240 gamesAerodactyl-Mega 35.0% 160 gamesStaraptor-Mega 32.5% 160 gamesArchaludon 30.0% 160 games |
Feraligatr @ Life Orb Ability: Sheer Force Level: 50 EVs: 29 HP / 15 Atk / 22 SpD Careful Nature - Liquidation - Ice Punch - Aqua Jet - Rock Slide Staraptor @ Staraptite Ability: Intimidate Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 Atk / 32 Spe Jolly Nature - Close Combat - Protect - Brave Bird - Roost Salazzle @ Focus Sash Ability: Corrosion Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 28 SpA / 4 SpD / 32 Spe Timid Nature - Fake Out - Sludge Bomb - Dragon Cheer - Heat Wave Ninetales @ Choice Scarf Ability: Drought Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 4 Def / 29 SpA / 31 Spe Modest Nature - Heat Wave - Solar Beam - Overheat - Fake Tears Meowstic-F @ Expert Belt Ability: Infiltrator Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 7 Def / 20 SpD / 7 Spe Calm Nature - Psychic - Thunderbolt - Dark Pulse - Protect Typhlosion @ Charcoal Ability: Flash Fire Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 SpA / 32 Spe Sassy Nature - Eruption - Scorching Sands - Protect - Heat Wave
Based on 16,182 verified Showdown games under the current rules, against 391 different opponents.
Two kinds of evidence appear here, and they are not equal.
Verified numbers come from real Pokémon Showdown battles played under the current ruleset — the engine the game is actually played on. These are the numbers that count.
Practice sim numbers come from a fast approximate simulator the lab uses to scout habits: which four get picked, who leads, what moves open the game. Good for reading tendencies, but hypotheses only — a practice-sim number is never proof and is always labelled.
Confidence chips grade the verified sample: Strong evidence means 500+ verified games against 8+ different opponents; Established 200+ against 6+; Still developing 60+ against 3+; Early anything less. “Scouting probe out of date” means the habit data was recorded before the latest rules update — the verified record itself is always current.
A “game” is counted from this team’s side of a battle. “Picked” means chosen among the four Pokémon actually brought to a battle — teams register six, only four play.
Feraligatr Staraptor Ninetales TyphlosionWon 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Chosen for the battle in only 4% of 14,742 verified games — a roster slot doing very little work.
Chosen for the battle in only 9% of 14,742 verified games — a roster slot doing very little work.
Won only 4% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 4% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 8% of 24 verified games against it.
under max scrutiny: vs Archaludon (engine) 30.0% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs Staraptor-Mega (engine) 32.5% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs Aerodactyl-Mega (engine) 35.0% (crucible, real engine)
Feraligatrdefault core100.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Staraptordefault core100.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Ninetalesdefault core100.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Typhlosiondefault core81.1%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 81% of games.
Salazzlespecialist18.9%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 19% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
Meowstic-Fspecialist0.0%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 0% of games.
| Pokémon | verdict | picked | wins when picked / benched | swing | verified games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feraligatr |
core pick | 99.8% (14,715/14,742) | 61.4% (14,715) / 51.9% (27) | +10pp ±10 | 14,742 |
| Staraptor |
core pick wins less when picked, but it sat out only 14 times — too few benched games to judge, so no flag |
99.9% (14,728/14,742) | 61.4% (14,728) / 92.9% (14) | -31pp ±13 | 14,742 |
| Salazzle |
rarely picked | 9.4% (1,385/14,742) | 63.2% (1,385) / 61.2% (13,357) | +2pp ±1 | 14,742 |
| Ninetales |
pulls its weight | 98.7% (14,544/14,742) | 61.7% (14,544) / 36.9% (198) | +25pp ±4 | 14,742 |
| Meowstic-F |
rarely picked | 4.2% (614/14,742) | 48.0% (614) / 62.0% (14,128) | -14pp ±2 | 14,742 |
| Typhlosion |
core pick | 88.1% (12,982/14,742) | 61.5% (12,982) / 60.8% (1,760) | +1pp ±1 | 14,742 |
node cli.js roster-ablate <team> <slot>.| Pokémon | picked | leads when picked | opening moves | share of team’s KOs | share of damage | wins when picked / benched |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feraligatr |
100.0% | 80.2% | liquidation 45.7% icepunch 39.8% |
44.7% | 39.8% | 61.1% / — |
| Staraptor |
100.0% | 99.7% | closecombat 57.7% bravebird 31.8% |
22.8% | 30.4% | 61.1% / — |
| Ninetales |
100.0% | 20.1% | solarbeam 42.2% overheat 40.7% |
20.3% | 17.5% | 61.1% / — |
| Typhlosion |
81.1% | 0.0% | — | 9.1% | 9.5% | 57.0% / 78.7% |
| Salazzle |
18.9% | 0.0% | — | 3.1% | 2.8% | 78.7% / 57.0% |
| Meowstic-F |
0.0% | 0.0% | — | 0.0% | 0.0% | — / 61.1% |
FeraligatrleadStaraptorleadNinetalesin backSalazzlein backFeraligatr most often opens Ice Punch (87% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (52% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 93.5% over 31 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Feraligatr Staraptor Feraligatrleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Salazzlebacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Fake Out
Ninetalesbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers sun setter
Meowstic-Fbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Typhlosionbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
FeraligatrleadStaraptorleadNinetalesin backTyphlosionin backFeraligatr most often opens Liquidation (95% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (85% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 83.3% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Feraligatr Staraptor Feraligatrleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Salazzlebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Fake Out
Ninetalesbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers sun setter
Meowstic-Fbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Typhlosionbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
FeraligatrleadStaraptorleadNinetalesin backTyphlosionin backFeraligatr most often opens Liquidation (71% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (88% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 66.1% over 56 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Feraligatr Staraptor Feraligatrleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Salazzlebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Fake Out
Ninetalesbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers sun setter
Meowstic-Fbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Typhlosionbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
FeraligatrleadStaraptorleadNinetalesin backSalazzlein backFeraligatr most often opens Ice Punch (92% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (53% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 78.4% over 37 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Feraligatr Staraptor Feraligatrleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Salazzlebacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; offers Fake Out
Ninetalesbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers sun setter
Meowstic-Fbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Typhlosionbencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four
NinetalesleadStaraptorleadFeraligatrin backTyphlosionin backNinetales most often opens Overheat (62% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Brave Bird (100% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 29.2% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Ninetales Feraligatrbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Salazzlebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Fake Out
Ninetalesleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sun setter
Meowstic-Fbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Typhlosionbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
FeraligatrleadStaraptorleadNinetalesin backTyphlosionin backFeraligatr most often opens Ice Punch (88% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (70% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 29.3% over 58 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Feraligatr Staraptor Feraligatrleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Salazzlebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Fake Out
Ninetalesbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers sun setter
Meowstic-Fbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Typhlosionbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
FeraligatrleadStaraptorleadNinetalesin backTyphlosionin backFeraligatr most often opens Rock Slide (77% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (58% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 56.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Feraligatr Staraptor Feraligatrleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Salazzlebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Fake Out
Ninetalesbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers sun setter
Meowstic-Fbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Typhlosionbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
FeraligatrleadStaraptorleadNinetalesin backTyphlosionin backFeraligatr most often opens Liquidation (87% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (65% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 51.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Feraligatr Staraptor Feraligatrleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Salazzlebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Fake Out
Ninetalesbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers sun setter
Meowstic-Fbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Typhlosionbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
| search rating | 1763 the lab’s own search ladder. It tracks the verified Elo almost exactly (r≈0.99 across the top 30) and is not evidence — the verified rating above is the one that counts. |
| rating uncertainty | ±45 at the ladder’s floor — this team has played far too many series for the rating to move much, which is true of every team on this board. |
| sample | 25,706 verified games · 681 opponents · 93 distinct cores |
| vs fixed references | 77.5% of games (19,928 of 25,706) games played against the lab’s fixed sparring teams. They count as rating evidence, but a record built mostly on them generalises less. |
| all verified matchups | angrypnuts (tournament team) 92.3% 336 gamesqu1ck (tournament team) 89.7% 456 gamesGholdengo 85.0% 440 gamesAerodactyl-Mega 85.0% 440 gamesIncineroar 75.0% 440 gamesArchaludon 67.5% 440 gamesFarigiraf 52.5% 440 gamesfrancescopiopero (tournament team) 48.6% 348 gamesSylveon 45.0% 440 gamesKingambit 42.5% 440 gamesStaraptor-Mega 25.0% 440 gamesarsalpuri (tournament team) 17.7% 396 games |
Arcanine-Hisui @ Focus Sash Ability: Rock Head Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 Atk / 32 Spe Adamant Nature - Flare Blitz - Head Smash - Extreme Speed - Protect Pidgeot @ Pidgeotite Ability: Keen Eye Level: 50 EVs: 4 Def / 32 SpA / 1 SpD / 29 Spe Timid Nature - Hurricane - Heat Wave - Protect - Tailwind Leafeon @ Life Orb Ability: Chlorophyll Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 Atk / 32 Spe Adamant Nature - Solar Blade - Knock Off - Leaf Blade - Detect Steelix @ Lum Berry Ability: Sturdy Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 32 Atk / 2 Def Adamant Nature - Earthquake - High Horsepower - Heavy Slam - Bulldoze Staraptor @ Staraptite Ability: Intimidate Level: 50 EVs: 29 HP / 1 Atk / 4 SpD / 32 Spe Jolly Nature - Close Combat - Protect - Brave Bird - Roost Ninetales @ Choice Scarf Ability: Drought Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 SpA / 32 Spe Bold Nature - Heat Wave - Solar Beam - Overheat - Fake Tears
Based on 25,706 verified Showdown games under the current rules, against 681 different opponents.
Two kinds of evidence appear here, and they are not equal.
Verified numbers come from real Pokémon Showdown battles played under the current ruleset — the engine the game is actually played on. These are the numbers that count.
Practice sim numbers come from a fast approximate simulator the lab uses to scout habits: which four get picked, who leads, what moves open the game. Good for reading tendencies, but hypotheses only — a practice-sim number is never proof and is always labelled.
Confidence chips grade the verified sample: Strong evidence means 500+ verified games against 8+ different opponents; Established 200+ against 6+; Still developing 60+ against 3+; Early anything less. “Scouting probe out of date” means the habit data was recorded before the latest rules update — the verified record itself is always current.
A “game” is counted from this team’s side of a battle. “Picked” means chosen among the four Pokémon actually brought to a battle — teams register six, only four play.
Ninetales Staraptor Arcanine-Hisui LeafeonWon 100% of 40 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 40 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Chosen for the battle in only 11% of 19,320 verified games — a roster slot doing very little work.
Wins 54% of verified games when it plays (7,142 games) versus 64% when it is benched (12,178). A pattern from matchup choices, not proof — roster-ablate is the definitive test.
Won only 4% of 96 verified games against it.
Won only 4% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 8% of 24 verified games against it.
under max scrutiny: vs Kingambit (engine) 42.5% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs Farigiraf (engine) 52.5% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs Sylveon (engine) 45.0% (crucible, real engine)
Ninetalesdefault core99.6%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Staraptordefault core99.4%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 99% of games.
Arcanine-Hisuidefault core80.4%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 80% of games.
Leafeondefault core78.5%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 78% of games.
Pidgeotspecialist39.2%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 39% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
Steelixspecialist3.0%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 3% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
| Pokémon | verdict | picked | wins when picked / benched | swing | verified games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arcanine-Hisui |
role player | 74.6% (14,407/19,320) | 61.7% (14,407) / 56.2% (4,913) | +5pp ±1 | 19,320 |
| Pidgeot |
wins more when benched | 37.0% (7,142/19,320) | 54.1% (7,142) / 63.9% (12,178) | -10pp ±1 | 19,320 |
| Leafeon |
core pick | 81.9% (15,818/19,320) | 61.1% (15,818) / 56.8% (3,502) | +4pp ±1 | 19,320 |
| Steelix |
rarely picked | 11.1% (2,142/19,320) | 65.5% (2,142) / 59.6% (17,178) | +6pp ±1 | 19,320 |
| Staraptor |
core pick | 96.3% (18,600/19,320) | 60.2% (18,600) / 61.1% (720) | -1pp ±2 | 19,320 |
| Ninetales |
core pick | 99.2% (19,171/19,320) | 60.3% (19,171) / 52.3% (149) | +8pp ±4 | 19,320 |
node cli.js roster-ablate 133805 1.node cli.js roster-ablate <team> <slot>.| Pokémon | picked | leads when picked | opening moves | share of team’s KOs | share of damage | wins when picked / benched |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Staraptor |
99.4% | 86.1% | closecombat 62.2% bravebird 29.5% |
33.4% | 37.1% | 52.5% / 50.0% |
| Arcanine-Hisui |
80.4% | 13.8% | flareblitz 44.0% headsmash 32.0% |
25.9% | 19.0% | 54.3% / 45.1% |
| Leafeon |
78.5% | 7.6% | solarblade 45.0% knockoff 27.5% |
22.7% | 19.6% | 54.2% / 46.6% |
| Ninetales |
99.6% | 92.7% | overheat 69.1% heatwave 18.8% |
13.2% | 20.4% | 52.5% / 66.7% |
| Pidgeot |
39.2% | 12.9% | hurricane 73.5% heatwave 11.8% |
4.2% | 3.4% | 47.0% / 56.1% |
| Steelix |
3.0% | 0.0% | — | 0.7% | 0.5% | 35.0% / 53.1% |
NinetalesleadStaraptorleadArcanine-Hisuiin backLeafeonin backNinetales most often opens Overheat (43% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (75% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 44.2% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Ninetales Arcanine-Hisuibacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Pidgeotbencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Leafeonbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Steelixbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Bulldoze
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Ninetalesleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sun setter
NinetalesleadStaraptorleadArcanine-Hisuiin backLeafeonin backNinetales most often opens Overheat (87% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Brave Bird (55% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 66.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Ninetales Arcanine-Hisuibacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Pidgeotbencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; offers Tailwind
Leafeonbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Steelixbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Bulldoze
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Ninetalesleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sun setter
NinetalesleadStaraptorleadArcanine-Hisuiin backLeafeonin backNinetales most often opens Overheat (87% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (100% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 49.0% over 49 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Ninetales Arcanine-Hisuibacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Pidgeotbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Tailwind
Leafeonbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Steelixbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Bulldoze
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Ninetalesleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sun setter
NinetalesleadStaraptorleadArcanine-Hisuiin backLeafeonin backNinetales most often opens Overheat (62% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (69% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 57.3% over 55 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Ninetales Arcanine-Hisuibacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Pidgeotbencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Leafeonbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Steelixbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Bulldoze
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Ninetalesleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sun setter
NinetalesleadStaraptorleadArcanine-Hisuiin backLeafeonin backNinetales most often opens Overheat (83% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Brave Bird (98% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 39.6% over 53 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Ninetales Arcanine-Hisuibacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Pidgeotbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Leafeonbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Steelixbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Bulldoze
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Ninetalesleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sun setter
NinetalesleadStaraptorleadLeafeonin backPidgeotin backNinetales most often opens Overheat (90% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (98% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 26.4% over 36 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Ninetales Arcanine-Hisuibencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four
Pidgeotbacka frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Leafeonbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Steelixbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Bulldoze
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Ninetalesleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sun setter
NinetalesleadStaraptorleadArcanine-Hisuiin backLeafeonin backNinetales most often opens Overheat (48% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (98% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 66.7% over 42 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Ninetales Arcanine-Hisuibacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Pidgeotbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Leafeonbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Steelixbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Bulldoze
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Ninetalesleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sun setter
NinetalesleadStaraptorleadLeafeonin backPidgeotin backNinetales most often opens Overheat (80% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (63% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 71.7% over 53 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Ninetales Arcanine-Hisuibencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four
Pidgeotbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Tailwind
Leafeonbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Steelixbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Bulldoze
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Ninetalesleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sun setter
| search rating | 1759 the lab’s own search ladder. It tracks the verified Elo almost exactly (r≈0.99 across the top 30) and is not evidence — the verified rating above is the one that counts. |
| rating uncertainty | ±45 at the ladder’s floor — this team has played far too many series for the rating to move much, which is true of every team on this board. |
| sample | 30,367 verified games · 615 opponents · 208 distinct cores |
| vs fixed references | 48.4% of games (14,707 of 30,367) games played against the lab’s fixed sparring teams. They count as rating evidence, but a record built mostly on them generalises less. |
| all verified matchups | rycornyt (tournament team) 81.7% 240 gameskennogonzales (tournament team) 75.0% 216 gamesMilotic (ranked build) 72.2% 216 gamesayushxd (tournament team) 70.4% 240 gamesstallcelth (tournament team) 70.4% 216 gamestesting444 (tournament team) 70.0% 240 gamesAerodactyl-Mega 69.9% 216 gamesfrancescopiopero (tournament team) 68.1% 260 gamesqu1ck (tournament team) 58.7% 264 gamesPelipper (ranked build) 49.6% 240 gamesdracojack (tournament team) 45.5% 264 gamesarsalpuri (tournament team) 29.7% 236 games |
Rotom-Heat @ Sitrus Berry Ability: Levitate Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 32 SpA / 2 SpD Sassy Nature - Overheat - Reflect - Discharge - Will-O-Wisp Overqwil @ Life Orb Ability: Swift Swim Level: 50 EVs: 1 HP / 29 Atk / 1 Def / 3 SpD / 32 Spe Adamant Nature - Protect - Throat Chop - Poison Jab - Gunk Shot Feraligatr @ Muscle Band Ability: Sheer Force Level: 50 EVs: 31 HP / 32 Atk / 3 Spe Jolly Nature - Liquidation - Protect - Ice Punch - Bite Staraptor @ Staraptite Ability: Intimidate Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 2 Atk / 32 Spe Jolly Nature - Close Combat - Protect - Brave Bird - Roost Delphox @ Choice Scarf Ability: Blaze Level: 50 EVs: 29 HP / 32 SpA / 5 Spe Modest Nature - Overheat - Psychic - Foul Play - Protect Pelipper @ Wise Glasses Ability: Drizzle Level: 50 EVs: 4 HP / 30 SpA / 32 Spe Modest Nature - Hurricane - Tailwind - Weather Ball - Wide Guard
Based on 30,367 verified Showdown games under the current rules, against 615 different opponents.
Two kinds of evidence appear here, and they are not equal.
Verified numbers come from real Pokémon Showdown battles played under the current ruleset — the engine the game is actually played on. These are the numbers that count.
Practice sim numbers come from a fast approximate simulator the lab uses to scout habits: which four get picked, who leads, what moves open the game. Good for reading tendencies, but hypotheses only — a practice-sim number is never proof and is always labelled.
Confidence chips grade the verified sample: Strong evidence means 500+ verified games against 8+ different opponents; Established 200+ against 6+; Still developing 60+ against 3+; Early anything less. “Scouting probe out of date” means the habit data was recorded before the latest rules update — the verified record itself is always current.
A “game” is counted from this team’s side of a battle. “Picked” means chosen among the four Pokémon actually brought to a battle — teams register six, only four play.
Feraligatr Pelipper Overqwil StaraptorWon 100% of 48 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 48 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 48 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 48 verified games against it.
Chosen for the battle in only 1% of 6,060 verified games — a roster slot doing very little work.
Chosen for the battle in only 7% of 6,060 verified games — a roster slot doing very little work.
Won only 8% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 10% of 48 verified games against it.
Won only 13% of 24 verified games against it.
under max scrutiny: vs tournament winners 37.5% (crucible, real engine)
predictable preview: Feraligatr + Pelipper leads 62.0% of games (408 of 658 probe games) — a scouted opponent can counter-lead it
Pelipper is glass: faints in 94.1% of its 658 probe games — it must trade up before going down
Feraligatrdefault core100.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Staraptordefault core100.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Pelipperdefault core100.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Overqwildefault core98.6%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 99% of games.
Rotom-Heatspecialist1.4%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 1% of games.
Delphoxspecialist0.0%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 0% of games.
| Pokémon | verdict | picked | wins when picked / benched | swing | verified games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rotom-Heat |
rarely picked | 7.4% (447/6,060) | 46.1% (447) / 56.1% (5,613) | -10pp ±2 | 6,060 |
| Overqwil |
core pick | 94.9% (5,751/6,060) | 55.4% (5,751) / 55.0% (309) | +0pp ±3 | 6,060 |
| Feraligatr |
pulls its weight | 98.3% (5,955/6,060) | 55.6% (5,955) / 43.8% (105) | +12pp ±5 | 6,060 |
| Staraptor |
pulls its weight | 98.9% (5,991/6,060) | 55.9% (5,991) / 13.0% (69) | +43pp ±6 | 6,060 |
| Delphox |
rarely picked | 0.6% (36/6,060) | 52.8% (36) / 55.4% (6,024) | -3pp ±8 | 6,060 |
| Pelipper |
core pick | 100.0% (6,060/6,060) | 55.4% (6,060) / never benched | — | 6,060 |
node cli.js roster-ablate <team> <slot>.| Pokémon | picked | leads when picked | opening moves | share of team’s KOs | share of damage | wins when picked / benched |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overqwil |
98.6% | 6.9% | gunkshot 97.8% throatchop 2.2% |
34.4% | 30.2% | 65.3% / 55.6% |
| Feraligatr |
100.0% | 62.0% | icepunch 52.5% liquidation 35.8% |
26.7% | 24.8% | 65.2% / — |
| Staraptor |
100.0% | 31.2% | closecombat 78.5% bravebird 15.1% |
23.1% | 25.5% | 65.2% / — |
| Pelipper |
100.0% | 100.0% | weatherball 63.5% hurricane 16.7% |
15.8% | 19.5% | 65.2% / — |
| Rotom-Heat |
1.4% | 0.0% | — | 0.0% | 0.1% | 55.6% / 65.3% |
| Delphox |
0.0% | 0.0% | — | 0.0% | 0.0% | — / 65.2% |
FeraligatrleadPelipperleadOverqwilin backStaraptorin backFeraligatr most often opens Liquidation (44% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Pelipper most often opens Weather Ball (32% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 79.7% over 59 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Feraligatr Pelipper Rotom-Heatbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Reflect + Will-O-Wisp
Overqwilbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Feraligatrleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Delphoxbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Pelipperleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Tailwind + Wide Guard + rain setter
PelipperleadStaraptorleadFeraligatrin backOverqwilin backPelipper most often opens Weather Ball (97% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (98% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 42.5% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Pelipper Rotom-Heatbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Will-O-Wisp
Overqwilbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Feraligatrbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Delphoxbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Pelipperleada frequent selection in this matchup; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Tailwind + Wide Guard + rain setter
FeraligatrleadPelipperleadOverqwilin backStaraptorin backFeraligatr most often opens Ice Punch (88% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Pelipper most often opens Weather Ball (93% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 65.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Feraligatr Pelipper Rotom-Heatbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Will-O-Wisp
Overqwilbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Feraligatrleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorbacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Delphoxbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Pelipperleada frequent selection in this matchup; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Tailwind + Wide Guard + rain setter
FeraligatrleadPelipperleadOverqwilin backStaraptorin backFeraligatr most often opens Ice Punch (88% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Pelipper most often opens Weather Ball (93% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 55.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Feraligatr Pelipper Rotom-Heatbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Will-O-Wisp
Overqwilbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Feraligatrleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorbacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Delphoxbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Pelipperleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Tailwind + Wide Guard + rain setter
OverqwilleadPelipperleadFeraligatrin backStaraptorin backOverqwil most often opens Gunk Shot (98% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Pelipper most often opens Hurricane (100% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 46.7% over 45 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Overqwil Pelipper Rotom-Heatbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Reflect + Will-O-Wisp
Overqwilleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Feraligatrbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Delphoxbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Pelipperleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Tailwind + Wide Guard + rain setter
FeraligatrleadPelipperleadOverqwilin backStaraptorin backFeraligatr most often opens Ice Punch (72% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Pelipper most often opens Weather Ball (50% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 29.2% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Feraligatr Pelipper Rotom-Heatbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Will-O-Wisp
Overqwilbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Feraligatrleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorbacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Delphoxbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Pelipperleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Tailwind + Wide Guard + rain setter
FeraligatrleadPelipperleadOverqwilin backStaraptorin backFeraligatr most often opens Liquidation (77% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Pelipper most often opens Weather Ball (97% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 95.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Feraligatr Pelipper Rotom-Heatbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Will-O-Wisp
Overqwilbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Feraligatrleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorbacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Delphoxbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Pelipperleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Tailwind + Wide Guard + rain setter
PelipperleadStaraptorleadFeraligatrin backOverqwilin backPelipper most often opens Weather Ball (53% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (63% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 65.8% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Pelipper Rotom-Heatbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Reflect + Will-O-Wisp
Overqwilbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Feraligatrbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Delphoxbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Pelipperleada frequent selection in this matchup; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Tailwind + Wide Guard + rain setter
| search rating | 1734 the lab’s own search ladder. It tracks the verified Elo almost exactly (r≈0.99 across the top 30) and is not evidence — the verified rating above is the one that counts. |
| rating uncertainty | ±45 at the ladder’s floor — this team has played far too many series for the rating to move much, which is true of every team on this board. |
| sample | 25,146 verified games · 571 opponents · 178 distinct cores |
| vs fixed references | 35.2% of games (8,856 of 25,146) games played against the lab’s fixed sparring teams. They count as rating evidence, but a record built mostly on them generalises less. |
| all verified matchups | jackg (tournament team) 78.1% 288 gamesMilotic (ranked build) 77.1% 96 gamesGholdengo 75.0% 96 gamesfrancescopiopero (tournament team) 75.0% 116 gamesarsalpuri (tournament team) 60.6% 188 gamesangrypnuts (tournament team) 60.4% 192 gamesKingambit 53.1% 96 gamesPelipper (ranked build) 51.4% 144 gamesSableye (ranked build) 50.0% 96 gamesArchaludon 47.5% 120 gamesux9p70xuw8yanagitpoke (tournament team) 37.5% 144 gamesqu1ck (tournament team) 30.9% 408 games |
Primarina @ Life Orb Ability: Liquid Voice Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 29 SpA / 3 SpD / 2 Spe Modest Nature - Hyper Voice - Protect - Moonblast - Calm Mind Charizard @ Choice Scarf Ability: Solar Power Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 3 Def / 29 SpA / 32 Spe Modest Nature - Heat Wave - Solar Beam - Weather Ball - Ancient Power Salazzle @ Focus Sash Ability: Corrosion Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 28 SpA / 4 SpD / 32 Spe Timid Nature - Fake Out - Sludge Bomb - Heat Wave - Overheat Staraptor @ Staraptite Ability: Intimidate Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 2 Atk / 32 Spe Jolly Nature - Close Combat - Protect - Brave Bird - Roost Espeon @ Wise Glasses Ability: Magic Bounce Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 SpA / 32 Spe Timid Nature - Psychic - Power Gem - Dazzling Gleam - Protect Musharna @ Sitrus Berry Ability: Telepathy Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 32 SpA / 2 SpD Quiet Nature - Trick Room - Psychic - Moonblast - Helping Hand
Based on 25,146 verified Showdown games under the current rules, against 571 different opponents.
Two kinds of evidence appear here, and they are not equal.
Verified numbers come from real Pokémon Showdown battles played under the current ruleset — the engine the game is actually played on. These are the numbers that count.
Practice sim numbers come from a fast approximate simulator the lab uses to scout habits: which four get picked, who leads, what moves open the game. Good for reading tendencies, but hypotheses only — a practice-sim number is never proof and is always labelled.
Confidence chips grade the verified sample: Strong evidence means 500+ verified games against 8+ different opponents; Established 200+ against 6+; Still developing 60+ against 3+; Early anything less. “Scouting probe out of date” means the habit data was recorded before the latest rules update — the verified record itself is always current.
A “game” is counted from this team’s side of a battle. “Picked” means chosen among the four Pokémon actually brought to a battle — teams register six, only four play.
Primarina Staraptor Charizard SalazzleWon 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Chosen for the battle in only 12% of 14,976 verified games — a roster slot doing very little work.
Won only 8% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 13% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 13% of 24 verified games against it.
predictable preview: Primarina + Staraptor leads 99.4% of games (668 of 672 probe games) — a scouted opponent can counter-lead it
win-condition concentration: Primarina scores 45.9% of all probe KOs — Intimidate, redirection, or focus fire on it stalls the team
Primarina is glass: faints in 84.5% of its 672 probe games — it must trade up before going down
Primarinadefault core100.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Staraptordefault core100.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Charizarddefault core98.5%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 99% of games.
Salazzledefault core82.6%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 83% of games.
Musharnaspecialist18.9%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 19% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
Espeonspecialist0.0%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 0% of games.
| Pokémon | verdict | picked | wins when picked / benched | swing | verified games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primarina |
core pick | 100.0% (14,976/14,976) | 62.1% (14,976) / never benched | — | 14,976 |
| Charizard |
role player | 67.9% (10,172/14,976) | 64.5% (10,172) / 57.0% (4,804) | +8pp ±1 | 14,976 |
| Salazzle |
core pick | 75.7% (11,339/14,976) | 62.6% (11,339) / 60.5% (3,637) | +2pp ±1 | 14,976 |
| Staraptor |
core pick | 100.0% (14,976/14,976) | 62.1% (14,976) / never benched | — | 14,976 |
| Espeon |
rarely picked | 11.6% (1,735/14,976) | 56.9% (1,735) / 62.8% (13,241) | -6pp ±1 | 14,976 |
| Musharna |
role player | 44.8% (6,706/14,976) | 58.9% (6,706) / 64.7% (8,270) | -6pp ±1 | 14,976 |
node cli.js roster-ablate <team> <slot>.| Pokémon | picked | leads when picked | opening moves | share of team’s KOs | share of damage | wins when picked / benched |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primarina |
100.0% | 100.0% | moonblast 70.7% hypervoice 25.6% |
45.9% | 39.7% | 42.3% / — |
| Staraptor |
100.0% | 99.4% | closecombat 61.7% bravebird 28.9% |
22.1% | 32.4% | 42.3% / — |
| Salazzle |
82.6% | 0.0% | — | 15.4% | 13.3% | 45.2% / 28.2% |
| Charizard |
98.5% | 0.6% | heatwave 75.0% solarbeam 25.0% |
14.3% | 13.0% | 42.1% / 50.0% |
| Musharna |
18.9% | 0.0% | — | 2.2% | 1.6% | 29.9% / 45.1% |
| Espeon |
0.0% | 0.0% | — | 0.0% | 0.0% | — / 42.3% |
PrimarinaleadStaraptorleadCharizardin backSalazzlein backPrimarina most often opens Moonblast (97% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Brave Bird (57% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 52.5% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Primarina Staraptor Primarinaleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Charizardbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Salazzlebacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Fake Out
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Espeonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Musharnabenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can contest the speed race; offers Trick Room + Helping Hand
PrimarinaleadStaraptorleadCharizardin backSalazzlein backPrimarina most often opens Hyper Voice (75% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (98% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 85.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Primarina Staraptor Primarinaleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Charizardbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Salazzlebacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Fake Out
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Espeonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Musharnabenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; has a direct Trick Room answer; offers Trick Room + Helping Hand
PrimarinaleadStaraptorleadCharizardin backSalazzlein backPrimarina most often opens Moonblast (80% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (95% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 6.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Primarina Staraptor Primarinaleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Charizardbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Salazzlebacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Fake Out
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Espeonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Musharnabenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; has a direct Trick Room answer; offers Trick Room + Helping Hand
PrimarinaleadStaraptorleadCharizardin backSalazzlein backPrimarina most often opens Moonblast (98% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Brave Bird (82% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 18.3% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Primarina Staraptor Primarinaleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Charizardbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Salazzlebacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Fake Out
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Espeonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Musharnabenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can contest the speed race; offers Trick Room + Helping Hand
PrimarinaleadStaraptorleadCharizardin backSalazzlein backPrimarina most often opens Moonblast (93% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Brave Bird (83% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 45.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Primarina Staraptor Primarinaleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Charizardbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Salazzlebacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Fake Out
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Espeonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Musharnabenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; has a direct Trick Room answer; can contest the speed race; offers Trick Room + Helping Hand
PrimarinaleadStaraptorleadCharizardin backMusharnain backPrimarina most often opens Moonblast (92% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (73% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 56.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Primarina Staraptor Primarinaleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Charizardbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Salazzlebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Fake Out
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Espeonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Musharnabacka frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Trick Room + Helping Hand
PrimarinaleadStaraptorleadCharizardin backSalazzlein backPrimarina most often opens Hyper Voice (83% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (100% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 1.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Primarina Staraptor Primarinaleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Charizardbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Salazzlebacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; offers Fake Out
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Espeonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Musharnabencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; can contest the speed race; offers Trick Room + Helping Hand
PrimarinaleadStaraptorleadCharizardin backSalazzlein backPrimarina most often opens Moonblast (70% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (62% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 57.5% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Primarina Staraptor Primarinaleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Charizardbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Salazzlebacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Fake Out
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Espeonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Musharnabenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; has a direct Trick Room answer; offers Trick Room + Helping Hand
| search rating | 1725 the lab’s own search ladder. It tracks the verified Elo almost exactly (r≈0.99 across the top 30) and is not evidence — the verified rating above is the one that counts. |
| rating uncertainty | ±45 at the ladder’s floor — this team has played far too many series for the rating to move much, which is true of every team on this board. |
| sample | 23,332 verified games · 459 opponents · 135 distinct cores |
| vs fixed references | 37.2% of games (8,680 of 23,332) games played against the lab’s fixed sparring teams. They count as rating evidence, but a record built mostly on them generalises less. |
| all verified matchups | Farigiraf 87.5% 240 gamesPelipper (ranked build) 77.1% 192 gamesArchaludon 72.5% 240 gamesAerodactyl-Mega 65.0% 240 gamesSylveon 60.0% 240 gamesKingambit 55.0% 240 gamesGholdengo 44.8% 192 gamesfrancescopiopero (tournament team) 40.3% 196 gamesGholdengo 40.0% 240 gamesStaraptor-Mega 40.0% 240 gamesIncineroar 39.4% 216 gamesIncineroar 35.0% 240 games |
Aggron @ Aggronite Ability: Sturdy Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 2 Def / 32 SpD Brave Nature - Body Press - Heavy Slam - Rock Blast - Protect Dragonite @ Dragon Fang Ability: Multiscale Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 Atk / 32 Spe Adamant Nature - Extreme Speed - Dragon Claw - Protect - Low Kick Pelipper @ Focus Sash Ability: Drizzle Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 SpA / 32 Spe Timid Nature - Hurricane - Tailwind - Weather Ball - Wide Guard Archaludon @ Life Orb Ability: Stamina Level: 50 EVs: 30 HP / 1 Def / 5 SpA / 25 SpD / 5 Spe Modest Nature - Electro Shot - Flash Cannon - Protect - Dragon Pulse Swampert @ Swampertite Ability: Torrent Level: 50 EVs: 6 HP / 26 Atk / 2 SpD / 32 Spe Adamant Nature - Protect - Wave Crash - Ice Punch - Earthquake Excadrill @ Muscle Band Ability: Sand Rush Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 Atk / 32 Spe Adamant Nature - Iron Head - Protect - Rock Slide - Earthquake
Based on 23,332 verified Showdown games under the current rules, against 459 different opponents.
Two kinds of evidence appear here, and they are not equal.
Verified numbers come from real Pokémon Showdown battles played under the current ruleset — the engine the game is actually played on. These are the numbers that count.
Practice sim numbers come from a fast approximate simulator the lab uses to scout habits: which four get picked, who leads, what moves open the game. Good for reading tendencies, but hypotheses only — a practice-sim number is never proof and is always labelled.
Confidence chips grade the verified sample: Strong evidence means 500+ verified games against 8+ different opponents; Established 200+ against 6+; Still developing 60+ against 3+; Early anything less. “Scouting probe out of date” means the habit data was recorded before the latest rules update — the verified record itself is always current.
A “game” is counted from this team’s side of a battle. “Picked” means chosen among the four Pokémon actually brought to a battle — teams register six, only four play.
Archaludon Pelipper
Aggron SwampertWon 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 96% of 24 verified games against it.
Chosen for the battle in only 3% of 11,880 verified games — a roster slot doing very little work.
Wins 47% of verified games when it plays (4,661 games) versus 68% when it is benched (7,219). A pattern from matchup choices, not proof — roster-ablate is the definitive test.
Won only 8% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 8% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 8% of 24 verified games against it.
under max scrutiny: vs Farigiraf (engine) 50.0% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs Staraptor-Mega (engine) 37.5% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs nash players 35.4% (crucible, real engine)
Pelipperdefault core99.9%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Swampertdefault core99.7%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Archaludondefault core95.5%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 96% of games.
Dragoniteflex pick62.4%of games pickedPicked or benched depending on the opponent (62% of games overall); the matchup decides.
Aggronspecialist42.4%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 42% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
Excadrillspecialist0.1%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 0% of games.
| Pokémon | verdict | picked | wins when picked / benched | swing | verified games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggron |
wins more when benched | 39.2% (4,661/11,880) | 46.8% (4,661) / 68.4% (7,219) | -22pp ±1 | 11,880 |
| Dragonite |
pulls its weight | 69.6% (8,274/11,880) | 64.7% (8,274) / 49.1% (3,606) | +16pp ±1 | 11,880 |
| Pelipper |
pulls its weight | 99.8% (11,860/11,880) | 60.0% (11,860) / 25.0% (20) | +35pp ±11 | 11,880 |
| Archaludon |
pulls its weight | 88.7% (10,537/11,880) | 62.2% (10,537) / 42.2% (1,343) | +20pp ±1 | 11,880 |
| Swampert |
core pick | 99.9% (11,865/11,880) | 59.9% (11,865) / 80.0% (15) | -20pp ±13 | 11,880 |
| Excadrill |
rarely picked | 2.7% (323/11,880) | 52.9% (323) / 60.2% (11,557) | -7pp ±3 | 11,880 |
node cli.js roster-ablate 42465 0.node cli.js roster-ablate <team> <slot>.| Pokémon | picked | leads when picked | opening moves | share of team’s KOs | share of damage | wins when picked / benched |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Archaludon |
95.5% | 77.1% | dragonpulse 57.0% electroshot 18.9% |
38.1% | 32.7% | 55.9% / 46.7% |
| Swampert |
99.7% | 12.5% | wavecrash 54.2% earthquake 25.3% |
22.8% | 24.8% | 55.5% / 50.0% |
| Dragonite |
62.4% | 25.0% | dragonclaw 97.1% protect 1.0% |
19.5% | 19.9% | 56.1% / 54.4% |
| Pelipper |
99.9% | 98.2% | weatherball 42.4% tailwind 37.8% |
10.1% | 14.4% | 55.6% / 0.0% |
| Aggron |
42.4% | 0.7% | heavyslam 100.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 53.5% / 56.9% |
| Excadrill |
0.1% | 0.0% | — | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% / 55.6% |
ArchaludonleadPelipperleadAggronin backSwampertin backArchaludon most often opens Dragon Pulse (13% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Pelipper most often opens Tailwind (57% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Record with this lead pair: 75.8% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Pelipper Archaludon Aggronbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Dragonitebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Pelipperleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Tailwind + Wide Guard + rain setter
Archaludonleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Swampertbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Excadrillbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
DragoniteleadPelipperleadArchaludonin backSwampertin backDragonite most often opens Dragon Claw (100% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Pelipper most often opens Weather Ball (88% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 31.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Dragonite Pelipper Aggronbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Dragoniteleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Pelipperleada frequent selection in this matchup; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Tailwind + Wide Guard + rain setter
Archaludonbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Swampertbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Excadrillbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
ArchaludonleadPelipperleadDragonitein backSwampertin backArchaludon most often opens Dragon Pulse (82% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Pelipper most often opens Tailwind (60% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Record with this lead pair: 71.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Pelipper Archaludon Aggronbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Dragonitebacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Pelipperleada frequent selection in this matchup; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Tailwind + Wide Guard + rain setter
Archaludonleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Swampertbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Excadrillbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
ArchaludonleadPelipperleadAggronin backSwampertin backArchaludon most often opens Dragon Pulse (88% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Pelipper most often opens Tailwind (62% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Record with this lead pair: 45.8% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Pelipper Archaludon Aggronbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Dragonitebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Pelipperleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Tailwind + Wide Guard + rain setter
Archaludonleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Swampertbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Excadrillbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
ArchaludonleadPelipperleadDragonitein backSwampertin backArchaludon most often opens Electro Shot (88% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Pelipper most often opens Hurricane (85% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 62.5% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Pelipper Archaludon Aggronbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Dragonitebacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Pelipperleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Tailwind + Wide Guard + rain setter
Archaludonleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Swampertbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Excadrillbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
ArchaludonleadPelipperleadDragonitein backSwampertin backArchaludon most often opens Electro Shot (35% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Pelipper most often opens Weather Ball (50% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 44.2% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Pelipper Archaludon Aggronbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Dragonitebacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Pelipperleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Tailwind + Wide Guard + rain setter
Archaludonleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Swampertbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Excadrillbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
ArchaludonleadPelipperleadAggronin backSwampertin backArchaludon most often opens Dragon Pulse (92% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Pelipper most often opens Tailwind (58% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Record with this lead pair: 40.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Pelipper Archaludon Aggronbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Dragonitebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Pelipperleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Tailwind + Wide Guard + rain setter
Archaludonleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Swampertbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Excadrillbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
PelipperleadSwampertleadArchaludonin backDragonitein backPelipper most often opens Hurricane (25% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Swampert most often opens Wave Crash (58% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 55.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Pelipper Swampert Aggronbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Dragonitebacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Pelipperleada frequent selection in this matchup; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Tailwind + Wide Guard + rain setter
Archaludonbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Swampertleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Excadrillbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
| search rating | 1731 the lab’s own search ladder. It tracks the verified Elo almost exactly (r≈0.99 across the top 30) and is not evidence — the verified rating above is the one that counts. |
| rating uncertainty | ±45 at the ladder’s floor — this team has played far too many series for the rating to move much, which is true of every team on this board. |
| sample | 23,809 verified games · 413 opponents · 184 distinct cores |
| vs fixed references | 26.2% of games (6,240 of 23,809) games played against the lab’s fixed sparring teams. They count as rating evidence, but a record built mostly on them generalises less. |
| all verified matchups | Incineroar 92.5% 280 gamesSableye (ranked build) 79.2% 216 gamesArchaludon 57.5% 280 gamesSylveon 55.0% 280 gamesStaraptor-Mega 55.0% 280 gamesFarigiraf 52.6% 192 gamesFarigiraf 47.5% 280 gamesSylveon 46.8% 216 gamesKingambit 44.3% 192 gamesKingambit 40.0% 280 gamesAerodactyl-Mega 30.0% 280 gamesGholdengo 27.5% 280 games |
Flareon @ Charcoal Ability: Flash Fire Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 32 Atk / 2 Def Adamant Nature - Flare Blitz - Superpower - Quick Attack - Protect Primarina @ Life Orb Ability: Liquid Voice Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 30 SpA / 2 SpD / 2 Spe Modest Nature - Hyper Voice - Protect - Moonblast - Calm Mind Garchomp @ Garchompite Ability: Sand Veil Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 Atk / 32 Spe Adamant Nature - Protect - Earthquake - Rock Slide - Dragon Claw Gyarados @ Expert Belt Ability: Intimidate Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 28 Atk / 6 Def Careful Nature - Earthquake - Stone Edge - Power Whip - Icy Wind Typhlosion-Hisui @ Choice Scarf Ability: Frisk Level: 50 EVs: 5 HP / 4 Def / 25 SpA / 32 Spe Calm Nature - Eruption - Shadow Ball - Heat Wave - Burn Up Staraptor @ Staraptite Ability: Intimidate Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 2 Atk / 32 Spe Jolly Nature - Close Combat - Protect - Brave Bird - Roost
Based on 23,809 verified Showdown games under the current rules, against 413 different opponents.
Two kinds of evidence appear here, and they are not equal.
Verified numbers come from real Pokémon Showdown battles played under the current ruleset — the engine the game is actually played on. These are the numbers that count.
Practice sim numbers come from a fast approximate simulator the lab uses to scout habits: which four get picked, who leads, what moves open the game. Good for reading tendencies, but hypotheses only — a practice-sim number is never proof and is always labelled.
Confidence chips grade the verified sample: Strong evidence means 500+ verified games against 8+ different opponents; Established 200+ against 6+; Still developing 60+ against 3+; Early anything less. “Scouting probe out of date” means the habit data was recorded before the latest rules update — the verified record itself is always current.
A “game” is counted from this team’s side of a battle. “Picked” means chosen among the four Pokémon actually brought to a battle — teams register six, only four play.
Primarina Staraptor Garchomp GyaradosWon 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Chosen for the battle in only 16% of 11,238 verified games — a roster slot doing very little work.
Wins 59% of verified games when it plays (11,016 games) versus 73% when it is benched (222). A pattern from matchup choices, not proof — roster-ablate is the definitive test.
Chosen for the battle in only 20% of 11,238 verified games — a roster slot doing very little work.
Won only 5% of 40 verified games against it.
Won only 17% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 17% of 24 verified games against it.
under max scrutiny: vs Garchomp (engine) 45.0% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs Metagross-Mega (engine) 50.0% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs Sylveon (engine) 42.5% (crucible, real engine)
Primarinadefault core99.7%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Staraptordefault core99.1%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 99% of games.
Gyaradosdefault core90.2%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 90% of games.
Garchompflex pick65.0%of games pickedPicked or benched depending on the opponent (65% of games overall); the matchup decides.
Typhlosion-Hisuispecialist29.4%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 29% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
Flareonspecialist16.7%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 17% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
| Pokémon | verdict | picked | wins when picked / benched | swing | verified games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flareon |
rarely picked | 19.7% (2,215/11,238) | 55.2% (2,215) / 59.7% (9,023) | -5pp ±1 | 11,238 |
| Primarina |
wins more when benched | 98.0% (11,016/11,238) | 58.6% (11,016) / 72.5% (222) | -14pp ±3 | 11,238 |
| Garchomp |
core pick | 82.0% (9,214/11,238) | 58.7% (9,214) / 59.2% (2,024) | 0pp ±1 | 11,238 |
| Gyarados |
core pick | 89.1% (10,015/11,238) | 58.3% (10,015) / 63.0% (1,223) | -5pp ±2 | 11,238 |
| Typhlosion-Hisui |
rarely picked | 15.7% (1,768/11,238) | 61.2% (1,768) / 58.4% (9,470) | +3pp ±1 | 11,238 |
| Staraptor |
pulls its weight | 95.4% (10,724/11,238) | 60.0% (10,724) / 33.7% (514) | +26pp ±2 | 11,238 |
node cli.js roster-ablate 80398 1.node cli.js roster-ablate <team> <slot>.| Pokémon | picked | leads when picked | opening moves | share of team’s KOs | share of damage | wins when picked / benched |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primarina |
99.7% | 63.1% | moonblast 74.9% hypervoice 21.8% |
28.9% | 27.2% | 38.0% / 100.0% |
| Gyarados |
90.2% | 30.9% | powerwhip 47.6% stoneedge 34.8% |
26.9% | 20.7% | 37.4% / 45.5% |
| Staraptor |
99.1% | 83.2% | closecombat 72.2% protect 13.7% |
22.9% | 28.8% | 38.6% / 0.0% |
| Garchomp |
65.0% | 38.1% | dragonclaw 60.2% earthquake 15.1% |
14.7% | 15.2% | 42.3% / 30.6% |
| Typhlosion-Hisui |
29.4% | 0.5% | burnup 100.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 30.7% / 41.4% |
| Flareon |
16.7% | 11.6% | flareblitz 38.5% protect 15.4% |
2.3% | 1.7% | 38.8% / 38.1% |
PrimarinaleadStaraptorleadGyaradosin backTyphlosion-Hisuiin backPrimarina most often opens Moonblast (88% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (62% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 50.0% over 56 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Primarina Staraptor Flareonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Primarinaleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Garchompbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Gyaradosbacka frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Icy Wind + Intimidate
Typhlosion-Hisuibacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
GarchompleadStaraptorleadGyaradosin backPrimarinain backGarchomp most often opens Dragon Claw (81% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (87% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 83.1% over 59 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Garchomp Staraptor Flareonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Primarinabacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Garchompleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Gyaradosbacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Icy Wind + Intimidate
Typhlosion-Hisuibenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
PrimarinaleadStaraptorleadGarchompin backGyaradosin backPrimarina most often opens Moonblast (88% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (84% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 17.5% over 40 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Primarina Staraptor Flareonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Primarinaleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Garchompbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Gyaradosbacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Icy Wind + Intimidate
Typhlosion-Hisuibenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
PrimarinaleadStaraptorleadGyaradosin backTyphlosion-Hisuiin backPrimarina most often opens Moonblast (83% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (86% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 15.4% over 39 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Primarina Staraptor Flareonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Primarinaleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Garchompbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Gyaradosbacka frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; directly reduces physical damage; offers Icy Wind + Intimidate
Typhlosion-Hisuibacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
GyaradosleadPrimarinaleadStaraptorin backTyphlosion-Hisuiin backGyarados most often opens Power Whip (93% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Primarina most often opens Moonblast (58% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 28.1% over 48 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Primarina Gyarados Flareonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Primarinaleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Garchompbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Gyaradosleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Icy Wind + Intimidate
Typhlosion-Hisuibacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
PrimarinaleadStaraptorleadGarchompin backGyaradosin backPrimarina most often opens Moonblast (87% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (78% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 36.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Primarina Staraptor Flareonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Primarinaleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Garchompbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Gyaradosbacka frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; directly reduces physical damage; offers Icy Wind + Intimidate
Typhlosion-Hisuibenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
GyaradosleadStaraptorleadGarchompin backPrimarinain backGyarados most often opens Stone Edge (97% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (91% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 15.6% over 32 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Gyarados Staraptor Flareonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Primarinabacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Garchompbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Gyaradosleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; directly reduces physical damage; offers Icy Wind + Intimidate
Typhlosion-Hisuibenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
GarchompleadStaraptorleadFlareonin backPrimarinain backGarchomp most often opens Dragon Claw (44% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (70% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 50.0% over 36 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Garchomp Staraptor Flareonbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Primarinabacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Garchompleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Gyaradosbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Icy Wind + Intimidate
Typhlosion-Hisuibenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
| search rating | 1717 the lab’s own search ladder. It tracks the verified Elo almost exactly (r≈0.99 across the top 30) and is not evidence — the verified rating above is the one that counts. |
| rating uncertainty | ±45 at the ladder’s floor — this team has played far too many series for the rating to move much, which is true of every team on this board. |
| sample | 23,676 verified games · 584 opponents · 132 distinct cores |
| vs fixed references | 42.9% of games (10,152 of 23,676) games played against the lab’s fixed sparring teams. They count as rating evidence, but a record built mostly on them generalises less. |
| all verified matchups | Incineroar 83.3% 168 gamesFarigiraf (ranked build) 81.8% 192 gamesAerodactyl (ranked build) 79.2% 168 gamesMawile (ranked build) 76.6% 192 gamesGholdengo 75.6% 168 gamesMilotic (ranked build) 74.4% 168 gamesFarigiraf 70.2% 168 gamesStaraptor-Mega 69.7% 264 gamesSylveon 67.1% 216 gamesAerodactyl-Mega 64.8% 216 gamesKingambit 64.6% 240 gamesPelipper (ranked build) 54.7% 192 games |
Froslass @ Froslassite Ability: Cursed Body Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 SpA / 32 Spe Modest Nature - Psychic - Protect - Shadow Ball - Aurora Veil Primarina @ Life Orb Ability: Liquid Voice Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 29 SpA / 2 SpD / 3 Spe Modest Nature - Hyper Voice - Protect - Moonblast - Calm Mind Dragonite @ Dragoninite Ability: Multiscale Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 SpA / 32 Spe Modest Nature - Heat Wave - Dragon Pulse - Hurricane - Tailwind Excadrill @ Focus Sash Ability: Sand Rush Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 Atk / 32 Spe Adamant Nature - Iron Head - Protect - Rock Slide - Earthquake Tyranitar @ Choice Scarf Ability: Sand Stream Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 Atk / 32 Spe Adamant Nature - Rock Slide - Knock Off - Ice Punch - Low Kick Hawlucha @ White Herb Ability: Unburden Level: 50 EVs: 32 Atk / 1 Def / 1 SpD / 32 Spe Jolly Nature - Close Combat - Protect - Brave Bird - Coaching
Based on 23,676 verified Showdown games under the current rules, against 584 different opponents.
Two kinds of evidence appear here, and they are not equal.
Verified numbers come from real Pokémon Showdown battles played under the current ruleset — the engine the game is actually played on. These are the numbers that count.
Practice sim numbers come from a fast approximate simulator the lab uses to scout habits: which four get picked, who leads, what moves open the game. Good for reading tendencies, but hypotheses only — a practice-sim number is never proof and is always labelled.
Confidence chips grade the verified sample: Strong evidence means 500+ verified games against 8+ different opponents; Established 200+ against 6+; Still developing 60+ against 3+; Early anything less. “Scouting probe out of date” means the habit data was recorded before the latest rules update — the verified record itself is always current.
A “game” is counted from this team’s side of a battle. “Picked” means chosen among the four Pokémon actually brought to a battle — teams register six, only four play.
Dragonite Tyranitar Excadrill PrimarinaWon 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Chosen for the battle in only 13% of 15,954 verified games — a roster slot doing very little work.
Chosen for the battle in only 7% of 15,954 verified games — a roster slot doing very little work.
Won only 8% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 13% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 13% of 24 verified games against it.
under max scrutiny: vs Garchomp (engine) 37.5% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs Metagross-Mega (engine) 40.0% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs aggro players 54.2% (crucible, real engine)
Dragonitedefault core100.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Tyranitardefault core100.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Primarinadefault core98.8%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 99% of games.
Excadrilldefault core90.2%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 90% of games.
Hawluchaspecialist10.8%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 11% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
Froslassspecialist0.1%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 0% of games.
| Pokémon | verdict | picked | wins when picked / benched | swing | verified games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Froslass |
rarely picked | 7.1% (1,125/15,954) | 48.7% (1,125) / 62.7% (14,829) | -14pp ±2 | 15,954 |
| Primarina |
core pick | 97.4% (15,543/15,954) | 61.7% (15,543) / 59.9% (411) | +2pp ±2 | 15,954 |
| Dragonite |
core pick | 99.7% (15,906/15,954) | 61.7% (15,906) / 50.0% (48) | +12pp ±7 | 15,954 |
| Excadrill |
pulls its weight | 83.4% (13,300/15,954) | 63.1% (13,300) / 54.7% (2,654) | +8pp ±1 | 15,954 |
| Tyranitar |
core pick | 99.9% (15,944/15,954) | 61.7% (15,944) / 70.0% (10) | -8pp ±16 | 15,954 |
| Hawlucha |
rarely picked | 12.5% (1,998/15,954) | 59.2% (1,998) / 62.1% (13,956) | -3pp ±1 | 15,954 |
node cli.js roster-ablate <team> <slot>.| Pokémon | picked | leads when picked | opening moves | share of team’s KOs | share of damage | wins when picked / benched |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dragonite |
100.0% | 90.7% | dragonpulse 36.9% hurricane 33.2% |
32.8% | 28.1% | 64.0% / — |
| Excadrill |
90.2% | 0.5% | ironhead 66.7% protect 33.3% |
29.3% | 27.0% | 65.7% / 48.5% |
| Primarina |
98.8% | 10.0% | moonblast 62.7% hypervoice 23.9% |
24.9% | 22.2% | 63.9% / 75.0% |
| Tyranitar |
100.0% | 99.0% | knockoff 32.5% rockslide 26.5% |
11.1% | 20.8% | 64.0% / — |
| Hawlucha |
10.8% | 0.0% | — | 2.0% | 1.9% | 52.1% / 65.4% |
| Froslass |
0.1% | 0.0% | — | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% / 64.1% |
DragoniteleadTyranitarleadExcadrillin backPrimarinain backDragonite most often opens Dragon Pulse (25% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Rock Slide (37% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 64.2% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Dragonite Tyranitar Froslassbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Aurora Veil
Primarinabacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Dragoniteleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Hawluchabenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
DragoniteleadTyranitarleadExcadrillin backPrimarinain backDragonite most often opens Hurricane (88% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Knock Off (83% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 73.3% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Dragonite Tyranitar Froslassbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Aurora Veil
Primarinabacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Dragoniteleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Tailwind
Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Hawluchabenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
PrimarinaleadTyranitarleadDragonitein backExcadrillin backPrimarina most often opens Moonblast (81% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Knock Off (93% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 65.6% over 32 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Primarina Tyranitar Froslassbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Aurora Veil
Primarinaleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Dragonitebacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Tailwind
Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Hawluchabenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
DragoniteleadTyranitarleadExcadrillin backPrimarinain backDragonite most often opens Dragon Pulse (73% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Rock Slide (47% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 52.5% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Dragonite Tyranitar Froslassbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Aurora Veil
Primarinabacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Dragoniteleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Hawluchabenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
DragoniteleadTyranitarleadExcadrillin backPrimarinain backDragonite most often opens Hurricane (100% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Rock Slide (75% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 90.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Dragonite Tyranitar Froslassbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Aurora Veil
Primarinabacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Dragoniteleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Hawluchabenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
DragoniteleadTyranitarleadExcadrillin backPrimarinain backDragonite most often opens Dragon Pulse (68% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Knock Off (3% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 43.3% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Dragonite Tyranitar Froslassbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Aurora Veil
Primarinabacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Dragoniteleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Excadrillbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Hawluchabencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four
DragoniteleadTyranitarleadExcadrillin backPrimarinain backDragonite most often opens Dragon Pulse (63% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Rock Slide (58% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 60.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Dragonite Tyranitar Froslassbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Aurora Veil
Primarinabacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Dragoniteleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Hawluchabenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
DragoniteleadTyranitarleadExcadrillin backPrimarinain backDragonite most often opens Heat Wave (65% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Knock Off (33% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 65.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Dragonite Tyranitar Froslassbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Aurora Veil
Primarinabacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Dragoniteleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Tailwind
Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Hawluchabenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
| search rating | 1716 the lab’s own search ladder. It tracks the verified Elo almost exactly (r≈0.99 across the top 30) and is not evidence — the verified rating above is the one that counts. |
| rating uncertainty | ±45 at the ladder’s floor — this team has played far too many series for the rating to move much, which is true of every team on this board. |
| sample | 13,116 verified games · 178 opponents · 95 distinct cores |
| vs fixed references | 2.7% of games (360 of 13,116) games played against the lab’s fixed sparring teams. They count as rating evidence, but a record built mostly on them generalises less. |
| all verified matchups | Kingambit 75.0% 40 gamesSylveon 75.0% 40 gamesStaraptor-Mega 72.5% 40 gamesFarigiraf 62.5% 40 gamesAerodactyl-Mega 62.5% 40 gamesGholdengo 52.5% 40 gamesarsalpuri (tournament team) 50.0% 20 gamesArchaludon 35.0% 40 gamesIncineroar 32.5% 40 gamesfrancescopiopero (tournament team) 15.0% 20 games |
Ninetales-Alola @ Focus Sash Ability: Snow Warning Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 SpA / 32 Spe Modest Nature - Blizzard - Protect - Freeze-Dry - Aurora Veil Beartic @ Choice Scarf Ability: Slush Rush Level: 50 EVs: 3 HP / 29 Atk / 5 SpD / 29 Spe Relaxed Nature - Icicle Crash - Close Combat - Protect - Rock Slide Excadrill @ Life Orb Ability: Sand Rush Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 14 Def / 20 SpD Relaxed Nature - Iron Head - High Horsepower - Rock Slide - Earthquake Dragonite @ Roseli Berry Ability: Multiscale Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 32 Atk / 2 Def Adamant Nature - Extreme Speed - Stomping Tantrum - Fly - Low Kick Noivern @ Wise Glasses Ability: Telepathy Level: 50 EVs: 4 HP / 32 Atk / 4 SpD / 26 Spe Jolly Nature - Tailwind - Moonlight - Sky Attack - Super Fang Blastoise @ Blastoisinite Ability: Torrent Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 30 SpA / 4 SpD Quiet Nature - Water Spout - Fake Out - Blizzard - Focus Blast
Based on 13,116 verified Showdown games under the current rules, against 178 different opponents.
Two kinds of evidence appear here, and they are not equal.
Verified numbers come from real Pokémon Showdown battles played under the current ruleset — the engine the game is actually played on. These are the numbers that count.
Practice sim numbers come from a fast approximate simulator the lab uses to scout habits: which four get picked, who leads, what moves open the game. Good for reading tendencies, but hypotheses only — a practice-sim number is never proof and is always labelled.
Confidence chips grade the verified sample: Strong evidence means 500+ verified games against 8+ different opponents; Established 200+ against 6+; Still developing 60+ against 3+; Early anything less. “Scouting probe out of date” means the habit data was recorded before the latest rules update — the verified record itself is always current.
A “game” is counted from this team’s side of a battle. “Picked” means chosen among the four Pokémon actually brought to a battle — teams register six, only four play.
Blastoise Ninetales-Alola Beartic DragoniteWon 75% of 40 verified games against it.
Won 75% of 40 verified games against it.
Won 73% of 40 verified games against it.
Won 63% of 40 verified games against it.
Chosen for the battle in only 14% of 4,968 verified games — a roster slot doing very little work.
Chosen for the battle in only 12% of 4,968 verified games — a roster slot doing very little work.
Won only 15% of 20 verified games against it.
Won only 33% of 40 verified games against it.
Won only 35% of 40 verified games against it.
under max scrutiny: vs Incineroar (engine) 32.5% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs Archaludon (engine) 35.0% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs Gholdengo (engine) 52.5% (crucible, real engine)
Blastoisedefault core100.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Dragonitedefault core94.3%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 94% of games.
Ninetales-Aloladefault core93.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 93% of games.
Bearticdefault core80.8%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 81% of games.
Excadrillspecialist25.4%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 25% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
Noivernspecialist6.4%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 6% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
| Pokémon | verdict | picked | wins when picked / benched | swing | verified games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ninetales-Alola |
pulls its weight | 95.6% (4,749/4,968) | 59.5% (4,749) / 25.6% (219) | +34pp ±3 | 4,968 |
| Beartic |
pulls its weight | 82.9% (4,120/4,968) | 59.8% (4,120) / 49.4% (848) | +10pp ±2 | 4,968 |
| Excadrill |
rarely picked | 11.9% (590/4,968) | 43.6% (590) / 59.9% (4,378) | -16pp ±2 | 4,968 |
| Dragonite |
core pick | 95.9% (4,765/4,968) | 58.0% (4,765) / 58.1% (203) | 0pp ±4 | 4,968 |
| Noivern |
rarely picked | 14.0% (695/4,968) | 48.5% (695) / 59.5% (4,273) | -11pp ±2 | 4,968 |
| Blastoise |
pulls its weight | 99.7% (4,953/4,968) | 58.1% (4,953) / 6.7% (15) | +51pp ±13 | 4,968 |
node cli.js roster-ablate <team> <slot>.| Pokémon | picked | leads when picked | opening moves | share of team’s KOs | share of damage | wins when picked / benched |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dragonite |
94.3% | 26.0% | stompingtantrum 42.1% lowkick 28.7% |
39.4% | 30.2% | 31.3% / 18.4% |
| Blastoise |
100.0% | 98.2% | waterspout 81.1% blizzard 7.0% |
24.1% | 33.1% | 30.6% / — |
| Beartic |
80.8% | 0.0% | — | 18.2% | 15.9% | 30.1% / 32.8% |
| Ninetales-Alola |
93.0% | 82.8% | blizzard 27.4% freezedry 24.7% |
15.1% | 17.6% | 31.8% / 14.9% |
| Excadrill |
25.4% | 1.2% | ironhead 50.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 27.6% / 31.6% |
| Noivern |
6.4% | 0.0% | — | 0.2% | 0.6% | 20.9% / 31.3% |
BlastoiseleadNinetales-AlolaleadBearticin backDragonitein backBlastoise most often opens Water Spout (65% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Ninetales-Alola most often opens Blizzard (16% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 35.7% over 49 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Ninetales-Alola Blastoise Ninetales-Alolaleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Aurora Veil + snow setter
Bearticbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Excadrillbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Dragonitebacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Noivernbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Blastoiseleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Fake Out
BlastoiseleadNinetales-AlolaleadBearticin backDragonitein backBlastoise most often opens Water Spout (97% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Ninetales-Alola most often opens Blizzard (47% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 14.0% over 43 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Ninetales-Alola Blastoise Ninetales-Alolaleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Aurora Veil + snow setter
Bearticbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Excadrillbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Dragonitebacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Noivernbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Tailwind
Blastoiseleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Fake Out
BlastoiseleadNinetales-AlolaleadBearticin backDragonitein backBlastoise most often opens Water Spout (82% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Ninetales-Alola most often opens Aurora Veil (40% of its leads) — it sets dual damage mitigation.
Record with this lead pair: 10.0% over 40 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Ninetales-Alola Blastoise Ninetales-Alolaleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Aurora Veil + snow setter
Bearticbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Excadrillbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Dragonitebacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Noivernbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Tailwind
Blastoiseleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Fake Out
BlastoiseleadNinetales-AlolaleadBearticin backDragonitein backBlastoise most often opens Water Spout (82% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Ninetales-Alola most often opens Freeze-Dry (37% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 14.3% over 49 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Ninetales-Alola Blastoise Ninetales-Alolaleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Aurora Veil + snow setter
Bearticbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Excadrillbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Dragonitebacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Noivernbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Blastoiseleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Fake Out
BlastoiseleadNinetales-AlolaleadBearticin backDragonitein backBlastoise most often opens Water Spout (100% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Ninetales-Alola most often opens Freeze-Dry (100% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 64.9% over 57 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Ninetales-Alola Blastoise Ninetales-Alolaleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Aurora Veil + snow setter
Bearticbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Excadrillbencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four
Dragonitebacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Noivernbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Blastoiseleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Fake Out
BlastoiseleadNinetales-AlolaleadBearticin backDragonitein backBlastoise most often opens Water Spout (83% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Ninetales-Alola most often opens Blizzard (17% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 16.7% over 48 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Ninetales-Alola Blastoise Ninetales-Alolaleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Aurora Veil + snow setter
Bearticbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Excadrillbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Dragonitebacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Noivernbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Blastoiseleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Fake Out
BlastoiseleadNinetales-AlolaleadBearticin backExcadrillin backBlastoise most often opens Water Spout (87% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Ninetales-Alola most often opens Freeze-Dry (38% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 16.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Ninetales-Alola Blastoise Ninetales-Alolaleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Aurora Veil + snow setter
Bearticbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Excadrillbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Dragonitebencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four
Noivernbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Blastoiseleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Fake Out
BlastoiseleadNinetales-AlolaleadBearticin backDragonitein backBlastoise most often opens Water Spout (97% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Ninetales-Alola most often opens Blizzard (95% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 48.6% over 37 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Ninetales-Alola Blastoise Ninetales-Alolaleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Aurora Veil + snow setter
Bearticbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Excadrillbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Dragonitebacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Noivernbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Tailwind
Blastoiseleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Fake Out
| search rating | 1702 the lab’s own search ladder. It tracks the verified Elo almost exactly (r≈0.99 across the top 30) and is not evidence — the verified rating above is the one that counts. |
| rating uncertainty | ±45 at the ladder’s floor — this team has played far too many series for the rating to move much, which is true of every team on this board. |
| sample | 9,224 verified games · 343 opponents · 70 distinct cores |
| vs fixed references | 78.9% of games (7,280 of 9,224) games played against the lab’s fixed sparring teams. They count as rating evidence, but a record built mostly on them generalises less. |
| all verified matchups | Sinistcha (ranked build) 96.9% 360 gamesGarchomp (ranked build) 90.5% 336 gamesSableye (ranked build) 88.0% 384 gamesPelipper (ranked build) 86.7% 360 gamesIncineroar 82.7% 336 gamesKingambit 72.2% 360 gamesFarigiraf 69.9% 408 gamesGholdengo 65.4% 384 gamesAerodactyl-Mega 62.5% 336 gamesRaichu (ranked build) 61.2% 384 gamesArchaludon 60.6% 480 gamesAerodactyl (ranked build) 59.5% 336 games |
Skarmory @ Leftovers Ability: Sturdy Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 30 Def / 4 SpD Impish Nature - Body Press - Roost - Tailwind - Iron Defense Ceruledge @ Colbur Berry Ability: Flash Fire Level: 50 EVs: 28 HP / 25 Atk / 5 Def / 8 Spe Jolly Nature - Bitter Blade - Shadow Sneak - Bulk Up - Protect Garchomp @ Life Orb Ability: Rough Skin Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 Atk / 32 Spe Jolly Nature - Earthquake - Rock Slide - Dragon Claw - Protect Gholdengo @ Spell Tag Ability: Good as Gold Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 28 SpA / 6 Spe Bold Nature - Make It Rain - Shadow Ball - Nasty Plot - Reflect Kingambit @ Occa Berry Ability: Defiant Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 32 Atk / 2 SpD Sassy Nature - Metal Burst - Sucker Punch - Low Kick - Iron Head Staraptor @ Staraptite Ability: Intimidate Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 2 Atk / 32 Spe Jolly Nature - Close Combat - Roost - Brave Bird - Protect
Based on 9,224 verified Showdown games under the current rules, against 343 different opponents.
Two kinds of evidence appear here, and they are not equal.
Verified numbers come from real Pokémon Showdown battles played under the current ruleset — the engine the game is actually played on. These are the numbers that count.
Practice sim numbers come from a fast approximate simulator the lab uses to scout habits: which four get picked, who leads, what moves open the game. Good for reading tendencies, but hypotheses only — a practice-sim number is never proof and is always labelled.
Confidence chips grade the verified sample: Strong evidence means 500+ verified games against 8+ different opponents; Established 200+ against 6+; Still developing 60+ against 3+; Early anything less. “Scouting probe out of date” means the habit data was recorded before the latest rules update — the verified record itself is always current.
A “game” is counted from this team’s side of a battle. “Picked” means chosen among the four Pokémon actually brought to a battle — teams register six, only four play.
Kingambit Staraptor Garchomp GholdengoWon 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Wins 69% of verified games when it plays (6,516 games) versus 86% when it is benched (2,268). A pattern from matchup choices, not proof — roster-ablate is the definitive test.
Wins 73% of verified games when it plays (8,501 games) versus 83% when it is benched (283). A pattern from matchup choices, not proof — roster-ablate is the definitive test.
Chosen for the battle in only 9% of 8,784 verified games — a roster slot doing very little work.
Won only 17% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 25% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 25% of 24 verified games against it.
under max scrutiny: vs Farigiraf (engine) 47.5% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs Sylveon (engine) 37.5% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs Archaludon (engine) 50.0% (crucible, real engine)
Staraptordefault core100.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Kingambitdefault core97.5%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 97% of games.
Garchompdefault core84.7%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 85% of games.
Gholdengodefault core83.1%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 83% of games.
Skarmoryspecialist31.2%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 31% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
Ceruledgespecialist3.6%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 4% of games.
| Pokémon | verdict | picked | wins when picked / benched | swing | verified games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skarmory |
matchup specialist | 24.3% (2,138/8,784) | 82.2% (2,138) / 70.6% (6,646) | +12pp ±1 | 8,784 |
| Ceruledge |
rarely picked | 9.2% (804/8,784) | 78.6% (804) / 72.9% (7,980) | +6pp ±2 | 8,784 |
| Garchomp |
pulls its weight | 95.7% (8,409/8,784) | 74.2% (8,409) / 55.5% (375) | +19pp ±3 | 8,784 |
| Gholdengo |
wins more when benched | 96.8% (8,501/8,784) | 73.1% (8,501) / 83.4% (283) | -10pp ±3 | 8,784 |
| Kingambit |
wins more when benched | 74.2% (6,516/8,784) | 69.2% (6,516) / 85.6% (2,268) | -16pp ±1 | 8,784 |
| Staraptor |
pulls its weight | 99.8% (8,768/8,784) | 73.5% (8,768) / 25.0% (16) | +49pp ±13 | 8,784 |
node cli.js roster-ablate 246358 3.node cli.js roster-ablate 246358 4.node cli.js roster-ablate <team> <slot>.| Pokémon | picked | leads when picked | opening moves | share of team’s KOs | share of damage | wins when picked / benched |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kingambit |
97.5% | 60.6% | ironhead 67.3% suckerpunch 17.0% |
34.5% | 30.4% | 50.2% / 70.6% |
| Garchomp |
84.7% | 34.3% | dragonclaw 47.4% earthquake 33.0% |
25.2% | 25.1% | 56.5% / 19.1% |
| Staraptor |
100.0% | 96.9% | closecombat 77.6% protect 11.1% |
24.8% | 31.5% | 50.7% / — |
| Gholdengo |
83.1% | 18.1% | shadowball 59.0% makeitrain 30.0% |
11.2% | 9.8% | 49.6% / 56.2% |
| Skarmory |
31.2% | 0.0% | — | 3.5% | 2.6% | 36.1% / 57.4% |
| Ceruledge |
3.6% | 0.0% | — | 0.9% | 0.6% | 83.3% / 49.5% |
KingambitleadStaraptorleadGarchompin backGholdengoin backKingambit most often opens Iron Head (75% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (83% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 40.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Kingambit Staraptor Skarmorybenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Ceruledgebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Garchompbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Gholdengobacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Reflect
Kingambitleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
GarchompleadStaraptorleadKingambitin backSkarmoryin backGarchomp most often opens Dragon Claw (88% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (85% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 48.3% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Garchomp Staraptor Skarmorybacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Tailwind
Ceruledgebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Garchompleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Gholdengobencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect
Kingambitbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
KingambitleadStaraptorleadGarchompin backGholdengoin backKingambit most often opens Iron Head (90% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (97% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 58.3% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Kingambit Staraptor Skarmorybenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Tailwind
Ceruledgebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Garchompbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Gholdengobacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect
Kingambitleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
KingambitleadStaraptorleadGarchompin backGholdengoin backKingambit most often opens Iron Head (97% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (93% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 45.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Kingambit Staraptor Skarmorybencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Ceruledgebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Garchompbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Gholdengobacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect
Kingambitleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
GholdengoleadStaraptorleadGarchompin backKingambitin backGholdengo most often opens Shadow Ball (92% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (88% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 69.6% over 56 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Gholdengo Staraptor Skarmorybenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Ceruledgebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Garchompbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Gholdengoleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Reflect
Kingambitbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
KingambitleadStaraptorleadGarchompin backGholdengoin backKingambit most often opens Sucker Punch (3% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (90% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 2.6% over 39 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Kingambit Staraptor Skarmorybenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Ceruledgebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Garchompbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Gholdengobacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect
Kingambitleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
KingambitleadStaraptorleadGholdengoin backSkarmoryin backKingambit most often opens Iron Head (90% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (91% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 41.7% over 54 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Kingambit Staraptor Skarmorybacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Ceruledgebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Garchompbencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four
Gholdengobacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect
Kingambitleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
GarchompleadStaraptorleadKingambitin backSkarmoryin backGarchomp most often opens Earthquake (98% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (43% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 55.8% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Garchomp Staraptor Skarmorybacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; offers Tailwind
Ceruledgebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Garchompleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Gholdengobencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; offers Reflect
Kingambitbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
| search rating | 1709 the lab’s own search ladder. It tracks the verified Elo almost exactly (r≈0.99 across the top 30) and is not evidence — the verified rating above is the one that counts. |
| rating uncertainty | ±45 at the ladder’s floor — this team has played far too many series for the rating to move much, which is true of every team on this board. |
| sample | 21,029 verified games · 555 opponents · 130 distinct cores |
| vs fixed references | 55.4% of games (11,640 of 21,029) games played against the lab’s fixed sparring teams. They count as rating evidence, but a record built mostly on them generalises less. |
| all verified matchups | Incineroar 91.0% 456 gamesSinistcha (ranked build) 90.2% 336 gamesMawile (ranked build) 83.6% 360 gamesAerodactyl (ranked build) 73.2% 336 gamesFarigiraf 70.1% 408 gamesFarigiraf (ranked build) 68.1% 360 gamesAerodactyl-Mega 65.0% 432 gamesKingambit 59.8% 336 gamesGholdengo 46.4% 336 gamesPelipper (ranked build) 44.8% 504 gamesArchaludon 34.6% 408 gamesStaraptor-Mega 24.8% 480 games |
Tyranitar @ Choice Scarf Ability: Sand Stream Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 Atk / 32 Spe Adamant Nature - Rock Slide - Knock Off - Ice Punch - Low Kick Excadrill @ Focus Sash Ability: Sand Rush Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 Atk / 32 Spe Adamant Nature - Iron Head - Protect - Rock Slide - Earthquake Staraptor @ Staraptite Ability: Intimidate Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 14 Def / 20 SpD Jolly Nature - Close Combat - Protect - Brave Bird - Roost Gholdengo @ Life Orb Ability: Good as Gold Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 32 SpA / 2 SpD Relaxed Nature - Shadow Ball - Make It Rain - Protect - Nasty Plot Armarouge @ Wise Glasses Ability: Flash Fire Level: 50 EVs: 28 HP / 32 SpA / 3 SpD / 3 Spe Relaxed Nature - Trick Room - Armor Cannon - Protect - Psychic Dragonite @ Dragon Fang Ability: Multiscale Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 Atk / 32 Spe Adamant Nature - Extreme Speed - Dragon Claw - Protect - Low Kick
Based on 21,029 verified Showdown games under the current rules, against 555 different opponents.
Two kinds of evidence appear here, and they are not equal.
Verified numbers come from real Pokémon Showdown battles played under the current ruleset — the engine the game is actually played on. These are the numbers that count.
Practice sim numbers come from a fast approximate simulator the lab uses to scout habits: which four get picked, who leads, what moves open the game. Good for reading tendencies, but hypotheses only — a practice-sim number is never proof and is always labelled.
Confidence chips grade the verified sample: Strong evidence means 500+ verified games against 8+ different opponents; Established 200+ against 6+; Still developing 60+ against 3+; Early anything less. “Scouting probe out of date” means the habit data was recorded before the latest rules update — the verified record itself is always current.
A “game” is counted from this team’s side of a battle. “Picked” means chosen among the four Pokémon actually brought to a battle — teams register six, only four play.
Staraptor Tyranitar Dragonite ExcadrillWon 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Wins 51% of verified games when it plays (3,540 games) versus 64% when it is benched (8,141). A pattern from matchup choices, not proof — roster-ablate is the definitive test.
Won only 0% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 0% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 0% of 24 verified games against it.
under max scrutiny: vs Garchomp (engine) 52.5% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs Sylveon (engine) 45.0% (crucible, real engine)
Tyranitar is glass: faints in 91.3% of its 667 probe games — it must trade up before going down
Tyranitardefault core98.7%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 99% of games.
Staraptordefault core92.9%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 93% of games.
Dragoniteflex pick77.7%of games pickedPicked or benched depending on the opponent (78% of games overall); the matchup decides.
Excadrillflex pick69.7%of games pickedPicked or benched depending on the opponent (70% of games overall); the matchup decides.
Armarougespecialist42.5%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 42% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
Gholdengospecialist18.6%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 19% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
| Pokémon | verdict | picked | wins when picked / benched | swing | verified games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyranitar |
core pick | 98.5% (11,504/11,681) | 60.1% (11,504) / 65.5% (177) | -5pp ±4 | 11,681 |
| Excadrill |
role player | 68.1% (7,957/11,681) | 61.1% (7,957) / 58.3% (3,724) | +3pp ±1 | 11,681 |
| Staraptor |
pulls its weight | 90.0% (10,511/11,681) | 63.2% (10,511) / 33.8% (1,170) | +29pp ±2 | 11,681 |
| Gholdengo |
role player | 42.2% (4,935/11,681) | 57.0% (4,935) / 62.6% (6,746) | -6pp ±1 | 11,681 |
| Armarouge |
wins more when benched | 30.3% (3,540/11,681) | 50.8% (3,540) / 64.3% (8,141) | -14pp ±1 | 11,681 |
| Dragonite |
role player | 70.9% (8,277/11,681) | 61.7% (8,277) / 56.6% (3,404) | +5pp ±1 | 11,681 |
node cli.js roster-ablate 21093 4.node cli.js roster-ablate <team> <slot>.| Pokémon | picked | leads when picked | opening moves | share of team’s KOs | share of damage | wins when picked / benched |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Staraptor |
92.9% | 45.9% | closecombat 73.6% protect 14.2% |
27.6% | 27.0% | 53.7% / 58.3% |
| Dragonite |
77.7% | 20.4% | dragonclaw 60.7% protect 29.0% |
22.1% | 18.6% | 57.5% / 41.7% |
| Tyranitar |
98.7% | 98.4% | icepunch 44.4% rockslide 19.1% |
21.2% | 23.1% | 54.3% / 33.3% |
| Excadrill |
69.7% | 0.0% | — | 19.9% | 20.9% | 57.9% / 45.1% |
| Gholdengo |
18.6% | 56.3% | shadowball 74.6% makeitrain 15.5% |
5.7% | 4.7% | 26.2% / 60.4% |
| Armarouge |
42.5% | 80.1% | armorcannon 29.6% protect 22.2% |
3.5% | 5.7% | 53.5% / 54.4% |
ArmarougeleadTyranitarleadExcadrillin backStaraptorin backArmarouge most often opens Armor Cannon (45% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Ice Punch (53% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 83.3% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Tyranitar Armarouge Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Excadrillbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Gholdengobenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Armarougeleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Trick Room
Dragonitebencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four
StaraptorleadTyranitarleadDragonitein backExcadrillin backStaraptor most often opens Close Combat (82% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Rock Slide (85% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 94.2% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Tyranitar Staraptor Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Excadrillbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Gholdengobenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Armarougebencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; has a direct Trick Room answer; offers Trick Room
Dragonitebacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
DragoniteleadTyranitarleadExcadrillin backStaraptorin backDragonite most often opens Dragon Claw (59% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Ice Punch (85% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 34.7% over 49 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Tyranitar Dragonite Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Excadrillbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorbacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Gholdengobencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four
Armarougebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; has a direct Trick Room answer; offers Trick Room
Dragoniteleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
StaraptorleadTyranitarleadDragonitein backExcadrillin backStaraptor most often opens Close Combat (85% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Ice Punch (85% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 73.3% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Tyranitar Staraptor Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Gholdengobenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Armarougebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can contest the speed race; offers Trick Room
Dragonitebacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
GholdengoleadTyranitarleadExcadrillin backStaraptorin backGholdengo most often opens Shadow Ball (88% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Knock Off (65% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 16.9% over 59 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Tyranitar Gholdengo Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Excadrillbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Gholdengoleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Armarougebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; has a direct Trick Room answer; can contest the speed race; offers Trick Room
Dragonitebencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four
ArmarougeleadTyranitarleadExcadrillin backStaraptorin backArmarouge most often opens Armor Cannon (40% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Rock Slide (7% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 8.3% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Tyranitar Armarouge Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Excadrillbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorbacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Gholdengobenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Armarougeleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Trick Room
Dragonitebencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four
ArmarougeleadTyranitarleadDragonitein backExcadrillin backArmarouge most often opens Psychic (43% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Ice Punch (83% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 58.3% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Tyranitar Armarouge Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Excadrillbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorbencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Gholdengobenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Armarougeleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Trick Room
Dragonitebacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
StaraptorleadTyranitarleadDragonitein backExcadrillin backStaraptor most often opens Close Combat (55% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Knock Off (32% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 29.2% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Tyranitar Staraptor Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Excadrillbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Gholdengobenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Armarougebencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; has a direct Trick Room answer; offers Trick Room
Dragonitebacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
| search rating | 1712 the lab’s own search ladder. It tracks the verified Elo almost exactly (r≈0.99 across the top 30) and is not evidence — the verified rating above is the one that counts. |
| rating uncertainty | ±45 at the ladder’s floor — this team has played far too many series for the rating to move much, which is true of every team on this board. |
| sample | 23,282 verified games · 619 opponents · 85 distinct cores |
| vs fixed references | 80.7% of games (18,800 of 23,282) games played against the lab’s fixed sparring teams. They count as rating evidence, but a record built mostly on them generalises less. |
| practice-sim score | 48.6% ≈57.5% calibrated the fast simulator’s own guess — a hypothesis, not a result. it currently reads about 9 points cold versus real Showdown. |
| hidden-teams Bo3 (sim) | 63.9% practice-sim best-of-3 with team sheets hidden — a habit probe. |
| any-pilot floor | 48.6% worst result across several competent play styles; the styles disagree by 9 points. A team only a perfect pilot can win with scores low here. |
| surprise bonus | +3 pts how much more it wins when its sets are hidden, on the same opponents. |
| all verified matchups | Incineroar 87.5% 440 gamesGholdengo 80.0% 440 gamesarsalpuri (tournament team) 71.0% 404 gameskardeas (tournament team) 63.1% 360 gamesfrancescopiopero (tournament team) 57.7% 428 gamesStaraptor-Mega 57.5% 440 gamesKingambit 47.5% 440 gamesArchaludon 40.0% 440 gamesAerodactyl-Mega 37.5% 440 gamesSylveon 32.5% 440 gamesFarigiraf 27.5% 440 gamesqu1ck (tournament team) 19.4% 288 games |
Goodra @ Leftovers Ability: Sap Sipper Level: 50 EVs: 23 HP / 3 Def / 1 SpA / 15 SpD / 24 Spe Timid Nature - Life Dew - Draco Meteor - Flamethrower - Dragon Tail Gholdengo @ Wise Glasses Ability: Good as Gold Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 28 SpA / 6 SpD Relaxed Nature - Shadow Ball - Steel Beam - Sandstorm - Thunderbolt Staraptor @ Staraptite Ability: Intimidate Level: 50 EVs: 30 HP / 32 Atk / 1 Def / 3 Spe Adamant Nature - Close Combat - Helping Hand - Brave Bird - Roost Lycanroc @ Focus Sash Ability: Sand Rush Level: 50 EVs: 1 HP / 32 Atk / 1 SpD / 32 Spe Adamant Nature - Close Combat - Rock Slide - Protect - Psychic Fangs Corviknight @ Sitrus Berry Ability: Mirror Armor Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 32 Atk / 2 SpD Brave Nature - Reflect - Tailwind - Brave Bird - Body Press Tyranitar @ Choice Scarf Ability: Sand Stream Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 Atk / 32 Spe Adamant Nature - Rock Slide - Knock Off - Low Kick - Ice Punch
Based on 23,282 verified Showdown games under the current rules, against 619 different opponents.
Two kinds of evidence appear here, and they are not equal.
Verified numbers come from real Pokémon Showdown battles played under the current ruleset — the engine the game is actually played on. These are the numbers that count.
Practice sim numbers come from a fast approximate simulator the lab uses to scout habits: which four get picked, who leads, what moves open the game. Good for reading tendencies, but hypotheses only — a practice-sim number is never proof and is always labelled.
Confidence chips grade the verified sample: Strong evidence means 500+ verified games against 8+ different opponents; Established 200+ against 6+; Still developing 60+ against 3+; Early anything less. “Scouting probe out of date” means the habit data was recorded before the latest rules update — the verified record itself is always current.
A “game” is counted from this team’s side of a battle. “Picked” means chosen among the four Pokémon actually brought to a battle — teams register six, only four play.
Staraptor Tyranitar Corviknight LycanrocWon 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 4% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 4% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 8% of 24 verified games against it.
under max scrutiny: vs Kingambit (engine) 47.5% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs Farigiraf (engine) 27.5% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs Sylveon (engine) 32.5% (crucible, real engine)
Staraptordefault core100.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Corviknightdefault core99.7%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Tyranitardefault core99.4%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 99% of games.
Lycanrocflex pick68.4%of games pickedPicked or benched depending on the opponent (68% of games overall); the matchup decides.
Gholdengospecialist30.6%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 31% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
Goodraspecialist1.9%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 2% of games.
| Pokémon | verdict | picked | wins when picked / benched | swing | verified games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goodra |
matchup specialist | 3.7% (677/18,420) | 67.7% (677) / 58.8% (17,743) | +9pp ±2 | 18,420 |
| Gholdengo |
role player | 45.8% (8,432/18,420) | 54.9% (8,432) / 62.8% (9,988) | -8pp ±1 | 18,420 |
| Staraptor |
pulls its weight | 98.1% (18,079/18,420) | 59.5% (18,079) / 42.5% (341) | +17pp ±3 | 18,420 |
| Lycanroc |
role player | 65.6% (12,076/18,420) | 61.4% (12,076) / 54.8% (6,344) | +7pp ±1 | 18,420 |
| Corviknight |
core pick | 88.4% (16,292/18,420) | 59.0% (16,292) / 60.4% (2,128) | -1pp ±1 | 18,420 |
| Tyranitar |
core pick | 98.4% (18,124/18,420) | 59.1% (18,124) / 60.5% (296) | -1pp ±3 | 18,420 |
node cli.js roster-ablate <team> <slot>.| Pokémon | picked | leads when picked | opening moves | share of team’s KOs | share of damage | wins when picked / benched |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Staraptor |
100.0% | 65.8% | closecombat 67.7% bravebird 23.7% |
31.4% | 34.0% | 51.3% / — |
| Corviknight |
99.7% | 44.8% | bravebird 48.5% tailwind 24.8% |
26.0% | 24.7% | 51.3% / 50.0% |
| Tyranitar |
99.4% | 89.9% | icepunch 32.4% rockslide 19.9% |
18.3% | 19.5% | 51.5% / 25.0% |
| Lycanroc |
68.4% | 0.0% | — | 17.3% | 15.3% | 54.7% / 44.0% |
| Gholdengo |
30.6% | 0.5% | thunderbolt 100.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 42.6% / 55.1% |
| Goodra |
1.9% | 0.0% | — | 0.5% | 0.4% | 61.5% / 51.1% |
CorviknightleadTyranitarleadLycanrocin backStaraptorin backCorviknight most often opens Brave Bird (67% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Ice Punch (49% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 45.9% over 49 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Corviknight Tyranitar Goodrabenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Gholdengobencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four
Staraptorbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Helping Hand + Intimidate
Lycanrocbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
StaraptorleadTyranitarleadCorviknightin backLycanrocin backStaraptor most often opens Close Combat (95% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Rock Slide (77% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 88.3% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Tyranitar Goodrabenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Gholdengobenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Helping Hand + Intimidate
Lycanrocbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Corviknightbacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
StaraptorleadTyranitarleadCorviknightin backLycanrocin backStaraptor most often opens Close Combat (87% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Ice Punch (75% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 40.4% over 52 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Tyranitar Goodrabenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Gholdengobencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Helping Hand + Intimidate
Lycanrocbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Corviknightbacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
CorviknightleadTyranitarleadLycanrocin backStaraptorin backCorviknight most often opens Tailwind (39% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Tyranitar most often opens Ice Punch (65% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 58.3% over 54 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Corviknight Tyranitar Goodrabenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Gholdengobencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four
Staraptorbacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Helping Hand + Intimidate
Lycanrocbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
StaraptorleadTyranitarleadCorviknightin backLycanrocin backStaraptor most often opens Close Combat (72% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Rock Slide (15% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 28.6% over 42 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Tyranitar Goodrabenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Gholdengobenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Helping Hand + Intimidate
Lycanrocbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Corviknightbacka frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
CorviknightleadTyranitarleadLycanrocin backStaraptorin backCorviknight most often opens Brave Bird (62% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Low Kick (4% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 26.4% over 53 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Corviknight Tyranitar Goodrabenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Gholdengobencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four
Staraptorbacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Helping Hand + Intimidate
Lycanrocbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
StaraptorleadTyranitarleadCorviknightin backLycanrocin backStaraptor most often opens Close Combat (84% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Ice Punch (73% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 52.3% over 44 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Tyranitar Goodrabenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Gholdengobencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Helping Hand + Intimidate
Lycanrocbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Corviknightbacka frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
StaraptorleadTyranitarleadCorviknightin backLycanrocin backStaraptor most often opens Close Combat (67% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Knock Off (26% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 26.3% over 57 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Tyranitar Goodrabenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Gholdengobenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Helping Hand + Intimidate
Lycanrocbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Corviknightbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
| search rating | 1702 the lab’s own search ladder. It tracks the verified Elo almost exactly (r≈0.99 across the top 30) and is not evidence — the verified rating above is the one that counts. |
| rating uncertainty | ±45 at the ladder’s floor — this team has played far too many series for the rating to move much, which is true of every team on this board. |
| sample | 28,014 verified games · 651 opponents · 136 distinct cores |
| vs fixed references | 40.4% of games (11,328 of 28,014) games played against the lab’s fixed sparring teams. They count as rating evidence, but a record built mostly on them generalises less. |
| all verified matchups | Sinistcha (ranked build) 97.7% 480 gamesGholdengo 78.3% 480 gamesMilotic (ranked build) 76.5% 480 gamesPelipper (ranked build) 64.6% 576 gamesStaraptor-Mega 62.9% 504 gamesSableye (ranked build) 56.1% 528 gamesAerodactyl (ranked build) 54.6% 480 gamesAerodactyl-Mega 54.0% 480 gamesFarigiraf 48.2% 504 gamesSylveon 42.6% 528 gamesKingambit 42.3% 504 gamesFarigiraf (ranked build) 39.2% 480 games |
Corviknight @ Sitrus Berry Ability: Mirror Armor Level: 50 EVs: 20 HP / 29 Def / 2 SpD / 15 Spe Jolly Nature - Reflect - Tailwind - Brave Bird - Body Press Staraptor @ Staraptite Ability: Intimidate Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 18 Def / 12 SpD / 4 Spe Careful Nature - Close Combat - Protect - Brave Bird - Roost Hydreigon @ Choice Scarf Ability: Levitate Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 3 Def / 29 SpA / 32 Spe Calm Nature - Dark Pulse - Draco Meteor - Snarl - Earth Power Gholdengo @ Life Orb Ability: Good as Gold Level: 50 EVs: 27 HP / 3 Def / 29 SpA / 7 SpD Quiet Nature - Shadow Ball - Make It Rain - Sandstorm - Thunderbolt Charizard @ Wise Glasses Ability: Blaze Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 11 Def / 20 SpD / 3 Spe Timid Nature - Heat Wave - Bulldoze - Weather Ball - Overheat Garchomp @ Muscle Band Ability: Rough Skin Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 Atk / 32 Spe Jolly Nature - Dragon Claw - Earthquake - Protect - Rock Slide
Based on 28,014 verified Showdown games under the current rules, against 651 different opponents.
Two kinds of evidence appear here, and they are not equal.
Verified numbers come from real Pokémon Showdown battles played under the current ruleset — the engine the game is actually played on. These are the numbers that count.
Practice sim numbers come from a fast approximate simulator the lab uses to scout habits: which four get picked, who leads, what moves open the game. Good for reading tendencies, but hypotheses only — a practice-sim number is never proof and is always labelled.
Confidence chips grade the verified sample: Strong evidence means 500+ verified games against 8+ different opponents; Established 200+ against 6+; Still developing 60+ against 3+; Early anything less. “Scouting probe out of date” means the habit data was recorded before the latest rules update — the verified record itself is always current.
A “game” is counted from this team’s side of a battle. “Picked” means chosen among the four Pokémon actually brought to a battle — teams register six, only four play.
Corviknight Staraptor Gholdengo HydreigonWon 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Wins 53% of verified games when it plays (5,122 games) versus 61% when it is benched (2,312). A pattern from matchup choices, not proof — roster-ablate is the definitive test.
Wins 55% of verified games when it plays (6,706 games) versus 63% when it is benched (728). A pattern from matchup choices, not proof — roster-ablate is the definitive test.
Won only 8% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 8% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 8% of 24 verified games against it.
under max scrutiny: vs Kingambit (engine) 50.0% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs Farigiraf (engine) 52.5% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs tournament winners 47.5% (crucible, real engine)
Staraptordefault core100.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Corviknightdefault core97.5%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 98% of games.
Hydreigondefault core91.2%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 91% of games.
Gholdengoflex pick75.0%of games pickedPicked or benched depending on the opponent (75% of games overall); the matchup decides.
Garchompspecialist25.4%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 25% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
Charizardspecialist10.9%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 11% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
| Pokémon | verdict | picked | wins when picked / benched | swing | verified games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corviknight |
wins more when benched | 90.2% (6,706/7,434) | 54.5% (6,706) / 63.2% (728) | -9pp ±2 | 7,434 |
| Staraptor |
pulls its weight | 95.4% (7,089/7,434) | 56.6% (7,089) / 30.7% (345) | +26pp ±3 | 7,434 |
| Hydreigon |
wins more when benched | 68.9% (5,122/7,434) | 52.9% (5,122) / 61.0% (2,312) | -8pp ±1 | 7,434 |
| Gholdengo |
core pick | 90.0% (6,694/7,434) | 55.3% (6,694) / 55.9% (740) | -1pp ±2 | 7,434 |
| Charizard |
matchup specialist | 3.3% (243/7,434) | 64.2% (243) / 55.1% (7,191) | +9pp ±3 | 7,434 |
| Garchomp |
role player | 52.2% (3,882/7,434) | 57.5% (3,882) / 53.0% (3,552) | +5pp ±1 | 7,434 |
node cli.js roster-ablate 139689 0.node cli.js roster-ablate 139689 2.node cli.js roster-ablate <team> <slot>.| Pokémon | picked | leads when picked | opening moves | share of team’s KOs | share of damage | wins when picked / benched |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gholdengo |
75.0% | 20.4% | shadowball 41.3% makeitrain 37.5% |
25.2% | 23.5% | 48.8% / 60.9% |
| Corviknight |
97.5% | 71.5% | tailwind 44.9% bravebird 24.9% |
23.7% | 19.1% | 51.7% / 58.8% |
| Hydreigon |
91.2% | 18.2% | darkpulse 64.6% dracometeor 14.2% |
22.4% | 21.1% | 54.5% / 24.2% |
| Staraptor |
100.0% | 96.3% | closecombat 61.2% bravebird 17.4% |
21.6% | 28.7% | 51.8% / — |
| Garchomp |
25.4% | 8.1% | earthquake 78.6% dragonclaw 21.4% |
5.6% | 5.8% | 61.6% / 48.5% |
| Charizard |
10.9% | 0.0% | — | 1.5% | 1.6% | 29.1% / 54.6% |
CorviknightleadStaraptorleadGholdengoin backHydreigonin backCorviknight most often opens Tailwind (58% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Staraptor most often opens Protect (13% of its leads) — it scouts the opening and preserves board position.
Record with this lead pair: 24.2% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Corviknight Staraptor Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Hydreigonbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Snarl
Gholdengobacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Charizardbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Bulldoze
Garchompbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
CorviknightleadStaraptorleadGarchompin backHydreigonin backCorviknight most often opens Brave Bird (58% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (62% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 38.5% over 52 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Corviknight Staraptor Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Hydreigonbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Snarl
Gholdengobenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Charizardbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Bulldoze
Garchompbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
HydreigonleadStaraptorleadCorviknightin backGholdengoin backHydreigon most often opens Dark Pulse (90% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (90% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 66.1% over 59 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Hydreigon Corviknightbacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Hydreigonleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Snarl
Gholdengobacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Charizardbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Bulldoze
Garchompbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
CorviknightleadStaraptorleadGholdengoin backHydreigonin backCorviknight most often opens Reflect (52% of its leads) — it reduces incoming physical damage.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (87% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 11.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Corviknight Staraptor Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Hydreigonbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; offers Snarl
Gholdengobacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Charizardbencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; offers Bulldoze
Garchompbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
GholdengoleadStaraptorleadCorviknightin backHydreigonin backGholdengo most often opens Shadow Ball (70% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Brave Bird (75% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 55.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Gholdengo Corviknightbacka frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Hydreigonbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Snarl
Gholdengoleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Charizardbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Bulldoze
Garchompbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
CorviknightleadStaraptorleadGholdengoin backHydreigonin backCorviknight most often opens Tailwind (87% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (95% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 63.3% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Corviknight Staraptor Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Hydreigonbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Snarl
Gholdengobacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Charizardbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Bulldoze
Garchompbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
CorviknightleadStaraptorleadGholdengoin backHydreigonin backCorviknight most often opens Tailwind (65% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (78% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 77.6% over 58 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Corviknight Staraptor Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Hydreigonbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Snarl
Gholdengobacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Charizardbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Bulldoze
Garchompbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
CorviknightleadStaraptorleadGarchompin backHydreigonin backCorviknight most often opens Tailwind (60% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (53% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 64.2% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Corviknight Staraptor Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Hydreigonbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Snarl
Gholdengobenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Charizardbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Bulldoze
Garchompbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
| search rating | 1703 the lab’s own search ladder. It tracks the verified Elo almost exactly (r≈0.99 across the top 30) and is not evidence — the verified rating above is the one that counts. |
| rating uncertainty | ±45 at the ladder’s floor — this team has played far too many series for the rating to move much, which is true of every team on this board. |
| sample | 23,695 verified games · 659 opponents · 134 distinct cores |
| vs fixed references | 72.2% of games (17,113 of 23,695) games played against the lab’s fixed sparring teams. They count as rating evidence, but a record built mostly on them generalises less. |
| all verified matchups | Incineroar 95.0% 400 gamesFarigiraf 77.5% 400 gamesSylveon 72.5% 400 gamesfrancescopiopero (tournament team) 71.0% 300 gamesux9p70xuw8yanagitpoke (tournament team) 69.1% 456 gamesKingambit 67.5% 400 gamesFarigiraf 63.6% 264 gamesarsalpuri (tournament team) 61.9% 252 gamesGholdengo 52.5% 400 gamesArchaludon 45.0% 400 gamesAerodactyl-Mega 30.0% 400 gamesStaraptor-Mega 30.0% 400 games |
Scolipede @ Focus Sash Ability: Speed Boost Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 22 Atk / 3 Def / 4 SpD / 5 Spe Careful Nature - Steel Roller - Poison Jab - Swords Dance - Leech Life Basculegion-F @ Life Orb Ability: Adaptability Level: 50 EVs: 4 HP / 17 Def / 16 SpA / 29 Spe Modest Nature - Shadow Ball - Muddy Water - Protect - Ice Beam Gyarados @ Expert Belt Ability: Intimidate Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 28 Atk / 6 Def Careful Nature - Earthquake - Stone Edge - Power Whip - Icy Wind Chimecho @ Chimechite Ability: Levitate Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 2 Def / 32 SpA Sassy Nature - Flash Cannon - Psychic - Trick Room - Protect Krookodile @ Choice Scarf Ability: Intimidate Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 30 Atk / 8 SpD / 26 Spe Adamant Nature - Earthquake - Knock Off - Rock Slide - Protect Staraptor @ Staraptite Ability: Intimidate Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 14 Def / 20 SpD Jolly Nature - Close Combat - Protect - Brave Bird - Roost
Based on 23,695 verified Showdown games under the current rules, against 659 different opponents.
Two kinds of evidence appear here, and they are not equal.
Verified numbers come from real Pokémon Showdown battles played under the current ruleset — the engine the game is actually played on. These are the numbers that count.
Practice sim numbers come from a fast approximate simulator the lab uses to scout habits: which four get picked, who leads, what moves open the game. Good for reading tendencies, but hypotheses only — a practice-sim number is never proof and is always labelled.
Confidence chips grade the verified sample: Strong evidence means 500+ verified games against 8+ different opponents; Established 200+ against 6+; Still developing 60+ against 3+; Early anything less. “Scouting probe out of date” means the habit data was recorded before the latest rules update — the verified record itself is always current.
A “game” is counted from this team’s side of a battle. “Picked” means chosen among the four Pokémon actually brought to a battle — teams register six, only four play.
Gyarados Staraptor Basculegion-FWon 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Wins 59% of verified games when it plays (8,207 games) versus 69% when it is benched (11,088). A pattern from matchup choices, not proof — roster-ablate is the definitive test.
Chosen for the battle in only 0% of 19,295 verified games — a roster slot doing very little work.
Won only 4% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 8% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 8% of 24 verified games against it.
under max scrutiny: vs Archaludon (engine) 45.0% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs Staraptor-Mega (engine) 30.0% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs Aerodactyl-Mega (engine) 30.0% (crucible, real engine)
Staraptordefault core100.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Gyaradosdefault core99.4%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 99% of games.
Basculegion-Fdefault core92.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 92% of games.
Chimechoflex pick62.9%of games pickedPicked or benched depending on the opponent (63% of games overall); the matchup decides.
Krookodilespecialist44.5%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 45% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
Scolipedespecialist1.2%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 1% of games.
| Pokémon | verdict | picked | wins when picked / benched | swing | verified games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scolipede |
rarely picked | 0.3% (58/19,295) | 63.8% (58) / 65.0% (19,237) | -1pp ±7 | 19,295 |
| Basculegion-F |
pulls its weight | 96.6% (18,643/19,295) | 65.3% (18,643) / 55.7% (652) | +10pp ±2 | 19,295 |
| Gyarados |
core pick | 99.4% (19,187/19,295) | 65.0% (19,187) / 63.0% (108) | +2pp ±5 | 19,295 |
| Chimecho |
wins more when benched | 42.5% (8,207/19,295) | 59.0% (8,207) / 69.4% (11,088) | -10pp ±1 | 19,295 |
| Krookodile |
pulls its weight | 61.8% (11,930/19,295) | 68.5% (11,930) / 59.3% (7,365) | +9pp ±1 | 19,295 |
| Staraptor |
core pick | 99.3% (19,155/19,295) | 65.0% (19,155) / 59.3% (140) | +6pp ±4 | 19,295 |
node cli.js roster-ablate 57108 3.node cli.js roster-ablate <team> <slot>.| Pokémon | picked | leads when picked | opening moves | share of team’s KOs | share of damage | wins when picked / benched |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Staraptor |
100.0% | 91.7% | closecombat 80.5% protect 4.7% |
35.9% | 36.3% | 37.9% / — |
| Gyarados |
99.4% | 59.7% | earthquake 50.4% stoneedge 31.2% |
27.4% | 27.6% | 37.9% / 25.0% |
| Basculegion-F |
92.0% | 11.6% | shadowball 12.5% muddywater 4.2% |
21.8% | 19.7% | 40.2% / 11.1% |
| Krookodile |
44.5% | 6.3% | earthquake 78.9% protect 10.5% |
8.4% | 9.5% | 45.5% / 31.7% |
| Chimecho |
62.9% | 56.5% | flashcannon 25.4% protect 25.0% |
6.3% | 6.6% | 28.9% / 53.0% |
| Scolipede |
1.2% | 0.0% | — | 0.2% | 0.3% | 37.5% / 37.9% |
ChimecholeadStaraptorleadBasculegion-Fin backGyaradosin backChimecho most often opens Flash Cannon (32% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (17% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 12.5% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Chimecho Staraptor Scolipedebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Basculegion-Fbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Gyaradosbacka frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Icy Wind + Intimidate
Chimecholeada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Trick Room
Krookodilebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Intimidate
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
GyaradosleadStaraptorleadBasculegion-Fin backKrookodilein backGyarados most often opens Stone Edge (90% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (98% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 85.8% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Gyarados Staraptor Scolipedebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Basculegion-Fbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Gyaradosleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Icy Wind + Intimidate
Chimechobenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; has a direct Trick Room answer; offers Trick Room
Krookodilebacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
GyaradosleadStaraptorleadBasculegion-Fin backKrookodilein backGyarados most often opens Earthquake (92% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (100% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 32.7% over 52 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Gyarados Staraptor Scolipedebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Basculegion-Fbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Gyaradosleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Icy Wind + Intimidate
Chimechobenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; has a direct Trick Room answer; offers Trick Room
Krookodilebacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
GyaradosleadStaraptorleadBasculegion-Fin backChimechoin backGyarados most often opens Earthquake (92% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (100% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 25.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Gyarados Staraptor Scolipedebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Basculegion-Fbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Gyaradosleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; directly reduces physical damage; offers Icy Wind + Intimidate
Chimechobacka frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Trick Room
Krookodilebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
GyaradosleadStaraptorleadBasculegion-Fin backChimechoin backGyarados most often opens Power Whip (63% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (81% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 46.0% over 50 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Gyarados Staraptor Scolipedebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Basculegion-Fbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Gyaradosleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Icy Wind + Intimidate
Chimechobacka frequent selection in this matchup; has a direct Trick Room answer; can contest the speed race; offers Trick Room
Krookodilebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Intimidate
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
ChimecholeadStaraptorleadBasculegion-Fin backGyaradosin backChimecho most often opens Trick Room (67% of its leads) — it reverses the speed order.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (100% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 62.5% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Chimecho Staraptor Scolipedebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Basculegion-Fbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Gyaradosbacka frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; directly reduces physical damage; offers Icy Wind + Intimidate
Chimecholeada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Trick Room
Krookodilebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
ChimecholeadGyaradosleadBasculegion-Fin backStaraptorin backChimecho most often opens Protect (50% of its leads) — it scouts the opening and preserves board position.
Gyarados most often opens Earthquake (85% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 6.4% over 47 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Gyarados Chimecho Scolipedebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Basculegion-Fbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Gyaradosleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; directly reduces physical damage; offers Icy Wind + Intimidate
Chimecholeada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Trick Room
Krookodilebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Staraptorbacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Basculegion-FleadStaraptorleadGyaradosin backKrookodilein backBasculegion-F most often opens Protect (2% of its leads) — it scouts the opening and preserves board position.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (58% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 17.8% over 59 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Basculegion-F Staraptor Scolipedebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Basculegion-Fleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Gyaradosbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Icy Wind + Intimidate
Chimechobenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; has a direct Trick Room answer; offers Trick Room
Krookodilebacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
| search rating | 1693 the lab’s own search ladder. It tracks the verified Elo almost exactly (r≈0.99 across the top 30) and is not evidence — the verified rating above is the one that counts. |
| rating uncertainty | ±45 at the ladder’s floor — this team has played far too many series for the rating to move much, which is true of every team on this board. |
| sample | 21,764 verified games · 664 opponents · 129 distinct cores |
| vs fixed references | 64.9% of games (14,120 of 21,764) games played against the lab’s fixed sparring teams. They count as rating evidence, but a record built mostly on them generalises less. |
| all verified matchups | ux9p70xuw8yanagitpoke (tournament team) 77.3% 216 gamesSylveon 76.9% 216 gamesArchaludon 76.4% 216 gamesFarigiraf (ranked build) 75.5% 216 gamesSinistcha (ranked build) 75.0% 216 gamesKingambit 73.3% 240 gamesGholdengo 71.7% 240 gamesPelipper (ranked build) 70.4% 240 gamesFarigiraf 69.4% 288 gamesMilotic (ranked build) 69.0% 216 gamesStaraptor-Mega 68.3% 240 gamesAerodactyl-Mega 28.4% 264 games |
Ninetales-Alola @ Light Clay Ability: Snow Warning Level: 50 EVs: 26 HP / 9 Def / 31 SpA Modest Nature - Blizzard - Protect - Freeze-Dry - Aurora Veil Staraptor @ Choice Scarf Ability: Intimidate Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 2 Atk / 4 SpD / 28 Spe Impish Nature - Final Gambit - Close Combat - Brave Bird - Roost Dragonite @ Dragoninite Ability: Multiscale Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 2 Def / 29 SpA / 3 Spe Modest Nature - Heat Wave - Dragon Pulse - Hurricane - Tailwind Typhlosion @ Life Orb Ability: Flash Fire Level: 50 EVs: 26 HP / 6 Def / 31 SpA / 3 Spe Modest Nature - Eruption - Scorching Sands - Heat Wave - Shadow Ball Garchomp @ Muscle Band Ability: Sand Veil Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 Atk / 32 Spe Jolly Nature - Protect - Earthquake - Rock Slide - Dragon Claw Gardevoir @ Wise Glasses Ability: Telepathy Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 4 Def / 28 SpA / 2 SpD Sassy Nature - Moonblast - Dazzling Gleam - Psychic - Aura Sphere
Based on 21,764 verified Showdown games under the current rules, against 664 different opponents.
Two kinds of evidence appear here, and they are not equal.
Verified numbers come from real Pokémon Showdown battles played under the current ruleset — the engine the game is actually played on. These are the numbers that count.
Practice sim numbers come from a fast approximate simulator the lab uses to scout habits: which four get picked, who leads, what moves open the game. Good for reading tendencies, but hypotheses only — a practice-sim number is never proof and is always labelled.
Confidence chips grade the verified sample: Strong evidence means 500+ verified games against 8+ different opponents; Established 200+ against 6+; Still developing 60+ against 3+; Early anything less. “Scouting probe out of date” means the habit data was recorded before the latest rules update — the verified record itself is always current.
A “game” is counted from this team’s side of a battle. “Picked” means chosen among the four Pokémon actually brought to a battle — teams register six, only four play.
Dragonite Staraptor Gardevoir TyphlosionWon 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Chosen for the battle in only 19% of 21,324 verified games — a roster slot doing very little work.
Won only 0% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 4% of 48 verified games against it.
Won only 8% of 24 verified games against it.
under max scrutiny: vs Aerodactyl-Mega (engine) 42.5% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs tournament winners 50.0% (crucible, real engine)
predictable preview: Dragonite + Staraptor leads 100.0% of games (666 of 666 probe games) — a scouted opponent can counter-lead it
Dragonitedefault core100.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Staraptordefault core100.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Typhlosiondefault core97.1%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 97% of games.
Gardevoirflex pick57.5%of games pickedPicked or benched depending on the opponent (58% of games overall); the matchup decides.
Garchompspecialist35.4%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 35% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
Ninetales-Alolaspecialist9.9%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 10% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
| Pokémon | verdict | picked | wins when picked / benched | swing | verified games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ninetales-Alola |
rarely picked | 19.1% (4,080/21,324) | 60.8% (4,080) / 63.4% (17,244) | -3pp ±1 | 21,324 |
| Staraptor |
core pick | 100.0% (21,324/21,324) | 62.9% (21,324) / never benched | — | 21,324 |
| Dragonite |
core pick | 100.0% (21,324/21,324) | 62.9% (21,324) / never benched | — | 21,324 |
| Typhlosion |
pulls its weight | 80.4% (17,138/21,324) | 65.4% (17,138) / 52.7% (4,186) | +13pp ±1 | 21,324 |
| Garchomp |
role player | 64.0% (13,656/21,324) | 62.5% (13,656) / 63.6% (7,668) | -1pp ±1 | 21,324 |
| Gardevoir |
role player | 36.5% (7,774/21,324) | 59.2% (7,774) / 65.0% (13,550) | -6pp ±1 | 21,324 |
node cli.js roster-ablate <team> <slot>.| Pokémon | picked | leads when picked | opening moves | share of team’s KOs | share of damage | wins when picked / benched |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dragonite |
100.0% | 100.0% | tailwind 31.7% hurricane 28.8% |
47.7% | 45.6% | 72.7% / — |
| Staraptor |
100.0% | 100.0% | finalgambit 64.4% bravebird 29.4% |
19.1% | 22.1% | 72.7% / — |
| Typhlosion |
97.1% | 0.0% | — | 13.2% | 14.0% | 73.2% / 57.9% |
| Garchomp |
35.4% | 0.0% | — | 8.9% | 8.9% | 78.8% / 69.4% |
| Gardevoir |
57.5% | 0.0% | — | 8.4% | 7.3% | 65.8% / 82.2% |
| Ninetales-Alola |
9.9% | 0.0% | — | 2.7% | 2.2% | 87.1% / 71.2% |
DragoniteleadStaraptorleadGardevoirin backTyphlosionin backDragonite most often opens Tailwind (83% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Staraptor most often opens Final Gambit (98% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 81.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Dragonite Ninetales-Alolabenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Aurora Veil + snow setter
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Dragoniteleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Typhlosionbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Garchompbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Gardevoirbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
DragoniteleadStaraptorleadGarchompin backTyphlosionin backDragonite most often opens Hurricane (90% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Brave Bird (90% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 90.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Dragonite Ninetales-Alolabenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Aurora Veil + snow setter
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Dragoniteleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Tailwind
Typhlosionbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Garchompbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Gardevoirbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
DragoniteleadStaraptorleadGardevoirin backTyphlosionin backDragonite most often opens Dragon Pulse (52% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Final Gambit (90% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 68.3% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Dragonite Ninetales-Alolabenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Aurora Veil + snow setter
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Dragoniteleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Tailwind
Typhlosionbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Garchompbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Gardevoirbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
DragoniteleadStaraptorleadGardevoirin backTyphlosionin backDragonite most often opens Tailwind (77% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Staraptor most often opens Final Gambit (92% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 71.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Dragonite Ninetales-Alolabenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Aurora Veil + snow setter
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Dragoniteleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Typhlosionbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Garchompbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Gardevoirbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
DragoniteleadStaraptorleadNinetales-Alolain backTyphlosionin backDragonite most often opens Hurricane (90% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Brave Bird (82% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 87.5% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Dragonite Ninetales-Alolabacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Aurora Veil + snow setter
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Dragoniteleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Typhlosionbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Garchompbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Gardevoirbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
DragoniteleadStaraptorleadGardevoirin backTyphlosionin backDragonite most often opens Tailwind (68% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Staraptor most often opens Final Gambit (57% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 70.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Dragonite Ninetales-Alolabenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Aurora Veil + snow setter
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Dragoniteleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Typhlosionbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Garchompbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Gardevoirbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
DragoniteleadStaraptorleadGardevoirin backTyphlosionin backDragonite most often opens Dragon Pulse (48% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Final Gambit (97% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 11.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Dragonite Ninetales-Alolabenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Aurora Veil + snow setter
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Dragoniteleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Typhlosionbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Garchompbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Gardevoirbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
DragoniteleadStaraptorleadGarchompin backTyphlosionin backDragonite most often opens Heat Wave (72% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Brave Bird (45% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 76.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Dragonite Ninetales-Alolabenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Aurora Veil + snow setter
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Dragoniteleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Tailwind
Typhlosionbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Garchompbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Gardevoirbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
| search rating | 1712 the lab’s own search ladder. It tracks the verified Elo almost exactly (r≈0.99 across the top 30) and is not evidence — the verified rating above is the one that counts. |
| rating uncertainty | ±45 at the ladder’s floor — this team has played far too many series for the rating to move much, which is true of every team on this board. |
| sample | 27,558 verified games · 450 opponents · 181 distinct cores |
| vs fixed references | 30.5% of games (8,400 of 27,558) games played against the lab’s fixed sparring teams. They count as rating evidence, but a record built mostly on them generalises less. |
| all verified matchups | Incineroar 90.0% 360 gamesfrancescopiopero (tournament team) 79.2% 192 gamesArchaludon 75.0% 360 gamesangrypnuts (tournament team) 73.2% 228 gamesGholdengo 67.5% 360 gamesStaraptor-Mega 62.5% 360 gamesarsalpuri (tournament team) 56.8% 192 gamesqu1ck (tournament team) 56.3% 192 gamesAerodactyl-Mega 52.5% 360 gamesSylveon 47.5% 360 gamesKingambit 40.0% 360 gamesFarigiraf 30.0% 360 games |
Ninetales-Alola @ Never-Melt Ice Ability: Snow Warning Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 SpA / 32 Spe Bold Nature - Blizzard - Protect - Freeze-Dry - Aurora Veil Froslass @ Wide Lens Ability: Snow Cloak Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 2 Atk / 32 Spe Jolly Nature - Triple Axel - Protect - Will-O-Wisp - Aurora Veil Gyarados @ Expert Belt Ability: Intimidate Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 28 Atk / 6 Def Careful Nature - Earthquake - Stone Edge - Power Whip - Icy Wind Flareon @ White Herb Ability: Flash Fire Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 20 Atk / 14 Def Brave Nature - Flare Blitz - Superpower - Detect - Roar Typhlosion-Hisui @ Choice Scarf Ability: Frisk Level: 50 EVs: 4 HP / 4 Def / 29 SpA / 29 Spe Calm Nature - Eruption - Shadow Ball - Heat Wave - Burn Up Staraptor @ Staraptite Ability: Intimidate Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 Atk / 32 Spe Adamant Nature - Close Combat - Protect - Brave Bird - Roost
Based on 27,558 verified Showdown games under the current rules, against 450 different opponents.
Two kinds of evidence appear here, and they are not equal.
Verified numbers come from real Pokémon Showdown battles played under the current ruleset — the engine the game is actually played on. These are the numbers that count.
Practice sim numbers come from a fast approximate simulator the lab uses to scout habits: which four get picked, who leads, what moves open the game. Good for reading tendencies, but hypotheses only — a practice-sim number is never proof and is always labelled.
Confidence chips grade the verified sample: Strong evidence means 500+ verified games against 8+ different opponents; Established 200+ against 6+; Still developing 60+ against 3+; Early anything less. “Scouting probe out of date” means the habit data was recorded before the latest rules update — the verified record itself is always current.
A “game” is counted from this team’s side of a battle. “Picked” means chosen among the four Pokémon actually brought to a battle — teams register six, only four play.
Ninetales-Alola Staraptor Gyarados Typhlosion-HisuiWon 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 96% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 96% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 0% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 8% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 8% of 24 verified games against it.
under max scrutiny: vs Farigiraf (engine) 42.5% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs Sylveon (engine) 50.0% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs disruptor players 39.6% (crucible, real engine)
Staraptordefault core100.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Gyaradosdefault core97.3%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 97% of games.
Ninetales-Aloladefault core96.9%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 97% of games.
Typhlosion-Hisuiflex pick63.8%of games pickedPicked or benched depending on the opponent (64% of games overall); the matchup decides.
Flareonspecialist22.0%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 22% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
Froslassspecialist19.9%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 20% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
| Pokémon | verdict | picked | wins when picked / benched | swing | verified games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ninetales-Alola |
core pick | 99.7% (13,351/13,386) | 58.4% (13,351) / 62.9% (35) | -4pp ±8 | 13,386 |
| Froslass |
role player | 48.4% (6,477/13,386) | 61.7% (6,477) / 55.3% (6,909) | +6pp ±1 | 13,386 |
| Gyarados |
core pick | 92.8% (12,416/13,386) | 58.7% (12,416) / 54.5% (970) | +4pp ±2 | 13,386 |
| Flareon |
role player | 30.1% (4,031/13,386) | 53.1% (4,031) / 60.7% (9,355) | -8pp ±1 | 13,386 |
| Typhlosion-Hisui |
role player | 29.7% (3,973/13,386) | 57.0% (3,973) / 59.0% (9,413) | -2pp ±1 | 13,386 |
| Staraptor |
pulls its weight | 99.3% (13,296/13,386) | 58.6% (13,296) / 34.4% (90) | +24pp ±5 | 13,386 |
node cli.js roster-ablate <team> <slot>.| Pokémon | picked | leads when picked | opening moves | share of team’s KOs | share of damage | wins when picked / benched |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Staraptor |
100.0% | 77.2% | closecombat 53.6% bravebird 26.0% |
32.9% | 32.0% | 31.8% / — |
| Gyarados |
97.3% | 30.4% | powerwhip 47.2% stoneedge 44.2% |
26.5% | 23.4% | 32.6% / 5.6% |
| Ninetales-Alola |
96.9% | 94.0% | blizzard 43.0% freezedry 27.5% |
19.3% | 23.9% | 31.2% / 52.4% |
| Typhlosion-Hisui |
63.8% | 0.9% | eruption 75.0% burnup 25.0% |
9.5% | 12.0% | 28.7% / 37.4% |
| Froslass |
19.9% | 0.0% | — | 6.2% | 4.5% | 36.6% / 30.7% |
| Flareon |
22.0% | 6.8% | flareblitz 50.0% superpower 20.0% |
5.6% | 4.3% | 36.5% / 30.5% |
Ninetales-AlolaleadStaraptorleadGyaradosin backTyphlosion-Hisuiin backNinetales-Alola most often opens Aurora Veil (32% of its leads) — it sets dual damage mitigation.
Staraptor most often opens Brave Bird (4% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 19.4% over 49 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Ninetales-Alola Staraptor Ninetales-Alolaleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Aurora Veil + snow setter
Froslassbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Will-O-Wisp + Aurora Veil
Gyaradosbacka frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Icy Wind + Intimidate
Flareonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers phazing
Typhlosion-Hisuibacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Ninetales-AlolaleadStaraptorleadGyaradosin backTyphlosion-Hisuiin backNinetales-Alola most often opens Blizzard (83% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (97% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 68.1% over 36 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Ninetales-Alola Staraptor Ninetales-Alolaleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Aurora Veil + snow setter
Froslassbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; directly reduces physical damage; offers Will-O-Wisp + Aurora Veil
Gyaradosbacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Icy Wind + Intimidate
Flareonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; has a direct Trick Room answer; offers phazing
Typhlosion-Hisuibacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Ninetales-AlolaleadStaraptorleadGyaradosin backTyphlosion-Hisuiin backNinetales-Alola most often opens Blizzard (53% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (96% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 10.6% over 47 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Ninetales-Alola Staraptor Ninetales-Alolaleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Aurora Veil + snow setter
Froslassbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; directly reduces physical damage; offers Will-O-Wisp + Aurora Veil
Gyaradosbacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Icy Wind + Intimidate
Flareonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; has a direct Trick Room answer; offers phazing
Typhlosion-Hisuibacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
GyaradosleadNinetales-AlolaleadStaraptorin backTyphlosion-Hisuiin backGyarados most often opens Power Whip (97% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Ninetales-Alola most often opens Freeze-Dry (60% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 13.3% over 30 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Ninetales-Alola Gyarados Ninetales-Alolaleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Aurora Veil + snow setter
Froslassbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; directly reduces physical damage; offers Will-O-Wisp + Aurora Veil
Gyaradosleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; directly reduces physical damage; offers Icy Wind + Intimidate
Flareonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers phazing
Typhlosion-Hisuibacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorbacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Ninetales-AlolaleadStaraptorleadGyaradosin backTyphlosion-Hisuiin backNinetales-Alola most often opens Freeze-Dry (88% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Brave Bird (100% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 56.8% over 44 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Ninetales-Alola Staraptor Ninetales-Alolaleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Aurora Veil + snow setter
Froslassbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Will-O-Wisp + Aurora Veil
Gyaradosbacka frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Icy Wind + Intimidate
Flareonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; has a direct Trick Room answer; offers phazing
Typhlosion-Hisuibacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Ninetales-AlolaleadStaraptorleadFroslassin backGyaradosin backNinetales-Alola most often opens Blizzard (97% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (91% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 36.2% over 47 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Ninetales-Alola Staraptor Ninetales-Alolaleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Aurora Veil + snow setter
Froslassbacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Will-O-Wisp + Aurora Veil
Gyaradosbacka frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; directly reduces physical damage; offers Icy Wind + Intimidate
Flareonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers phazing
Typhlosion-Hisuibenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
GyaradosleadNinetales-AlolaleadFroslassin backStaraptorin backGyarados most often opens Stone Edge (60% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Ninetales-Alola most often opens Blizzard (60% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 38.3% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Ninetales-Alola Gyarados Ninetales-Alolaleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Aurora Veil + snow setter
Froslassbacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Will-O-Wisp + Aurora Veil
Gyaradosleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; directly reduces physical damage; offers Icy Wind + Intimidate
Flareonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers phazing
Typhlosion-Hisuibenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Staraptorbacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Ninetales-AlolaleadStaraptorleadFlareonin backGyaradosin backNinetales-Alola most often opens Blizzard (65% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (65% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 11.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Ninetales-Alola Staraptor Ninetales-Alolaleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Aurora Veil + snow setter
Froslassbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Will-O-Wisp + Aurora Veil
Gyaradosbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Icy Wind + Intimidate
Flareonbacka frequent selection in this matchup; has a direct Trick Room answer; carries anti-setup control; offers phazing
Typhlosion-Hisuibenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
| search rating | 1688 the lab’s own search ladder. It tracks the verified Elo almost exactly (r≈0.99 across the top 30) and is not evidence — the verified rating above is the one that counts. |
| rating uncertainty | ±45 at the ladder’s floor — this team has played far too many series for the rating to move much, which is true of every team on this board. |
| sample | 23,840 verified games · 621 opponents · 117 distinct cores |
| vs fixed references | 73.4% of games (17,504 of 23,840) games played against the lab’s fixed sparring teams. They count as rating evidence, but a record built mostly on them generalises less. |
| practice-sim score | 63.7% ≈72.6% calibrated the fast simulator’s own guess — a hypothesis, not a result. it currently reads about 9 points cold versus real Showdown. |
| hidden-teams Bo3 (sim) | 47.2% practice-sim best-of-3 with team sheets hidden — a habit probe. |
| any-pilot floor | 56.6% worst result across several competent play styles; the styles disagree by 7 points. A team only a perfect pilot can win with scores low here. |
| surprise bonus | +17 pts how much more it wins when its sets are hidden, on the same opponents. |
| all verified matchups | Staraptor-Mega 97.5% 440 gamesFarigiraf 95.0% 440 gamesAerodactyl-Mega 87.5% 440 gamesSylveon 87.5% 440 gamesKingambit 85.0% 440 gamesGholdengo 72.5% 440 gamesIncineroar 60.0% 440 gamesdryster (tournament team) 50.8% 240 gamesqu1ck (tournament team) 27.0% 408 gamesorangesteve (tournament team) 12.1% 240 gamesArchaludon 7.5% 440 gamesarsalpuri (tournament team) 7.2% 236 games |
Gyarados @ Gyaradosite Ability: Intimidate Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 24 Atk / 10 Spe Adamant Nature - Waterfall - Ice Fang - Dragon Dance - Crunch Azumarill @ Sitrus Berry Ability: Huge Power Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 32 Atk / 2 Def Sassy Nature - Aqua Jet - Play Rough - Bulldoze - Liquidation Ninetales @ Choice Scarf Ability: Flash Fire Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 SpA / 32 Spe Bold Nature - Heat Wave - Solar Beam - Overheat - Fake Tears Corviknight @ Leftovers Ability: Mirror Armor Level: 50 EVs: 24 HP / 29 Def / 13 Spe Jolly Nature - Reflect - Tailwind - Brave Bird - Body Press Salazzle @ Focus Sash Ability: Corrosion Level: 50 EVs: 6 HP / 28 SpA / 32 Spe Timid Nature - Fake Out - Sludge Bomb - Toxic - Heat Wave Typhlosion @ Life Orb Ability: Flash Fire Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 2 Def / 30 SpA / 2 Spe Timid Nature - Blast Burn - Burn Up - Heat Wave - Eruption
Based on 23,840 verified Showdown games under the current rules, against 621 different opponents.
Two kinds of evidence appear here, and they are not equal.
Verified numbers come from real Pokémon Showdown battles played under the current ruleset — the engine the game is actually played on. These are the numbers that count.
Practice sim numbers come from a fast approximate simulator the lab uses to scout habits: which four get picked, who leads, what moves open the game. Good for reading tendencies, but hypotheses only — a practice-sim number is never proof and is always labelled.
Confidence chips grade the verified sample: Strong evidence means 500+ verified games against 8+ different opponents; Established 200+ against 6+; Still developing 60+ against 3+; Early anything less. “Scouting probe out of date” means the habit data was recorded before the latest rules update — the verified record itself is always current.
A “game” is counted from this team’s side of a battle. “Picked” means chosen among the four Pokémon actually brought to a battle — teams register six, only four play.
Corviknight Gyarados Azumarill TyphlosionWon 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Chosen for the battle in only 3% of 18,426 verified games — a roster slot doing very little work.
Wins 60% of verified games when it plays (17,858 games) versus 73% when it is benched (568). A pattern from matchup choices, not proof — roster-ablate is the definitive test.
Chosen for the battle in only 16% of 18,426 verified games — a roster slot doing very little work.
Won only 0% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 0% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 0% of 24 verified games against it.
under max scrutiny: vs Archaludon (engine) 7.5% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs tournament winners 45.0% (crucible, real engine)
predictable preview: Corviknight + Gyarados leads 94.7% of games (649 of 685 probe games) — a scouted opponent can counter-lead it
Gyaradosdefault core100.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Corviknightdefault core99.9%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Typhlosiondefault core98.4%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 98% of games.
Azumarilldefault core91.5%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 92% of games.
Ninetalesspecialist9.9%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 10% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
Salazzlespecialist0.3%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 0% of games.
| Pokémon | verdict | picked | wins when picked / benched | swing | verified games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gyarados |
core pick | 100.0% (18,426/18,426) | 60.5% (18,426) / never benched | — | 18,426 |
| Azumarill |
pulls its weight | 89.4% (16,479/18,426) | 63.8% (16,479) / 32.4% (1,947) | +31pp ±1 | 18,426 |
| Ninetales |
rarely picked | 15.7% (2,901/18,426) | 44.3% (2,901) / 63.5% (15,525) | -19pp ±1 | 18,426 |
| Corviknight |
wins more when benched | 96.9% (17,858/18,426) | 60.1% (17,858) / 73.2% (568) | -13pp ±2 | 18,426 |
| Salazzle |
rarely picked | 2.5% (469/18,426) | 64.8% (469) / 60.4% (17,957) | +4pp ±2 | 18,426 |
| Typhlosion |
core pick | 95.4% (17,571/18,426) | 60.3% (17,571) / 63.5% (855) | -3pp ±2 | 18,426 |
node cli.js roster-ablate 181365 3.node cli.js roster-ablate <team> <slot>.| Pokémon | picked | leads when picked | opening moves | share of team’s KOs | share of damage | wins when picked / benched |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gyarados |
100.0% | 100.0% | crunch 39.4% icefang 37.5% |
33.5% | 36.2% | 52.4% / — |
| Azumarill |
91.5% | 3.3% | liquidation 47.6% playrough 14.3% |
26.5% | 19.2% | 55.7% / 17.2% |
| Typhlosion |
98.4% | 2.2% | eruption 80.0% burnup 13.3% |
20.4% | 24.9% | 52.4% / 54.5% |
| Corviknight |
99.9% | 94.9% | tailwind 59.6% bravebird 29.1% |
19.3% | 19.4% | 52.3% / 100.0% |
| Ninetales |
9.9% | 0.0% | — | 0.2% | 0.4% | 22.1% / 55.8% |
| Salazzle |
0.3% | 0.0% | — | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% / 52.3% |
CorviknightleadGyaradosleadAzumarillin backTyphlosionin backCorviknight most often opens Tailwind (82% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Gyarados most often opens Crunch (52% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 61.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Gyarados Corviknight Gyaradosleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Azumarillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Bulldoze
Ninetalesbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Salazzlebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Fake Out
Typhlosionbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
CorviknightleadGyaradosleadAzumarillin backTyphlosionin backCorviknight most often opens Brave Bird (70% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Gyarados most often opens Crunch (87% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 26.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Gyarados Corviknight Gyaradosleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Azumarillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Bulldoze
Ninetalesbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Salazzlebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Fake Out
Typhlosionbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
CorviknightleadGyaradosleadAzumarillin backTyphlosionin backCorviknight most often opens Tailwind (82% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Gyarados most often opens Ice Fang (72% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 58.3% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Gyarados Corviknight Gyaradosleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Azumarillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Bulldoze
Ninetalesbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Salazzlebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Fake Out
Typhlosionbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
CorviknightleadGyaradosleadAzumarillin backTyphlosionin backCorviknight most often opens Tailwind (90% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Gyarados most often opens Ice Fang (80% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 43.3% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Gyarados Corviknight Gyaradosleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Azumarillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Bulldoze
Ninetalesbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Salazzlebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Fake Out
Typhlosionbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
CorviknightleadGyaradosleadNinetalesin backTyphlosionin backCorviknight most often opens Brave Bird (80% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Gyarados most often opens Crunch (100% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 20.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Gyarados Corviknight Gyaradosleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Azumarillbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Bulldoze
Ninetalesbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Salazzlebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Fake Out
Typhlosionbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
CorviknightleadGyaradosleadAzumarillin backTyphlosionin backCorviknight most often opens Tailwind (58% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Gyarados most often opens Ice Fang (95% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 63.3% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Gyarados Corviknight Gyaradosleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Azumarillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Bulldoze
Ninetalesbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Salazzlebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Fake Out
Typhlosionbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
CorviknightleadGyaradosleadAzumarillin backTyphlosionin backCorviknight most often opens Tailwind (82% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Gyarados most often opens Waterfall (78% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 65.8% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Gyarados Corviknight Gyaradosleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Azumarillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Bulldoze
Ninetalesbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Salazzlebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Fake Out
Typhlosionbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
CorviknightleadGyaradosleadAzumarillin backTyphlosionin backCorviknight most often opens Tailwind (77% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Gyarados most often opens Ice Fang (53% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 80.8% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Gyarados Corviknight Gyaradosleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Azumarillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Bulldoze
Ninetalesbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Salazzlebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Fake Out
Typhlosionbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
| search rating | 1696 the lab’s own search ladder. It tracks the verified Elo almost exactly (r≈0.99 across the top 30) and is not evidence — the verified rating above is the one that counts. |
| rating uncertainty | ±45 at the ladder’s floor — this team has played far too many series for the rating to move much, which is true of every team on this board. |
| sample | 28,932 verified games · 723 opponents · 145 distinct cores |
| vs fixed references | 44.5% of games (12,888 of 28,932) games played against the lab’s fixed sparring teams. They count as rating evidence, but a record built mostly on them generalises less. |
| all verified matchups | Farigiraf 82.2% 600 gamesRaichu (ranked build) 77.8% 600 gamesSylveon 74.2% 648 gamesArchaludon 71.5% 600 gamesFarigiraf (ranked build) 70.8% 648 gamesAerodactyl (ranked build) 68.8% 600 gamesPelipper (ranked build) 66.7% 576 gamesAerodactyl-Mega 65.1% 696 gamesMilotic (ranked build) 57.6% 696 gamesWhimsicott (ranked build) 57.4% 720 gamesGholdengo 48.4% 672 gamesStaraptor-Mega 42.4% 720 games |
Aerodactyl @ Aerodactylite Ability: Unnerve Level: 50 EVs: 22 HP / 12 Atk / 32 Spe Jolly Nature - Rock Slide - Tailwind - Dual Wingbeat - Protect Staraptor @ Staraptite Ability: Intimidate Level: 50 EVs: 1 HP / 32 Atk / 1 SpD / 32 Spe Adamant Nature - Close Combat - Protect - Brave Bird - Roost Sylveon @ Fairy Feather Ability: Pixilate Level: 50 EVs: 18 HP / 10 Def / 21 SpA / 17 Spe Quiet Nature - Light Screen - Hyper Beam - Hyper Voice - Detect Kingambit @ Chople Berry Ability: Defiant Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 32 Atk / 1 Def / 1 Spe Relaxed Nature - Low Kick - Iron Head - Protect - Sucker Punch Excadrill @ Focus Sash Ability: Sand Rush Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 Atk / 32 Spe Adamant Nature - Iron Head - Protect - Rock Slide - Earthquake Tyranitar @ Choice Scarf Ability: Sand Stream Level: 50 EVs: 32 Atk / 2 SpD / 32 Spe Adamant Nature - Rock Slide - Knock Off - Ice Punch - Low Kick
Based on 28,932 verified Showdown games under the current rules, against 723 different opponents.
Two kinds of evidence appear here, and they are not equal.
Verified numbers come from real Pokémon Showdown battles played under the current ruleset — the engine the game is actually played on. These are the numbers that count.
Practice sim numbers come from a fast approximate simulator the lab uses to scout habits: which four get picked, who leads, what moves open the game. Good for reading tendencies, but hypotheses only — a practice-sim number is never proof and is always labelled.
Confidence chips grade the verified sample: Strong evidence means 500+ verified games against 8+ different opponents; Established 200+ against 6+; Still developing 60+ against 3+; Early anything less. “Scouting probe out of date” means the habit data was recorded before the latest rules update — the verified record itself is always current.
A “game” is counted from this team’s side of a battle. “Picked” means chosen among the four Pokémon actually brought to a battle — teams register six, only four play.
Sylveon Tyranitar Excadrill StaraptorWon 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Chosen for the battle in only 14% of 8,082 verified games — a roster slot doing very little work.
Won only 8% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 8% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 10% of 48 verified games against it.
under max scrutiny: vs Sneasler (engine) 50.0% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs Staraptor-Mega (engine) 47.5% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs Metagross-Mega (engine) 42.5% (crucible, real engine)
Tyranitardefault core99.9%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Staraptordefault core99.7%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Sylveondefault core99.4%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 99% of games.
Excadrillflex pick67.1%of games pickedPicked or benched depending on the opponent (67% of games overall); the matchup decides.
Aerodactylspecialist18.6%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 19% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
Kingambitspecialist15.3%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 15% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
| Pokémon | verdict | picked | wins when picked / benched | swing | verified games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aerodactyl |
role player | 31.2% (2,521/8,082) | 57.0% (2,521) / 56.3% (5,561) | +1pp ±1 | 8,082 |
| Staraptor |
core pick | 91.8% (7,422/8,082) | 55.9% (7,422) / 62.7% (660) | -7pp ±2 | 8,082 |
| Sylveon |
core pick | 95.6% (7,725/8,082) | 56.7% (7,725) / 51.5% (357) | +5pp ±3 | 8,082 |
| Kingambit |
rarely picked | 13.5% (1,092/8,082) | 45.2% (1,092) / 58.2% (6,990) | -13pp ±2 | 8,082 |
| Excadrill |
role player | 68.0% (5,493/8,082) | 59.0% (5,493) / 51.2% (2,589) | +8pp ±1 | 8,082 |
| Tyranitar |
core pick | 99.9% (8,075/8,082) | 56.5% (8,075) / 85.7% (7) | -29pp ±19 | 8,082 |
node cli.js roster-ablate <team> <slot>.| Pokémon | picked | leads when picked | opening moves | share of team’s KOs | share of damage | wins when picked / benched |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sylveon |
99.4% | 74.2% | hypervoice 70.5% hyperbeam 13.9% |
30.1% | 32.2% | 57.6% / 100.0% |
| Staraptor |
99.7% | 28.1% | bravebird 69.1% closecombat 19.4% |
27.1% | 24.6% | 57.7% / 100.0% |
| Excadrill |
67.1% | 0.0% | — | 23.2% | 20.7% | 61.6% / 50.2% |
| Tyranitar |
99.9% | 98.2% | knockoff 21.7% icepunch 14.7% |
10.7% | 14.1% | 57.9% / 0.0% |
| Aerodactyl |
18.6% | 0.0% | — | 4.8% | 4.2% | 54.3% / 58.7% |
| Kingambit |
15.3% | 1.0% | ironhead 100.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 47.6% / 59.7% |
SylveonleadTyranitarleadExcadrillin backStaraptorin backSylveon most often opens Hyper Voice (82% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Ice Punch (22% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 71.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Sylveon Tyranitar Aerodactylbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Staraptorbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Sylveonleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Light Screen
Kingambitbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Excadrillbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
StaraptorleadTyranitarleadExcadrillin backSylveonin backStaraptor most often opens Brave Bird (97% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Knock Off (10% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 38.3% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Tyranitar Aerodactylbencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; offers Tailwind
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Sylveonbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Light Screen
Kingambitbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Excadrillbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
SylveonleadTyranitarleadExcadrillin backStaraptorin backSylveon most often opens Hyper Beam (73% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Knock Off (90% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 69.2% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Sylveon Tyranitar Aerodactylbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Tailwind
Staraptorbacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Sylveonleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Light Screen
Kingambitbencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four
Excadrillbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
SylveonleadTyranitarleadExcadrillin backStaraptorin backSylveon most often opens Hyper Voice (77% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Ice Punch (52% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 62.5% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Sylveon Tyranitar Aerodactylbencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Staraptorbacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Sylveonleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Light Screen
Kingambitbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Excadrillbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
SylveonleadTyranitarleadExcadrillin backStaraptorin backSylveon most often opens Hyper Voice (97% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Rock Slide (73% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 71.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Sylveon Tyranitar Aerodactylbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Staraptorbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Sylveonleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Light Screen
Kingambitbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
SylveonleadTyranitarleadExcadrillin backStaraptorin backSylveon most often opens Hyper Voice (98% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar supplies a frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter.
Record with this lead pair: 56.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Sylveon Aerodactylbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Staraptorbacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Sylveonleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Light Screen
Kingambitbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
SylveonleadTyranitarleadExcadrillin backStaraptorin backSylveon most often opens Hyper Voice (83% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Ice Punch (52% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 53.8% over 53 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Sylveon Tyranitar Aerodactylbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Staraptorbacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Sylveonleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Light Screen
Kingambitbencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four
Excadrillbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
StaraptorleadTyranitarleadExcadrillin backSylveonin backStaraptor most often opens Close Combat (62% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Knock Off (27% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 28.7% over 47 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Tyranitar Aerodactylbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Tailwind
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Sylveonbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Light Screen
Kingambitbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Excadrillbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
| search rating | 1680 the lab’s own search ladder. It tracks the verified Elo almost exactly (r≈0.99 across the top 30) and is not evidence — the verified rating above is the one that counts. |
| rating uncertainty | ±45 at the ladder’s floor — this team has played far too many series for the rating to move much, which is true of every team on this board. |
| sample | 30,242 verified games · 536 opponents · 102 distinct cores |
| vs fixed references | 73.0% of games (22,088 of 30,242) games played against the lab’s fixed sparring teams. They count as rating evidence, but a record built mostly on them generalises less. |
| practice-sim score | 41.1% ≈50.0% calibrated the fast simulator’s own guess — a hypothesis, not a result. it currently reads about 9 points cold versus real Showdown. |
| hidden-teams Bo3 (sim) | 23.6% practice-sim best-of-3 with team sheets hidden — a habit probe. |
| any-pilot floor | 32.4% worst result across several competent play styles; the styles disagree by 13 points. A team only a perfect pilot can win with scores low here. |
| surprise bonus | -3 pts how much more it wins when its sets are hidden, on the same opponents. |
| all verified matchups | Gholdengo 70.0% 480 gamesStaraptor-Mega 70.0% 480 gamesfrancescopiopero (tournament team) 66.8% 440 gamesFarigiraf 65.0% 480 gamesIncineroar 65.0% 480 gamesSylveon 57.5% 480 gameskennogonzales (tournament team) 53.8% 312 gamesKingambit 47.5% 480 gamesqu1ck (tournament team) 46.5% 312 gamesAerodactyl-Mega 40.0% 480 gamesarsalpuri (tournament team) 26.8% 488 gamesArchaludon 17.5% 480 games |
Altaria @ Focus Sash Ability: Cloud Nine Level: 50 EVs: 14 HP / 29 Atk / 23 Spe Jolly Nature - Protect - Brave Bird - Roost - Tailwind Corviknight @ Sitrus Berry Ability: Mirror Armor Level: 50 EVs: 24 HP / 27 Def / 2 SpD / 13 Spe Jolly Nature - Reflect - Tailwind - Brave Bird - Body Press Feraligatr @ Life Orb Ability: Sheer Force Level: 50 EVs: 29 HP / 15 Atk / 17 SpD / 5 Spe Adamant Nature - Liquidation - Ice Punch - Aqua Jet - Rock Slide Staraptor @ Staraptite Ability: Intimidate Level: 50 EVs: 30 HP / 32 Atk / 1 Def / 3 Spe Adamant Nature - Close Combat - Helping Hand - Brave Bird - Roost Goodra @ Leftovers Ability: Sap Sipper Level: 50 EVs: 27 HP / 32 Def / 1 SpA / 6 Spe Bold Nature - Life Dew - Draco Meteor - Flamethrower - Dragon Tail Typhlosion @ Choice Scarf Ability: Flash Fire Level: 50 EVs: 28 HP / 2 Def / 28 SpA / 8 Spe Modest Nature - Bulldoze - Burn Up - Heat Wave - Eruption
Based on 30,242 verified Showdown games under the current rules, against 536 different opponents.
Two kinds of evidence appear here, and they are not equal.
Verified numbers come from real Pokémon Showdown battles played under the current ruleset — the engine the game is actually played on. These are the numbers that count.
Practice sim numbers come from a fast approximate simulator the lab uses to scout habits: which four get picked, who leads, what moves open the game. Good for reading tendencies, but hypotheses only — a practice-sim number is never proof and is always labelled.
Confidence chips grade the verified sample: Strong evidence means 500+ verified games against 8+ different opponents; Established 200+ against 6+; Still developing 60+ against 3+; Early anything less. “Scouting probe out of date” means the habit data was recorded before the latest rules update — the verified record itself is always current.
A “game” is counted from this team’s side of a battle. “Picked” means chosen among the four Pokémon actually brought to a battle — teams register six, only four play.
Corviknight Staraptor Feraligatr GoodraWon 100% of 48 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Chosen for the battle in only 18% of 7,602 verified games — a roster slot doing very little work.
Won only 4% of 48 verified games against it.
Won only 6% of 48 verified games against it.
Won only 8% of 48 verified games against it.
under max scrutiny: vs Kingambit (engine) 47.5% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs Archaludon (engine) 17.5% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs Aerodactyl-Mega (engine) 40.0% (crucible, real engine)
Staraptordefault core100.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Corviknightdefault core98.8%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 99% of games.
Feraligatrdefault core93.5%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 93% of games.
Goodradefault core86.4%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 86% of games.
Typhlosionspecialist14.8%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 15% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
Altariaspecialist6.5%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 7% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
| Pokémon | verdict | picked | wins when picked / benched | swing | verified games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Altaria |
rarely picked | 17.8% (1,353/7,602) | 44.6% (1,353) / 53.9% (6,249) | -9pp ±1 | 7,602 |
| Corviknight |
core pick | 95.6% (7,264/7,602) | 52.3% (7,264) / 51.8% (338) | +0pp ±3 | 7,602 |
| Feraligatr |
pulls its weight | 96.6% (7,345/7,602) | 52.6% (7,345) / 42.8% (257) | +10pp ±3 | 7,602 |
| Staraptor |
core pick | 100.0% (7,602/7,602) | 52.2% (7,602) / never benched | — | 7,602 |
| Goodra |
role player | 56.0% (4,254/7,602) | 53.3% (4,254) / 50.9% (3,348) | +2pp ±1 | 7,602 |
| Typhlosion |
role player | 34.1% (2,590/7,602) | 53.4% (2,590) / 51.6% (5,012) | +2pp ±1 | 7,602 |
node cli.js roster-ablate <team> <slot>.| Pokémon | picked | leads when picked | opening moves | share of team’s KOs | share of damage | wins when picked / benched |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feraligatr |
93.5% | 7.3% | liquidation 53.2% rockslide 25.5% |
39.6% | 33.4% | 47.3% / 8.9% |
| Corviknight |
98.8% | 93.7% | tailwind 50.7% bravebird 27.5% |
20.4% | 20.5% | 44.3% / 87.5% |
| Goodra |
86.4% | 1.2% | dracometeor 85.7% flamethrower 14.3% |
20.1% | 16.9% | 44.6% / 45.7% |
| Staraptor |
100.0% | 99.3% | closecombat 54.7% bravebird 28.0% |
17.0% | 25.3% | 44.8% / — |
| Typhlosion |
14.8% | 1.0% | eruption 100.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 43.1% / 45.1% |
| Altaria |
6.5% | 2.2% | protect 100.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 22.2% / 46.4% |
CorviknightleadStaraptorleadFeraligatrin backGoodrain backCorviknight most often opens Tailwind (80% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Staraptor most often opens Brave Bird (7% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 50.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Corviknight Staraptor Altariabenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Feraligatrbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Helping Hand + Intimidate
Goodrabacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Typhlosionbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Bulldoze
CorviknightleadStaraptorleadFeraligatrin backGoodrain backCorviknight most often opens Tailwind (8% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (97% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 25.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Corviknight Staraptor Altariabenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Tailwind
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Feraligatrbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Helping Hand + Intimidate
Goodrabacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Typhlosionbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Bulldoze
CorviknightleadStaraptorleadFeraligatrin backGoodrain backCorviknight most often opens Tailwind (60% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (52% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 28.3% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Corviknight Staraptor Altariabenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Tailwind
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Feraligatrbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Helping Hand + Intimidate
Goodrabacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Typhlosionbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Bulldoze
CorviknightleadStaraptorleadFeraligatrin backGoodrain backCorviknight most often opens Tailwind (52% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (60% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 21.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Corviknight Staraptor Altariabenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Feraligatrbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Helping Hand + Intimidate
Goodrabacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Typhlosionbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Bulldoze
CorviknightleadStaraptorleadGoodrain backTyphlosionin backCorviknight most often opens Brave Bird (47% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (88% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 5.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Corviknight Staraptor Altariabenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Feraligatrbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Helping Hand + Intimidate
Goodrabacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Typhlosionbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; offers Bulldoze
CorviknightleadStaraptorleadFeraligatrin backGoodrain backCorviknight most often opens Tailwind (63% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (65% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 75.8% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Corviknight Staraptor Altariabenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Feraligatrbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Helping Hand + Intimidate
Goodrabacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Typhlosionbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Bulldoze
CorviknightleadStaraptorleadFeraligatrin backGoodrain backCorviknight most often opens Tailwind (90% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (100% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 41.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Corviknight Staraptor Altariabenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Feraligatrbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Helping Hand + Intimidate
Goodrabacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Typhlosionbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Bulldoze
CorviknightleadStaraptorleadFeraligatrin backGoodrain backCorviknight most often opens Tailwind (67% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (52% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 79.2% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Corviknight Staraptor Altariabenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Tailwind
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Feraligatrbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Helping Hand + Intimidate
Goodrabacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Typhlosionbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Bulldoze
| search rating | 1675 the lab’s own search ladder. It tracks the verified Elo almost exactly (r≈0.99 across the top 30) and is not evidence — the verified rating above is the one that counts. |
| rating uncertainty | ±45 at the ladder’s floor — this team has played far too many series for the rating to move much, which is true of every team on this board. |
| sample | 23,640 verified games · 404 opponents · 68 distinct cores |
| vs fixed references | 90.5% of games (21,384 of 23,640) games played against the lab’s fixed sparring teams. They count as rating evidence, but a record built mostly on them generalises less. |
| practice-sim score | 55.7% ≈64.7% calibrated the fast simulator’s own guess — a hypothesis, not a result. it currently reads about 9 points cold versus real Showdown. |
| hidden-teams Bo3 (sim) | 19.4% practice-sim best-of-3 with team sheets hidden — a habit probe. |
| any-pilot floor | 45.7% worst result across several competent play styles; the styles disagree by 24 points. A team only a perfect pilot can win with scores low here. |
| surprise bonus | +6 pts how much more it wins when its sets are hidden, on the same opponents. |
| all verified matchups | evanscott (tournament team) 96.1% 336 gamesmarcosilva (tournament team) 88.8% 384 gamesux9p70xuw8yanagitpoke (tournament team) 88.6% 360 gameslorenzoprofeta (tournament team) 84.2% 336 gamesarashommati (tournament team) 82.7% 336 gamesericrios (tournament team) 71.3% 480 gamesnicknavarre (tournament team) 64.3% 336 gamesmichaelzhang (tournament team) 56.9% 360 gameswolfeglick (tournament team) 56.3% 432 gamesarsalpuri (tournament team) 55.3% 456 gamesfrancescopiopero (tournament team) 55.0% 456 gamesdavidecarrer (tournament team) 53.9% 336 games |
Leafeon @ Life Orb Ability: Chlorophyll Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 Atk / 32 Spe Adamant Nature - Solar Blade - Knock Off - Leaf Blade - Detect Ninetales @ Choice Scarf Ability: Drought Level: 50 EVs: 1 HP / 4 Def / 32 SpA / 29 Spe Modest Nature - Heat Wave - Solar Beam - Overheat - Foul Play Goodra-Hisui @ Leftovers Ability: Shell Armor Level: 50 EVs: 26 HP / 15 Atk / 25 Def Brave Nature - Body Press - Life Dew - Shelter - Heavy Slam Dragonite @ Dragoninite Ability: Multiscale Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 SpA / 32 Spe Modest Nature - Protect - Dragon Pulse - Tailwind - Heat Wave Bastiodon @ Chople Berry Ability: Sturdy Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 2 Atk / 32 SpD Careful Nature - Body Press - Iron Defense - Protect - Heavy Slam Typhlosion-Hisui @ Wise Glasses Ability: Frisk Level: 50 EVs: 29 HP / 2 Def / 32 SpA / 3 Spe Modest Nature - Eruption - Shadow Ball - Heat Wave - Overheat
Based on 23,640 verified Showdown games under the current rules, against 404 different opponents.
Two kinds of evidence appear here, and they are not equal.
Verified numbers come from real Pokémon Showdown battles played under the current ruleset — the engine the game is actually played on. These are the numbers that count.
Practice sim numbers come from a fast approximate simulator the lab uses to scout habits: which four get picked, who leads, what moves open the game. Good for reading tendencies, but hypotheses only — a practice-sim number is never proof and is always labelled.
Confidence chips grade the verified sample: Strong evidence means 500+ verified games against 8+ different opponents; Established 200+ against 6+; Still developing 60+ against 3+; Early anything less. “Scouting probe out of date” means the habit data was recorded before the latest rules update — the verified record itself is always current.
A “game” is counted from this team’s side of a battle. “Picked” means chosen among the four Pokémon actually brought to a battle — teams register six, only four play.
Dragonite Ninetales Leafeon Typhlosion-HisuiWon 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Chosen for the battle in only 0% of 21,000 verified games — a roster slot doing very little work.
Chosen for the battle in only 18% of 21,000 verified games — a roster slot doing very little work.
Wins 64% of verified games when it plays (19,340 games) versus 73% when it is benched (1,660). A pattern from matchup choices, not proof — roster-ablate is the definitive test.
Won only 8% of 240 verified games against it.
Won only 8% of 48 verified games against it.
Won only 15% of 48 verified games against it.
predictable preview: Dragonite + Ninetales leads 96.8% of games (658 of 680 probe games) — a scouted opponent can counter-lead it
win-condition concentration: Dragonite scores 52.2% of all probe KOs — Intimidate, redirection, or focus fire on it stalls the team
Ninetales is glass: faints in 92.9% of its 680 probe games — it must trade up before going down
Dragonitedefault core100.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Ninetalesdefault core100.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Typhlosion-Hisuidefault core89.6%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 90% of games.
Leafeondefault core86.8%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 87% of games.
Goodra-Hisuispecialist23.7%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 24% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
Bastiodonspecialist0.0%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 0% of games.
| Pokémon | verdict | picked | wins when picked / benched | swing | verified games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leafeon |
wins more when benched | 92.1% (19,340/21,000) | 63.6% (19,340) / 73.0% (1,660) | -9pp ±1 | 21,000 |
| Ninetales |
core pick | 100.0% (20,998/21,000) | 64.3% (20,998) / 50.0% (2) | +14pp ±35 | 21,000 |
| Goodra-Hisui |
rarely picked | 18.3% (3,843/21,000) | 61.8% (3,843) / 64.9% (17,157) | -3pp ±1 | 21,000 |
| Dragonite |
core pick | 99.8% (20,966/21,000) | 64.3% (20,966) / 70.6% (34) | -6pp ±9 | 21,000 |
| Bastiodon |
rarely picked | 0.2% (34/21,000) | 67.6% (34) / 64.3% (20,966) | +3pp ±9 | 21,000 |
| Typhlosion-Hisui |
pulls its weight | 89.6% (18,819/21,000) | 65.6% (18,819) / 53.2% (2,181) | +12pp ±1 | 21,000 |
node cli.js roster-ablate 247002 0.node cli.js roster-ablate <team> <slot>.| Pokémon | picked | leads when picked | opening moves | share of team’s KOs | share of damage | wins when picked / benched |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dragonite |
100.0% | 99.7% | dragonpulse 89.7% heatwave 4.0% |
52.2% | 44.8% | 36.4% / — |
| Leafeon |
86.8% | 2.2% | detect 38.5% leafblade 30.8% |
24.4% | 19.4% | 37.9% / 26.7% |
| Typhlosion-Hisui |
89.6% | 1.3% | eruption 87.5% heatwave 12.5% |
12.5% | 12.9% | 39.2% / 12.7% |
| Ninetales |
100.0% | 97.1% | overheat 43.9% heatwave 37.1% |
7.2% | 19.7% | 36.4% / — |
| Goodra-Hisui |
23.7% | 0.6% | heavyslam 100.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 20.5% / 41.3% |
| Bastiodon |
0.0% | 0.0% | — | 0.0% | 0.0% | — / 36.4% |
DragoniteleadNinetalesleadLeafeonin backTyphlosion-Hisuiin backDragonite most often opens Dragon Pulse (80% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Ninetales most often opens Overheat (42% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 30.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Ninetales Dragonite Leafeonbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Ninetalesleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sun setter
Goodra-Hisuibencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four
Dragoniteleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Bastiodonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Typhlosion-Hisuibacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
DragoniteleadNinetalesleadLeafeonin backTyphlosion-Hisuiin backDragonite most often opens Dragon Pulse (100% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Ninetales most often opens Heat Wave (58% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 35.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Ninetales Dragonite Leafeonbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Ninetalesleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sun setter
Goodra-Hisuibenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Dragoniteleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Tailwind
Bastiodonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Typhlosion-Hisuibacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
DragoniteleadNinetalesleadLeafeonin backTyphlosion-Hisuiin backDragonite most often opens Dragon Pulse (100% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Ninetales most often opens Heat Wave (45% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 30.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Ninetales Dragonite Leafeonbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Ninetalesleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sun setter
Goodra-Hisuibenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Dragoniteleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Tailwind
Bastiodonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Typhlosion-Hisuibacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
DragoniteleadNinetalesleadLeafeonin backTyphlosion-Hisuiin backDragonite most often opens Dragon Pulse (100% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Ninetales most often opens Heat Wave (45% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 26.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Ninetales Dragonite Leafeonbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Ninetalesleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sun setter
Goodra-Hisuibencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four
Dragoniteleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Bastiodonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Typhlosion-Hisuibacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
DragoniteleadNinetalesleadLeafeonin backTyphlosion-Hisuiin backDragonite most often opens Dragon Pulse (90% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Ninetales most often opens Solar Beam (40% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 43.3% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Ninetales Dragonite Leafeonbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Ninetalesleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sun setter
Goodra-Hisuibenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Dragoniteleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Bastiodonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Typhlosion-Hisuibacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
DragoniteleadNinetalesleadLeafeonin backTyphlosion-Hisuiin backDragonite most often opens Dragon Pulse (100% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Ninetales most often opens Overheat (88% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 58.3% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Ninetales Dragonite Leafeonbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Ninetalesleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sun setter
Goodra-Hisuibencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four
Dragoniteleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Bastiodonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Typhlosion-Hisuibacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
DragoniteleadNinetalesleadGoodra-Hisuiin backLeafeonin backDragonite most often opens Dragon Pulse (98% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Ninetales most often opens Overheat (49% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 10.2% over 59 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Ninetales Dragonite Leafeonbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Ninetalesleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sun setter
Goodra-Hisuibacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Dragoniteleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Bastiodonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Typhlosion-Hisuibenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
DragoniteleadNinetalesleadLeafeonin backTyphlosion-Hisuiin backDragonite most often opens Dragon Pulse (65% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Ninetales most often opens Overheat (35% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 72.5% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Ninetales Dragonite Leafeonbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Ninetalesleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sun setter
Goodra-Hisuibenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Dragoniteleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Tailwind
Bastiodonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Typhlosion-Hisuibacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
| search rating | 1673 the lab’s own search ladder. It tracks the verified Elo almost exactly (r≈0.99 across the top 30) and is not evidence — the verified rating above is the one that counts. |
| rating uncertainty | ±45 at the ladder’s floor — this team has played far too many series for the rating to move much, which is true of every team on this board. |
| sample | 21,828 verified games · 625 opponents · 96 distinct cores |
| vs fixed references | 81.5% of games (17,784 of 21,828) games played against the lab’s fixed sparring teams. They count as rating evidence, but a record built mostly on them generalises less. |
| practice-sim score | 52.1% ≈61.0% calibrated the fast simulator’s own guess — a hypothesis, not a result. it currently reads about 9 points cold versus real Showdown. |
| hidden-teams Bo3 (sim) | 52.8% practice-sim best-of-3 with team sheets hidden — a habit probe. |
| any-pilot floor | 48.9% worst result across several competent play styles; the styles disagree by 12 points. A team only a perfect pilot can win with scores low here. |
| surprise bonus | +0 pts how much more it wins when its sets are hidden, on the same opponents. |
| all verified matchups | francescopiopero (tournament team) 96.5% 284 gamesKingambit 85.0% 360 gamesux9p70xuw8yanagitpoke (tournament team) 82.5% 360 gamesAerodactyl-Mega 70.0% 360 gamesKingambit 69.0% 216 gamesevanscott (tournament team) 64.2% 212 gamesSylveon 62.5% 360 gamesFarigiraf 60.0% 360 gamesIncineroar 57.5% 360 gamesArchaludon 47.5% 360 gamesStaraptor-Mega 40.0% 360 gamesGholdengo 32.5% 360 games |
Excadrill @ Focus Sash Ability: Sand Rush Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 Atk / 32 Spe Relaxed Nature - Iron Head - Protect - Rock Slide - Earthquake Tyranitar @ Choice Scarf Ability: Sand Stream Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 Atk / 32 Spe Adamant Nature - Rock Slide - Knock Off - Low Kick - Ice Punch Staraptor @ Staraptite Ability: Intimidate Level: 50 EVs: 30 HP / 32 Atk / 1 Def / 3 Spe Adamant Nature - Close Combat - Helping Hand - Brave Bird - Roost Corviknight @ Sitrus Berry Ability: Mirror Armor Level: 50 EVs: 24 HP / 29 Def / 13 Spe Jolly Nature - Reflect - Tailwind - Brave Bird - Body Press Gyarados @ Gyaradosite Ability: Intimidate Level: 50 EVs: 31 HP / 5 Atk / 30 Spe Adamant Nature - Waterfall - Dragon Dance - Protect - Crunch Floette-Eternal @ Life Orb Ability: Flower Veil Level: 50 EVs: 2 Atk / 4 Def / 32 SpA / 28 Spe Calm Nature - Light of Ruin - Moonblast - Dazzling Gleam - Charm
Based on 21,828 verified Showdown games under the current rules, against 625 different opponents.
Two kinds of evidence appear here, and they are not equal.
Verified numbers come from real Pokémon Showdown battles played under the current ruleset — the engine the game is actually played on. These are the numbers that count.
Practice sim numbers come from a fast approximate simulator the lab uses to scout habits: which four get picked, who leads, what moves open the game. Good for reading tendencies, but hypotheses only — a practice-sim number is never proof and is always labelled.
Confidence chips grade the verified sample: Strong evidence means 500+ verified games against 8+ different opponents; Established 200+ against 6+; Still developing 60+ against 3+; Early anything less. “Scouting probe out of date” means the habit data was recorded before the latest rules update — the verified record itself is always current.
A “game” is counted from this team’s side of a battle. “Picked” means chosen among the four Pokémon actually brought to a battle — teams register six, only four play.
Staraptor Tyranitar Corviknight ExcadrillWon 100% of 188 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 40 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 0% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 0% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 4% of 24 verified games against it.
under max scrutiny: vs Archaludon (engine) 47.5% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs Staraptor-Mega (engine) 40.0% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs Gholdengo (engine) 32.5% (crucible, real engine)
Staraptordefault core100.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Tyranitardefault core100.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Corviknightdefault core87.7%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 88% of games.
Excadrillflex pick65.8%of games pickedPicked or benched depending on the opponent (66% of games overall); the matchup decides.
Gyaradosspecialist38.5%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 38% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
Floette-Eternalspecialist8.0%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 8% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
| Pokémon | verdict | picked | wins when picked / benched | swing | verified games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excadrill |
pulls its weight | 67.0% (11,855/17,694) | 64.3% (11,855) / 56.0% (5,839) | +8pp ±1 | 17,694 |
| Tyranitar |
core pick | 99.7% (17,638/17,694) | 61.6% (17,638) / 66.1% (56) | -5pp ±7 | 17,694 |
| Staraptor |
core pick | 99.7% (17,647/17,694) | 61.6% (17,647) / 63.8% (47) | -2pp ±7 | 17,694 |
| Corviknight |
role player | 63.7% (11,264/17,694) | 60.9% (11,264) / 62.7% (6,430) | -2pp ±1 | 17,694 |
| Gyarados |
role player | 49.7% (8,795/17,694) | 58.0% (8,795) / 65.2% (8,899) | -7pp ±1 | 17,694 |
| Floette-Eternal |
role player | 20.2% (3,577/17,694) | 63.6% (3,577) / 61.1% (14,117) | +3pp ±1 | 17,694 |
node cli.js roster-ablate <team> <slot>.| Pokémon | picked | leads when picked | opening moves | share of team’s KOs | share of damage | wins when picked / benched |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Staraptor |
100.0% | 85.5% | closecombat 58.0% bravebird 27.9% |
28.4% | 33.6% | 39.7% / — |
| Tyranitar |
100.0% | 93.9% | icepunch 24.9% rockslide 17.6% |
22.2% | 20.7% | 39.7% / — |
| Excadrill |
65.8% | 0.0% | — | 20.6% | 22.1% | 41.2% / 36.8% |
| Corviknight |
87.7% | 22.9% | tailwind 44.9% reflect 27.9% |
19.4% | 13.8% | 38.0% / 51.8% |
| Gyarados |
38.5% | 1.2% | protect 33.3% crunch 33.3% |
8.2% | 8.8% | 40.8% / 39.1% |
| Floette-Eternal |
8.0% | 0.0% | — | 1.2% | 1.1% | 40.7% / 39.6% |
StaraptorleadTyranitarleadCorviknightin backExcadrillin backStaraptor most often opens Brave Bird (22% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Ice Punch (56% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 60.4% over 48 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Tyranitar Staraptor Excadrillbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Helping Hand + Intimidate
Corviknightbacka frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Gyaradosbencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; offers Intimidate
Floette-Eternalbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
StaraptorleadTyranitarleadCorviknightin backExcadrillin backStaraptor most often opens Close Combat (72% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Rock Slide (3% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 15.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Tyranitar Staraptor Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Helping Hand + Intimidate
Corviknightbacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Gyaradosbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Floette-Eternalbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
StaraptorleadTyranitarleadCorviknightin backGyaradosin backStaraptor most often opens Close Combat (83% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Ice Punch (65% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 30.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Tyranitar Staraptor Excadrillbencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Helping Hand + Intimidate
Corviknightbacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Gyaradosbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Floette-Eternalbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
StaraptorleadTyranitarleadCorviknightin backExcadrillin backStaraptor most often opens Close Combat (83% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Ice Punch (65% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 16.7% over 30 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Tyranitar Staraptor Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Helping Hand + Intimidate
Corviknightbacka frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Gyaradosbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Floette-Eternalbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
StaraptorleadTyranitarleadCorviknightin backExcadrillin backStaraptor most often opens Close Combat (73% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Rock Slide (12% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 47.4% over 57 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Tyranitar Staraptor Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Helping Hand + Intimidate
Corviknightbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; can contest the speed race; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Gyaradosbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Intimidate
Floette-Eternalbencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
CorviknightleadTyranitarleadExcadrillin backStaraptorin backCorviknight most often opens Tailwind (63% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Tyranitar most often opens Rock Slide (9% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 31.7% over 41 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Tyranitar Corviknight Excadrillbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Staraptorbacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Helping Hand + Intimidate
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Gyaradosbencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Floette-Eternalbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
StaraptorleadTyranitarleadCorviknightin backExcadrillin backStaraptor most often opens Close Combat (85% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Ice Punch (67% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 30.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Tyranitar Staraptor Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Helping Hand + Intimidate
Corviknightbacka frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Gyaradosbencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Floette-Eternalbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
StaraptorleadTyranitarleadCorviknightin backExcadrillin backStaraptor most often opens Close Combat (68% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Knock Off (23% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 23.3% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Tyranitar Staraptor Excadrillbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Helping Hand + Intimidate
Corviknightbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Gyaradosbencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; offers Intimidate
Floette-Eternalbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
| search rating | 1669 the lab’s own search ladder. It tracks the verified Elo almost exactly (r≈0.99 across the top 30) and is not evidence — the verified rating above is the one that counts. |
| rating uncertainty | ±45 at the ladder’s floor — this team has played far too many series for the rating to move much, which is true of every team on this board. |
| sample | 32,752 verified games · 501 opponents · 144 distinct cores |
| vs fixed references | 66.0% of games (21,627 of 32,752) games played against the lab’s fixed sparring teams. They count as rating evidence, but a record built mostly on them generalises less. |
| practice-sim score | 54.2% ≈63.1% calibrated the fast simulator’s own guess — a hypothesis, not a result. it currently reads about 9 points cold versus real Showdown. |
| hidden-teams Bo3 (sim) | 44.4% practice-sim best-of-3 with team sheets hidden — a habit probe. |
| any-pilot floor | 51.7% worst result across several competent play styles; the styles disagree by 11 points. A team only a perfect pilot can win with scores low here. |
| surprise bonus | -28 pts how much more it wins when its sets are hidden, on the same opponents. |
| all verified matchups | Sylveon 80.0% 560 gameschefrich22 (tournament team) 79.5% 312 gamesArchaludon 72.5% 560 gamesStaraptor-Mega 72.5% 560 gamesadrigame (tournament team) 70.6% 360 gamesFarigiraf 65.0% 560 gamesarsalpuri (tournament team) 64.7% 360 gamesAerodactyl-Mega 60.0% 560 gamesIncineroar 57.5% 560 gamesfrancescopiopero (tournament team) 47.5% 360 gamesKingambit 45.0% 560 gamesGholdengo 12.5% 560 games |
Staraptor @ Staraptite Ability: Intimidate Level: 50 EVs: 31 HP / 14 Def / 17 SpD / 4 Spe Impish Nature - Close Combat - Tailwind - Brave Bird - Roost Scizor @ Life Orb Ability: Technician Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 30 Atk / 4 Spe Jolly Nature - Bullet Punch - Protect - Bug Bite - Swords Dance Tyranitar @ Choice Scarf Ability: Sand Stream Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 Atk / 32 Spe Adamant Nature - Rock Slide - Knock Off - Ice Punch - Low Kick Excadrill @ Focus Sash Ability: Sand Rush Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 Atk / 32 Spe Adamant Nature - Iron Head - Protect - Rock Slide - Earthquake Hatterene @ Wise Glasses Ability: Magic Bounce Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 2 Def / 32 SpA Bold Nature - Dazzling Gleam - Trick Room - Protect - Psychic Gyarados @ Expert Belt Ability: Intimidate Level: 50 EVs: 29 HP / 32 Atk / 5 Def Careful Nature - Waterfall - Protect - Power Whip - Earthquake
Based on 32,752 verified Showdown games under the current rules, against 501 different opponents.
Two kinds of evidence appear here, and they are not equal.
Verified numbers come from real Pokémon Showdown battles played under the current ruleset — the engine the game is actually played on. These are the numbers that count.
Practice sim numbers come from a fast approximate simulator the lab uses to scout habits: which four get picked, who leads, what moves open the game. Good for reading tendencies, but hypotheses only — a practice-sim number is never proof and is always labelled.
Confidence chips grade the verified sample: Strong evidence means 500+ verified games against 8+ different opponents; Established 200+ against 6+; Still developing 60+ against 3+; Early anything less. “Scouting probe out of date” means the habit data was recorded before the latest rules update — the verified record itself is always current.
A “game” is counted from this team’s side of a battle. “Picked” means chosen among the four Pokémon actually brought to a battle — teams register six, only four play.
Staraptor Tyranitar Excadrill GyaradosWon 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 98% of 48 verified games against it.
Chosen for the battle in only 11% of 5,317 verified games — a roster slot doing very little work.
Won only 0% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 4% of 48 verified games against it.
Won only 6% of 48 verified games against it.
under max scrutiny: vs Kingambit (engine) 45.0% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs Gholdengo (engine) 12.5% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs cautious players 54.2% (crucible, real engine)
Staraptordefault core99.9%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Tyranitardefault core99.7%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Excadrillflex pick77.8%of games pickedPicked or benched depending on the opponent (78% of games overall); the matchup decides.
Hattereneflex pick62.6%of games pickedPicked or benched depending on the opponent (63% of games overall); the matchup decides.
Gyaradosflex pick58.0%of games pickedPicked or benched depending on the opponent (58% of games overall); the matchup decides.
Scizorspecialist2.1%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 2% of games.
| Pokémon | verdict | picked | wins when picked / benched | swing | verified games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Staraptor |
pulls its weight | 96.1% (5,108/5,317) | 51.3% (5,108) / 32.5% (209) | +19pp ±4 | 5,317 |
| Scizor |
rarely picked | 10.9% (580/5,317) | 53.1% (580) / 50.3% (4,737) | +3pp ±2 | 5,317 |
| Tyranitar |
core pick wins less when picked, but it sat out only 66 times — too few benched games to judge, so no flag |
98.8% (5,251/5,317) | 50.2% (5,251) / 84.8% (66) | -35pp ±6 | 5,317 |
| Excadrill |
role player | 75.0% (3,987/5,317) | 51.5% (3,987) / 47.8% (1,330) | +4pp ±2 | 5,317 |
| Hatterene |
role player | 69.4% (3,692/5,317) | 50.5% (3,692) / 50.8% (1,625) | 0pp ±1 | 5,317 |
| Gyarados |
role player | 49.8% (2,650/5,317) | 48.2% (2,650) / 53.0% (2,667) | -5pp ±1 | 5,317 |
node cli.js roster-ablate <team> <slot>.| Pokémon | picked | leads when picked | opening moves | share of team’s KOs | share of damage | wins when picked / benched |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Staraptor |
99.9% | 64.3% | closecombat 54.1% bravebird 24.8% |
29.2% | 28.4% | 49.9% / 0.0% |
| Excadrill |
77.8% | 0.2% | ironhead 100.0% | 25.6% | 25.4% | 52.1% / 42.1% |
| Tyranitar |
99.7% | 76.5% | rockslide 40.0% knockoff 12.7% |
22.4% | 23.5% | 49.9% / 50.0% |
| Gyarados |
58.0% | 0.0% | — | 14.4% | 12.2% | 50.6% / 48.8% |
| Hatterene |
62.6% | 94.6% | dazzlinggleam 17.2% protect 16.7% |
8.0% | 10.3% | 46.9% / 54.7% |
| Scizor |
2.1% | 7.1% | bulletpunch 100.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 28.6% / 50.3% |
HattereneleadTyranitarleadExcadrillin backStaraptorin backHatterene most often opens Trick Room (12% of its leads) — it reverses the speed order.
Tyranitar most often opens Rock Slide (45% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 55.8% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Tyranitar Hatterene Staraptorbacka frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind + Intimidate
Scizorbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Hattereneleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Trick Room
Gyaradosbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Intimidate
StaraptorleadTyranitarleadExcadrillin backGyaradosin backStaraptor most often opens Close Combat (85% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Rock Slide (95% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 82.5% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Tyranitar Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Tailwind + Intimidate
Scizorbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Excadrillbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Hatterenebencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; has a direct Trick Room answer; offers Trick Room
Gyaradosbacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
StaraptorleadTyranitarleadExcadrillin backGyaradosin backStaraptor most often opens Close Combat (75% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Rock Slide (50% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 53.3% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Tyranitar Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Tailwind + Intimidate
Scizorbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Hatterenebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; has a direct Trick Room answer; offers Trick Room
Gyaradosbacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
HattereneleadStaraptorleadExcadrillin backTyranitarin backHatterene most often opens Dazzling Gleam (23% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Brave Bird (49% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 43.9% over 41 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Hatterene Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; directly reduces physical damage; offers Tailwind + Intimidate
Scizorbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Tyranitarbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Hattereneleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Trick Room
Gyaradosbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
StaraptorleadTyranitarleadExcadrillin backGyaradosin backStaraptor most often opens Close Combat (60% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Rock Slide (35% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 41.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Tyranitar Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind + Intimidate
Scizorbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Hatterenebenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; has a direct Trick Room answer; can contest the speed race; offers Trick Room
Gyaradosbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
HattereneleadTyranitarleadExcadrillin backStaraptorin backHatterene most often opens Dazzling Gleam (38% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Rock Slide (7% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 51.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Tyranitar Hatterene Staraptorbacka frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; directly reduces physical damage; offers Tailwind + Intimidate
Scizorbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Hattereneleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Trick Room
Gyaradosbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
HattereneleadTyranitarleadExcadrillin backStaraptorin backHatterene most often opens Protect (37% of its leads) — it scouts the opening and preserves board position.
Tyranitar most often opens Rock Slide (55% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 50.0% over 58 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Tyranitar Hatterene Staraptorbacka frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; directly reduces physical damage; offers Tailwind + Intimidate
Scizorbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Excadrillbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Hattereneleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Trick Room
Gyaradosbencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
HattereneleadStaraptorleadExcadrillin backTyranitarin backHatterene most often opens Protect (8% of its leads) — it scouts the opening and preserves board position.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (47% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 15.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Hatterene Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Tailwind + Intimidate
Scizorbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Tyranitarbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Hattereneleada frequent selection in this matchup; has a direct Trick Room answer; offers Trick Room
Gyaradosbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Intimidate
| search rating | 1675 the lab’s own search ladder. It tracks the verified Elo almost exactly (r≈0.99 across the top 30) and is not evidence — the verified rating above is the one that counts. |
| rating uncertainty | ±45 at the ladder’s floor — this team has played far too many series for the rating to move much, which is true of every team on this board. |
| sample | 8,108 verified games · 237 opponents · 106 distinct cores |
| vs fixed references | 50.1% of games (4,064 of 8,108) games played against the lab’s fixed sparring teams. They count as rating evidence, but a record built mostly on them generalises less. |
| practice-sim score | 65.0% ≈73.9% calibrated the fast simulator’s own guess — a hypothesis, not a result. it currently reads about 9 points cold versus real Showdown. |
| hidden-teams Bo3 (sim) | 55.6% practice-sim best-of-3 with team sheets hidden — a habit probe. |
| any-pilot floor | 59.6% worst result across several competent play styles; the styles disagree by 9 points. A team only a perfect pilot can win with scores low here. |
| surprise bonus | +42 pts how much more it wins when its sets are hidden, on the same opponents. |
| all verified matchups | Staraptor-Mega 92.5% 160 gamesKingambit 88.2% 144 gamesKingambit 87.5% 160 gamesMilotic (ranked build) 86.3% 168 gamesFarigiraf 80.0% 160 gamesSylveon 80.0% 160 gamesFarigiraf 76.0% 192 gamesAerodactyl-Mega 72.5% 160 gamesIncineroar 60.0% 160 gamesArchaludon 36.3% 168 gamesGholdengo 30.0% 160 gamesArchaludon 30.0% 160 games |
Gyarados @ Gyaradosite Ability: Intimidate Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 24 Atk / 10 Spe Adamant Nature - Waterfall - Ice Fang - Dragon Dance - Crunch Samurott-Hisui @ Choice Scarf Ability: Sharpness Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 Atk / 32 Spe Jolly Nature - Sacred Sword - Aqua Cutter - Ceaseless Edge - Sucker Punch Flareon @ Charcoal Ability: Flash Fire Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 28 Atk / 6 Def Jolly Nature - Flare Blitz - Superpower - Quick Attack - Bite Corviknight @ Leftovers Ability: Mirror Armor Level: 50 EVs: 24 HP / 29 Def / 13 Spe Jolly Nature - Reflect - Tailwind - Brave Bird - Body Press Delphox @ Delphoxite Ability: Blaze Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 14 Def / 20 SpD Calm Nature - Heat Wave - Protect - Psychic - Nasty Plot Typhlosion @ Life Orb Ability: Flash Fire Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 2 Def / 30 SpA / 2 Spe Timid Nature - Blast Burn - Earthquake - Heat Wave - Eruption
Based on 8,108 verified Showdown games under the current rules, against 237 different opponents.
Two kinds of evidence appear here, and they are not equal.
Verified numbers come from real Pokémon Showdown battles played under the current ruleset — the engine the game is actually played on. These are the numbers that count.
Practice sim numbers come from a fast approximate simulator the lab uses to scout habits: which four get picked, who leads, what moves open the game. Good for reading tendencies, but hypotheses only — a practice-sim number is never proof and is always labelled.
Confidence chips grade the verified sample: Strong evidence means 500+ verified games against 8+ different opponents; Established 200+ against 6+; Still developing 60+ against 3+; Early anything less. “Scouting probe out of date” means the habit data was recorded before the latest rules update — the verified record itself is always current.
A “game” is counted from this team’s side of a battle. “Picked” means chosen among the four Pokémon actually brought to a battle — teams register six, only four play.
Corviknight Gyarados Samurott-Hisui TyphlosionWon 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 0% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 0% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 0% of 24 verified games against it.
under max scrutiny: vs Archaludon (engine) 30.0% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs Gholdengo (engine) 30.0% (crucible, real engine)
predictable preview: Corviknight + Gyarados leads 96.4% of games (660 of 685 probe games) — a scouted opponent can counter-lead it
Gyaradosdefault core100.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Corviknightdefault core99.6%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Samurott-Hisuidefault core82.6%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 83% of games.
Typhlosionflex pick76.2%of games pickedPicked or benched depending on the opponent (76% of games overall); the matchup decides.
Delphoxspecialist22.0%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 22% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
Flareonspecialist19.6%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 20% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
| Pokémon | verdict | picked | wins when picked / benched | swing | verified games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gyarados |
pulls its weight | 95.7% (6,078/6,348) | 63.5% (6,078) / 52.2% (270) | +11pp ±3 | 6,348 |
| Samurott-Hisui |
role player | 71.6% (4,545/6,348) | 65.0% (4,545) / 58.0% (1,803) | +7pp ±1 | 6,348 |
| Flareon |
role player | 33.6% (2,135/6,348) | 59.4% (2,135) / 64.8% (4,213) | -5pp ±1 | 6,348 |
| Corviknight |
pulls its weight | 92.6% (5,877/6,348) | 63.7% (5,877) / 54.4% (471) | +9pp ±2 | 6,348 |
| Delphox |
role player | 38.2% (2,427/6,348) | 62.1% (2,427) / 63.6% (3,921) | -2pp ±1 | 6,348 |
| Typhlosion |
role player | 68.2% (4,330/6,348) | 61.6% (4,330) / 66.1% (2,018) | -4pp ±1 | 6,348 |
node cli.js roster-ablate <team> <slot>.| Pokémon | picked | leads when picked | opening moves | share of team’s KOs | share of damage | wins when picked / benched |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gyarados |
100.0% | 100.0% | icefang 45.7% crunch 38.2% |
37.7% | 37.7% | 47.2% / — |
| Corviknight |
99.6% | 96.8% | tailwind 47.0% bravebird 31.7% |
21.4% | 21.6% | 46.9% / 100.0% |
| Samurott-Hisui |
82.6% | 1.2% | aquacutter 71.4% ceaselessedge 28.6% |
18.3% | 16.2% | 47.9% / 43.7% |
| Typhlosion |
76.2% | 1.5% | eruption 100.0% | 16.0% | 18.7% | 50.9% / 35.3% |
| Flareon |
19.6% | 2.2% | flareblitz 100.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 44.4% / 47.8% |
| Delphox |
22.0% | 4.6% | protect 42.9% psychic 28.6% |
3.2% | 3.3% | 35.1% / 50.6% |
CorviknightleadGyaradosleadSamurott-Hisuiin backTyphlosionin backCorviknight most often opens Tailwind (83% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Gyarados most often opens Crunch (60% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 79.2% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Gyarados Corviknight Gyaradosleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Samurott-Hisuibacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Flareonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Delphoxbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Typhlosionbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
CorviknightleadGyaradosleadSamurott-Hisuiin backTyphlosionin backCorviknight most often opens Brave Bird (85% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Gyarados most often opens Crunch (75% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 15.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Gyarados Corviknight Gyaradosleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Samurott-Hisuibacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Flareonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Delphoxbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Typhlosionbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
CorviknightleadGyaradosleadSamurott-Hisuiin backTyphlosionin backCorviknight most often opens Tailwind (43% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Gyarados most often opens Ice Fang (63% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 36.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Gyarados Corviknight Gyaradosleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Samurott-Hisuibacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Flareonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Delphoxbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Typhlosionbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
CorviknightleadGyaradosleadSamurott-Hisuiin backTyphlosionin backCorviknight most often opens Tailwind (45% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Gyarados most often opens Ice Fang (67% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 31.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Gyarados Corviknight Gyaradosleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Samurott-Hisuibacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Flareonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Delphoxbencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four
Typhlosionbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
CorviknightleadGyaradosleadFlareonin backTyphlosionin backCorviknight most often opens Brave Bird (83% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Gyarados most often opens Crunch (97% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 25.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Gyarados Corviknight Gyaradosleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Samurott-Hisuibenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Flareonbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Delphoxbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Typhlosionbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
CorviknightleadGyaradosleadDelphoxin backSamurott-Hisuiin backCorviknight most often opens Tailwind (70% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Gyarados most often opens Ice Fang (98% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 42.5% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Gyarados Corviknight Gyaradosleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Samurott-Hisuibacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Flareonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Delphoxbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Typhlosionbencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four
CorviknightleadGyaradosleadSamurott-Hisuiin backTyphlosionin backCorviknight most often opens Tailwind (75% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Gyarados most often opens Waterfall (75% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 54.2% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Gyarados Corviknight Gyaradosleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Samurott-Hisuibacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Flareonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Delphoxbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Typhlosionbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
CorviknightleadGyaradosleadSamurott-Hisuiin backTyphlosionin backCorviknight most often opens Tailwind (72% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Gyarados most often opens Ice Fang (98% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 65.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Gyarados Corviknight Gyaradosleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Samurott-Hisuibacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Flareonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Delphoxbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Typhlosionbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
| search rating | 1676 the lab’s own search ladder. It tracks the verified Elo almost exactly (r≈0.99 across the top 30) and is not evidence — the verified rating above is the one that counts. |
| rating uncertainty | ±45 at the ladder’s floor — this team has played far too many series for the rating to move much, which is true of every team on this board. |
| sample | 22,294 verified games · 671 opponents · 90 distinct cores |
| vs fixed references | 85.2% of games (19,000 of 22,294) games played against the lab’s fixed sparring teams. They count as rating evidence, but a record built mostly on them generalises less. |
| practice-sim score | 64.8% ≈73.7% calibrated the fast simulator’s own guess — a hypothesis, not a result. it currently reads about 9 points cold versus real Showdown. |
| hidden-teams Bo3 (sim) | 66.7% practice-sim best-of-3 with team sheets hidden — a habit probe. |
| any-pilot floor | 53.7% worst result across several competent play styles; the styles disagree by 13 points. A team only a perfect pilot can win with scores low here. |
| surprise bonus | +24 pts how much more it wins when its sets are hidden, on the same opponents. |
| all verified matchups | Kingambit 82.5% 320 gamesAerodactyl-Mega 77.5% 320 gamesKingambit 76.5% 264 gamesIncineroar 72.5% 320 gamesStaraptor-Mega 65.0% 320 gamesStaraptor-Mega 64.4% 264 gamesFarigiraf 62.5% 320 gamesSylveon 62.5% 320 gamesGholdengo 52.5% 320 gamesSylveon 52.1% 288 gamesArchaludon 43.8% 288 gamesArchaludon 25.0% 320 games |
Staraptor @ Staraptite Ability: Intimidate Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 Atk / 32 Spe Jolly Nature - Close Combat - Protect - Brave Bird - Roost Goodra @ Leftovers Ability: Sap Sipper Level: 50 EVs: 20 HP / 23 Def / 7 SpA / 16 Spe Timid Nature - Life Dew - Draco Meteor - Flamethrower - Dragon Tail Feraligatr @ Life Orb Ability: Sheer Force Level: 50 EVs: 29 HP / 17 Atk / 20 SpD Adamant Nature - Liquidation - Ice Punch - Aqua Jet - Rock Slide Typhlosion-Hisui @ Choice Scarf Ability: Frisk Level: 50 EVs: 1 HP / 4 Def / 32 SpA / 29 Spe Timid Nature - Eruption - Shadow Ball - Heat Wave - Overheat Excadrill @ Excadrite Ability: Sand Rush Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 Atk / 32 Spe Impish Nature - Earthquake - Protect - Iron Head - High Horsepower Corviknight @ Sitrus Berry Ability: Mirror Armor Level: 50 EVs: 24 HP / 29 Def / 13 Spe Jolly Nature - Reflect - Tailwind - Brave Bird - Body Press
Based on 22,294 verified Showdown games under the current rules, against 671 different opponents.
Two kinds of evidence appear here, and they are not equal.
Verified numbers come from real Pokémon Showdown battles played under the current ruleset — the engine the game is actually played on. These are the numbers that count.
Practice sim numbers come from a fast approximate simulator the lab uses to scout habits: which four get picked, who leads, what moves open the game. Good for reading tendencies, but hypotheses only — a practice-sim number is never proof and is always labelled.
Confidence chips grade the verified sample: Strong evidence means 500+ verified games against 8+ different opponents; Established 200+ against 6+; Still developing 60+ against 3+; Early anything less. “Scouting probe out of date” means the habit data was recorded before the latest rules update — the verified record itself is always current.
A “game” is counted from this team’s side of a battle. “Picked” means chosen among the four Pokémon actually brought to a battle — teams register six, only four play.
Corviknight Staraptor Excadrill FeraligatrWon 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Wins 51% of verified games when it plays (5,393 games) versus 60% when it is benched (13,207). A pattern from matchup choices, not proof — roster-ablate is the definitive test.
Won only 0% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 0% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 4% of 24 verified games against it.
predictable preview: Corviknight + Staraptor leads 65.2% of games (442 of 678 probe games) — a scouted opponent can counter-lead it
win-condition concentration: Feraligatr scores 45.2% of all probe KOs — Intimidate, redirection, or focus fire on it stalls the team
Excadrill carries the hard games: 39.1% WR brought (293 probe games) vs 54.9% benched (385) (it gets sent into the tough matchups — if IT can't win them, nothing on the bench does)
Staraptordefault core100.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Corviknightdefault core97.3%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 97% of games.
Feraligatrdefault core92.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 92% of games.
Goodraspecialist44.1%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 44% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
Excadrillspecialist43.2%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 43% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
Typhlosion-Hisuispecialist23.3%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 23% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
| Pokémon | verdict | picked | wins when picked / benched | swing | verified games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Staraptor |
pulls its weight | 99.2% (18,443/18,600) | 57.6% (18,443) / 41.4% (157) | +16pp ±4 | 18,600 |
| Goodra |
role player | 40.8% (7,589/18,600) | 53.7% (7,589) / 60.1% (11,011) | -6pp ±1 | 18,600 |
| Feraligatr |
pulls its weight | 87.3% (16,242/18,600) | 61.1% (16,242) / 32.7% (2,358) | +28pp ±1 | 18,600 |
| Typhlosion-Hisui |
wins more when benched | 29.0% (5,393/18,600) | 51.3% (5,393) / 60.1% (13,207) | -9pp ±1 | 18,600 |
| Excadrill |
role player | 57.7% (10,723/18,600) | 55.0% (10,723) / 60.9% (7,877) | -6pp ±1 | 18,600 |
| Corviknight |
pulls its weight | 86.1% (16,010/18,600) | 59.3% (16,010) / 46.4% (2,590) | +13pp ±1 | 18,600 |
node cli.js roster-ablate 157943 3.node cli.js roster-ablate <team> <slot>.| Pokémon | picked | leads when picked | opening moves | share of team’s KOs | share of damage | wins when picked / benched |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feraligatr |
92.0% | 32.5% | liquidation 86.7% rockslide 5.9% |
45.2% | 36.8% | 50.8% / 16.7% |
| Corviknight |
97.3% | 70.6% | tailwind 36.3% bravebird 29.0% |
18.9% | 16.7% | 48.0% / 52.8% |
| Staraptor |
100.0% | 95.1% | closecombat 55.0% bravebird 35.0% |
13.7% | 25.7% | 48.1% / — |
| Goodra |
44.1% | 0.3% | dracometeor 100.0% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 53.8% / 43.5% |
| Excadrill |
43.2% | 14.0% | ironhead 63.4% protect 31.7% |
6.8% | 7.0% | 39.1% / 54.9% |
| Typhlosion-Hisui |
23.3% | 0.0% | — | 4.4% | 4.9% | 43.7% / 49.4% |
CorviknightleadStaraptorleadFeraligatrin backTyphlosion-Hisuiin backCorviknight most often opens Tailwind (57% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Staraptor most often opens Brave Bird (95% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 66.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Corviknight Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Goodrabenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Feraligatrbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Typhlosion-Hisuibacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Excadrillbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Reflect + Tailwind
FeraligatrleadStaraptorleadCorviknightin backGoodrain backFeraligatr most often opens Liquidation (94% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (100% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 68.3% over 52 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Feraligatr Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Goodrabacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Feraligatrleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Typhlosion-Hisuibenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Excadrillbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Corviknightbacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Tailwind
FeraligatrleadStaraptorleadCorviknightin backGoodrain backFeraligatr most often opens Liquidation (92% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (80% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 28.2% over 39 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Feraligatr Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Goodrabacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Feraligatrleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Typhlosion-Hisuibenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Excadrillbencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four
Corviknightbacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Tailwind
CorviknightleadStaraptorleadExcadrillin backFeraligatrin backCorviknight most often opens Brave Bird (35% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (58% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 25.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Corviknight Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Goodrabenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Feraligatrbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Typhlosion-Hisuibencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four
Excadrillbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Tailwind
CorviknightleadStaraptorleadExcadrillin backTyphlosion-Hisuiin backCorviknight most often opens Reflect (56% of its leads) — it reduces incoming physical damage.
Staraptor most often opens Brave Bird (100% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 23.5% over 34 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Corviknight Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Goodrabenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Feraligatrbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Typhlosion-Hisuibacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; selected for direct matchup pressure
Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Reflect + Tailwind
CorviknightleadStaraptorleadFeraligatrin backGoodrain backCorviknight most often opens Tailwind (55% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (73% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 43.3% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Corviknight Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Goodrabacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Feraligatrbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Typhlosion-Hisuibenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Excadrillbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Tailwind
CorviknightleadStaraptorleadExcadrillin backFeraligatrin backCorviknight most often opens Tailwind (53% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (88% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 42.4% over 59 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Corviknight Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Goodrabenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Feraligatrbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Typhlosion-Hisuibenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Tailwind
CorviknightleadStaraptorleadFeraligatrin backGoodrain backCorviknight most often opens Brave Bird (42% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Staraptor most often opens Close Combat (43% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 77.5% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Staraptor Corviknight Staraptorleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Goodrabacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Feraligatrbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Typhlosion-Hisuibenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Excadrillbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Reflect + Tailwind
| search rating | 1664 the lab’s own search ladder. It tracks the verified Elo almost exactly (r≈0.99 across the top 30) and is not evidence — the verified rating above is the one that counts. |
| rating uncertainty | ±45 at the ladder’s floor — this team has played far too many series for the rating to move much, which is true of every team on this board. |
| sample | 23,108 verified games · 656 opponents · 80 distinct cores |
| vs fixed references | 81.4% of games (18,820 of 23,108) games played against the lab’s fixed sparring teams. They count as rating evidence, but a record built mostly on them generalises less. |
| all verified matchups | Kingambit 87.5% 360 gamesFarigiraf 72.5% 360 gamesSylveon 70.0% 360 gamesangrypnuts (tournament team) 64.2% 316 gamesSylveon 64.2% 288 gamesAerodactyl-Mega 60.0% 360 gamesIncineroar 56.9% 288 gamesStaraptor-Mega 55.0% 360 gamesfrancescopiopero (tournament team) 50.0% 336 gamesIncineroar 45.0% 360 gamesArchaludon 32.5% 360 gamesGholdengo 30.0% 360 games |
Sylveon @ Fairy Feather Ability: Pixilate Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 SpA / 32 Spe Modest Nature - Hyper Voice - Hyper Beam - Helping Hand - Reflect Gyarados @ Gyaradosite Ability: Intimidate Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 Atk / 32 Spe Adamant Nature - Waterfall - Protect - Rain Dance - Crunch Hydreigon @ Choice Scarf Ability: Levitate Level: 50 EVs: 6 HP / 32 SpA / 28 Spe Modest Nature - Dark Pulse - Draco Meteor - Snarl - Earth Power Corviknight @ Sitrus Berry Ability: Mirror Armor Level: 50 EVs: 24 HP / 29 Def / 2 SpD / 11 Spe Impish Nature - Reflect - Tailwind - Brave Bird - Body Press Excadrill @ Muscle Band Ability: Sand Force Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 7 Atk / 10 Def / 17 SpD Relaxed Nature - Iron Head - Protect - High Horsepower - Earthquake Garchomp @ Garchompite Ability: Sand Veil Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 14 Def / 20 SpD Jolly Nature - Draco Meteor - Earthquake - Rock Slide - Bulldoze
Based on 23,108 verified Showdown games under the current rules, against 656 different opponents.
Two kinds of evidence appear here, and they are not equal.
Verified numbers come from real Pokémon Showdown battles played under the current ruleset — the engine the game is actually played on. These are the numbers that count.
Practice sim numbers come from a fast approximate simulator the lab uses to scout habits: which four get picked, who leads, what moves open the game. Good for reading tendencies, but hypotheses only — a practice-sim number is never proof and is always labelled.
Confidence chips grade the verified sample: Strong evidence means 500+ verified games against 8+ different opponents; Established 200+ against 6+; Still developing 60+ against 3+; Early anything less. “Scouting probe out of date” means the habit data was recorded before the latest rules update — the verified record itself is always current.
A “game” is counted from this team’s side of a battle. “Picked” means chosen among the four Pokémon actually brought to a battle — teams register six, only four play.
Corviknight Sylveon Gyarados HydreigonWon 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 0% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 0% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 0% of 24 verified games against it.
under max scrutiny: vs Incineroar (engine) 45.0% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs Archaludon (engine) 32.5% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs Gholdengo (engine) 30.0% (crucible, real engine)
Sylveondefault core100.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Corviknightdefault core97.7%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 98% of games.
Gyaradosdefault core90.7%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 91% of games.
Hydreigonflex pick53.3%of games pickedPicked or benched depending on the opponent (53% of games overall); the matchup decides.
Garchompflex pick48.5%of games pickedPicked or benched depending on the opponent (49% of games overall); the matchup decides.
Excadrillspecialist9.7%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 10% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
| Pokémon | verdict | picked | wins when picked / benched | swing | verified games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sylveon |
pulls its weight | 99.9% (19,202/19,228) | 58.4% (19,202) / 15.4% (26) | +43pp ±10 | 19,228 |
| Gyarados |
core pick | 79.8% (15,339/19,228) | 57.8% (15,339) / 60.6% (3,889) | -3pp ±1 | 19,228 |
| Hydreigon |
role player | 74.7% (14,369/19,228) | 56.6% (14,369) / 63.5% (4,859) | -7pp ±1 | 19,228 |
| Corviknight |
core pick | 82.8% (15,919/19,228) | 59.1% (15,919) / 54.9% (3,309) | +4pp ±1 | 19,228 |
| Excadrill |
matchup specialist | 8.2% (1,579/19,228) | 66.4% (1,579) / 57.6% (17,649) | +9pp ±1 | 19,228 |
| Garchomp |
role player | 54.6% (10,504/19,228) | 59.2% (10,504) / 57.4% (8,724) | +2pp ±1 | 19,228 |
node cli.js roster-ablate <team> <slot>.| Pokémon | picked | leads when picked | opening moves | share of team’s KOs | share of damage | wins when picked / benched |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gyarados |
90.7% | 3.5% | waterfall 63.6% protect 27.3% |
27.0% | 25.2% | 43.3% / 32.8% |
| Sylveon |
100.0% | 97.5% | hypervoice 55.7% hyperbeam 8.3% |
20.8% | 25.2% | 42.3% / — |
| Garchomp |
48.5% | 9.0% | rockslide 43.3% dracometeor 33.3% |
18.8% | 18.6% | 46.4% / 38.4% |
| Corviknight |
97.7% | 95.4% | tailwind 35.3% reflect 23.2% |
18.0% | 15.7% | 42.9% / 18.8% |
| Hydreigon |
53.3% | 2.7% | dracometeor 70.0% snarl 20.0% |
14.0% | 14.2% | 39.2% / 45.8% |
| Excadrill |
9.7% | 3.0% | ironhead 50.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 23.9% / 44.3% |
CorviknightleadSylveonleadGarchompin backGyaradosin backCorviknight most often opens Tailwind (63% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Sylveon most often opens Hyper Voice (52% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 68.3% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Sylveon Corviknight Sylveonleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Helping Hand + Reflect
Gyaradosbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Hydreigonbencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; offers Snarl
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Excadrillbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Garchompbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; offers Bulldoze
CorviknightleadSylveonleadGarchompin backGyaradosin backCorviknight most often opens Tailwind (12% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Sylveon most often opens Hyper Voice (23% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 25.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Sylveon Corviknight Sylveonleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Helping Hand + Reflect
Gyaradosbacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Hydreigonbencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; offers Snarl
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Excadrillbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Garchompbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Bulldoze
CorviknightleadSylveonleadGyaradosin backHydreigonin backCorviknight most often opens Reflect (64% of its leads) — it reduces incoming physical damage.
Sylveon most often opens Hyper Voice (82% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 16.9% over 59 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Sylveon Corviknight Sylveonleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Helping Hand + Reflect
Gyaradosbacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Hydreigonbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Snarl
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Excadrillbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Garchompbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Bulldoze
CorviknightleadSylveonleadGyaradosin backHydreigonin backCorviknight most often opens Brave Bird (40% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Sylveon most often opens Hyper Voice (97% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 20.8% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Sylveon Corviknight Sylveonleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Helping Hand + Reflect
Gyaradosbacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Hydreigonbacka flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; offers Snarl
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Excadrillbencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four
Garchompbencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; offers Bulldoze
CorviknightleadSylveonleadGyaradosin backHydreigonin backCorviknight most often opens Reflect (73% of its leads) — it reduces incoming physical damage.
Sylveon supplies a frequent selection in this matchup; offers Helping Hand + Reflect.
Record with this lead pair: 65.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Corviknight Sylveonleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Helping Hand + Reflect
Gyaradosbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Hydreigonbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Snarl
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Excadrillbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Garchompbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Bulldoze
CorviknightleadSylveonleadGarchompin backGyaradosin backCorviknight most often opens Tailwind (78% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Sylveon most often opens Hyper Voice (88% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 71.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Sylveon Corviknight Sylveonleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Helping Hand + Reflect
Gyaradosbacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Hydreigonbencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four; offers Snarl
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Excadrillbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Garchompbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Bulldoze
CorviknightleadSylveonleadGyaradosin backHydreigonin backCorviknight most often opens Reflect (52% of its leads) — it reduces incoming physical damage.
Sylveon most often opens Hyper Voice (88% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 31.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Sylveon Corviknight Sylveonleada frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Helping Hand + Reflect
Gyaradosbacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Intimidate
Hydreigonbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Snarl
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; directly reduces physical damage; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Excadrillbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Garchompbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Bulldoze
CorviknightleadSylveonleadGarchompin backGyaradosin backCorviknight most often opens Tailwind (63% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Sylveon most often opens Hyper Voice (13% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 34.2% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Sylveon Corviknight Sylveonleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Helping Hand + Reflect
Gyaradosbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Intimidate
Hydreigonbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Snarl
Corviknightleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Reflect + Tailwind
Excadrillbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Garchompbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Bulldoze
| search rating | 1656 the lab’s own search ladder. It tracks the verified Elo almost exactly (r≈0.99 across the top 30) and is not evidence — the verified rating above is the one that counts. |
| rating uncertainty | ±45 at the ladder’s floor — this team has played far too many series for the rating to move much, which is true of every team on this board. |
| sample | 21,994 verified games · 607 opponents · 51 distinct cores |
| vs fixed references | 92.9% of games (20,440 of 21,994) games played against the lab’s fixed sparring teams. They count as rating evidence, but a record built mostly on them generalises less. |
| practice-sim score | 60.1% ≈69.0% calibrated the fast simulator’s own guess — a hypothesis, not a result. it currently reads about 9 points cold versus real Showdown. |
| hidden-teams Bo3 (sim) | 70.8% practice-sim best-of-3 with team sheets hidden — a habit probe. |
| any-pilot floor | 56.3% worst result across several competent play styles; the styles disagree by 5 points. A team only a perfect pilot can win with scores low here. |
| surprise bonus | +18 pts how much more it wins when its sets are hidden, on the same opponents. |
| all verified matchups | ux9p70xuw8yanagitpoke (tournament team) 92.9% 336 gamesFarigiraf 90.0% 320 gamesSylveon 85.0% 320 gamesAerodactyl-Mega 77.5% 320 gamesgmkxphas7didntfwelon (tournament team) 75.4% 720 gameswolfeglick (tournament team) 68.8% 336 gamesIncineroar 62.5% 320 gamesfrancescopiopero (tournament team) 61.3% 592 gamesKingambit 60.0% 320 gamesericrios (tournament team) 58.7% 424 gamesqy3xfxcejakim0227poke (tournament team) 48.1% 480 gamesStaraptor-Mega 37.5% 320 games |
Swampert @ Swampertite Ability: Torrent Level: 50 EVs: 29 Atk / 5 SpD / 32 Spe Adamant Nature - Protect - Wave Crash - Ice Punch - Earthquake Pelipper @ Scope Lens Ability: Drizzle Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 SpA / 32 Spe Calm Nature - Hurricane - Weather Ball - Tailwind - Wide Guard Charizard @ Choice Scarf Ability: Blaze Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 1 Def / 32 SpA / 1 SpD Timid Nature - Heat Wave - Solar Beam - Weather Ball - Overheat Arbok @ Muscle Band Ability: Unnerve Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 Atk / 32 Spe Careful Nature - Gunk Shot - Knock Off - Psychic Fangs - Protect Rotom-Fan @ Wise Glasses Ability: Levitate Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 SpA / 4 SpD / 28 Spe Modest Nature - Thunderbolt - Air Slash - Dark Pulse - Protect Tyranitar @ Expert Belt Ability: Sand Stream Level: 50 EVs: 32 Atk / 2 SpD / 32 Spe Adamant Nature - Rock Slide - Knock Off - Ice Punch - Low Kick
Based on 21,994 verified Showdown games under the current rules, against 607 different opponents.
Two kinds of evidence appear here, and they are not equal.
Verified numbers come from real Pokémon Showdown battles played under the current ruleset — the engine the game is actually played on. These are the numbers that count.
Practice sim numbers come from a fast approximate simulator the lab uses to scout habits: which four get picked, who leads, what moves open the game. Good for reading tendencies, but hypotheses only — a practice-sim number is never proof and is always labelled.
Confidence chips grade the verified sample: Strong evidence means 500+ verified games against 8+ different opponents; Established 200+ against 6+; Still developing 60+ against 3+; Early anything less. “Scouting probe out of date” means the habit data was recorded before the latest rules update — the verified record itself is always current.
A “game” is counted from this team’s side of a battle. “Picked” means chosen among the four Pokémon actually brought to a battle — teams register six, only four play.
Pelipper Swampert Rotom-Fan TyranitarWon 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Wins 63% of verified games when it plays (17,309 games) versus 72% when it is benched (1,135). A pattern from matchup choices, not proof — roster-ablate is the definitive test.
Chosen for the battle in only 0% of 18,444 verified games — a roster slot doing very little work.
Won only 0% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 0% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 4% of 24 verified games against it.
under max scrutiny: vs Archaludon (engine) 22.5% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs Staraptor-Mega (engine) 37.5% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs aggro players 45.8% (crucible, real engine)
Swampertdefault core100.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Pelipperdefault core100.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Tyranitardefault core98.5%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 99% of games.
Rotom-Fanflex pick61.5%of games pickedPicked or benched depending on the opponent (62% of games overall); the matchup decides.
Charizardspecialist39.4%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 39% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
Arbokspecialist0.6%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 1% of games.
| Pokémon | verdict | picked | wins when picked / benched | swing | verified games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swampert |
core pick | 100.0% (18,444/18,444) | 64.0% (18,444) / never benched | — | 18,444 |
| Pelipper |
core pick | 100.0% (18,444/18,444) | 64.0% (18,444) / never benched | — | 18,444 |
| Charizard |
role player | 43.1% (7,949/18,444) | 67.4% (7,949) / 61.4% (10,495) | +6pp ±1 | 18,444 |
| Arbok |
rarely picked | 0.0% (8/18,444) | 75.0% (8) / 64.0% (18,436) | +11pp ±18 | 18,444 |
| Rotom-Fan |
role player | 63.0% (11,622/18,444) | 62.5% (11,622) / 66.6% (6,822) | -4pp ±1 | 18,444 |
| Tyranitar |
wins more when benched | 93.8% (17,309/18,444) | 63.5% (17,309) / 72.2% (1,135) | -9pp ±2 | 18,444 |
node cli.js roster-ablate 195888 5.node cli.js roster-ablate <team> <slot>.| Pokémon | picked | leads when picked | opening moves | share of team’s KOs | share of damage | wins when picked / benched |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swampert |
100.0% | 99.3% | wavecrash 48.8% icepunch 35.1% |
45.2% | 48.1% | 59.5% / — |
| Tyranitar |
98.5% | 0.4% | knockoff 33.3% | 28.4% | 22.3% | 59.8% / 40.0% |
| Pelipper |
100.0% | 100.0% | weatherball 50.2% tailwind 27.9% |
14.1% | 16.9% | 59.5% / — |
| Rotom-Fan |
61.5% | 0.0% | — | 7.4% | 8.5% | 59.3% / 59.9% |
| Charizard |
39.4% | 0.7% | weatherball 100.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 59.0% / 59.9% |
| Arbok |
0.6% | 0.0% | — | 0.1% | 0.1% | 75.0% / 59.5% |
PelipperleadSwampertleadCharizardin backTyranitarin backPelipper most often opens Weather Ball (18% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Swampert most often opens Ice Punch (87% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 48.3% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Swampert Pelipper Swampertleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Pelipperleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Tailwind + Wide Guard + rain setter
Charizardbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Arbokbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Rotom-Fanbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Tyranitarbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
PelipperleadSwampertleadCharizardin backTyranitarin backPelipper most often opens Weather Ball (97% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Swampert most often opens Wave Crash (60% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 31.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Swampert Pelipper Swampertleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Pelipperleada frequent selection in this matchup; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Tailwind + Wide Guard + rain setter
Charizardbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Arbokbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Rotom-Fanbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Tyranitarbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
PelipperleadSwampertleadRotom-Fanin backTyranitarin backPelipper most often opens Tailwind (63% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Swampert most often opens Ice Punch (57% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 93.3% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Swampert Pelipper Swampertleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Pelipperleada frequent selection in this matchup; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Tailwind + Wide Guard + rain setter
Charizardbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Arbokbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Rotom-Fanbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Tyranitarbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
PelipperleadSwampertleadCharizardin backTyranitarin backPelipper most often opens Weather Ball (82% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Swampert most often opens Ice Punch (60% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 76.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Swampert Pelipper Swampertleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Pelipperleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Tailwind + Wide Guard + rain setter
Charizardbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Arbokbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Rotom-Fanbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Tyranitarbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
PelipperleadSwampertleadRotom-Fanin backTyranitarin backPelipper most often opens Hurricane (40% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Swampert most often opens Wave Crash (53% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 23.3% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Swampert Pelipper Swampertleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Pelipperleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Tailwind + Wide Guard + rain setter
Charizardbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Arbokbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Rotom-Fanbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Tyranitarbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
PelipperleadSwampertleadRotom-Fanin backTyranitarin backPelipper most often opens Tailwind (52% of its leads) — it establishes immediate speed control.
Swampert most often opens Ice Punch (63% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 40.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Swampert Pelipper Swampertleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Pelipperleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Tailwind + Wide Guard + rain setter
Charizardbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Arbokbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Rotom-Fanbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Tyranitarbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
PelipperleadSwampertleadRotom-Fanin backTyranitarin backPelipper most often opens Weather Ball (82% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Swampert most often opens Wave Crash (73% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 65.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Swampert Pelipper Swampertleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Pelipperleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Tailwind + Wide Guard + rain setter
Charizardbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Arbokbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Rotom-Fanbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Tyranitarbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
PelipperleadSwampertleadRotom-Fanin backTyranitarin backPelipper most often opens Weather Ball (58% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Swampert most often opens Earthquake (83% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 80.8% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Swampert Pelipper Swampertleada frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Pelipperleada frequent selection in this matchup; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Tailwind + Wide Guard + rain setter
Charizardbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Arbokbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Rotom-Fanbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Tyranitarbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
| search rating | 1661 the lab’s own search ladder. It tracks the verified Elo almost exactly (r≈0.99 across the top 30) and is not evidence — the verified rating above is the one that counts. |
| rating uncertainty | ±45 at the ladder’s floor — this team has played far too many series for the rating to move much, which is true of every team on this board. |
| sample | 22,124 verified games · 626 opponents · 81 distinct cores |
| vs fixed references | 82.5% of games (18,248 of 22,124) games played against the lab’s fixed sparring teams. They count as rating evidence, but a record built mostly on them generalises less. |
| all verified matchups | francescopiopero (tournament team) 96.0% 348 gamesarsalpuri (tournament team) 95.0% 300 gamesKingambit 81.4% 312 gamesKingambit 80.0% 400 gamesAerodactyl-Mega 80.0% 400 gamesFarigiraf 77.5% 400 gamesSylveon 75.0% 400 gamesux9p70xuw8yanagitpoke (tournament team) 75.0% 408 gamesIncineroar 47.5% 400 gamesStaraptor-Mega 37.5% 400 gamesArchaludon 35.0% 400 gamesGholdengo 20.0% 400 games |
Tyranitar @ Choice Scarf Ability: Sand Stream Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 Atk / 32 Spe Adamant Nature - Rock Slide - Knock Off - Ice Punch - Low Kick Excadrill @ Focus Sash Ability: Sand Rush Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 Atk / 32 Spe Adamant Nature - Iron Head - Protect - Rock Slide - Earthquake Dragonite @ Dragoninite Ability: Multiscale Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 SpA / 32 Spe Modest Nature - Protect - Dragon Pulse - Fire Blast - Tailwind Scizor @ Life Orb Ability: Technician Level: 50 EVs: 30 HP / 30 Atk / 2 SpD / 4 Spe Jolly Nature - Bullet Punch - Protect - Bug Bite - Swords Dance Rotom-Mow @ Wise Glasses Ability: Levitate Level: 50 EVs: 2 HP / 32 SpA / 32 Spe Modest Nature - Leaf Storm - Volt Switch - Will-O-Wisp - Thunderbolt Steelix @ Leftovers Ability: Sturdy Level: 50 EVs: 32 HP / 1 Atk / 13 Def / 20 SpD Careful Nature - Heavy Slam - Wide Guard - Body Press - Earthquake
Based on 22,124 verified Showdown games under the current rules, against 626 different opponents.
Two kinds of evidence appear here, and they are not equal.
Verified numbers come from real Pokémon Showdown battles played under the current ruleset — the engine the game is actually played on. These are the numbers that count.
Practice sim numbers come from a fast approximate simulator the lab uses to scout habits: which four get picked, who leads, what moves open the game. Good for reading tendencies, but hypotheses only — a practice-sim number is never proof and is always labelled.
Confidence chips grade the verified sample: Strong evidence means 500+ verified games against 8+ different opponents; Established 200+ against 6+; Still developing 60+ against 3+; Early anything less. “Scouting probe out of date” means the habit data was recorded before the latest rules update — the verified record itself is always current.
A “game” is counted from this team’s side of a battle. “Picked” means chosen among the four Pokémon actually brought to a battle — teams register six, only four play.
Dragonite Tyranitar Excadrill SteelixWon 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Won 100% of 24 verified games against it.
Wins 56% of verified games when it plays (4,422 games) versus 65% when it is benched (13,302). A pattern from matchup choices, not proof — roster-ablate is the definitive test.
Won only 0% of 24 verified games against it.
Won only 0% of 20 verified games against it.
Won only 4% of 48 verified games against it.
under max scrutiny: vs Incineroar (engine) 47.5% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs Archaludon (engine) 35.0% (crucible, real engine)
under max scrutiny: vs Staraptor-Mega (engine) 37.5% (crucible, real engine)
Dragonitedefault core100.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Tyranitardefault core100.0%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 100% of games.
Excadrilldefault core93.2%of games pickedPart of the default four — picked in 93% of games.
Steelixflex pick52.7%of games pickedPicked or benched depending on the opponent (53% of games overall); the matchup decides.
Rotom-Mowspecialist44.0%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 44% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
Scizorspecialist10.2%of games pickedA specialist, picked in 10% of games — and almost only for specific matchups.
| Pokémon | verdict | picked | wins when picked / benched | swing | verified games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyranitar |
core pick | 100.0% (17,724/17,724) | 62.5% (17,724) / never benched | — | 17,724 |
| Excadrill |
pulls its weight | 94.1% (16,673/17,724) | 63.4% (16,673) / 48.0% (1,051) | +15pp ±2 | 17,724 |
| Dragonite |
core pick | 100.0% (17,724/17,724) | 62.5% (17,724) / never benched | — | 17,724 |
| Scizor |
matchup specialist | 22.1% (3,915/17,724) | 70.9% (3,915) / 60.1% (13,809) | +11pp ±1 | 17,724 |
| Rotom-Mow |
role player | 58.9% (10,438/17,724) | 60.5% (10,438) / 65.4% (7,286) | -5pp ±1 | 17,724 |
| Steelix |
wins more when benched | 24.9% (4,422/17,724) | 56.4% (4,422) / 64.5% (13,302) | -8pp ±1 | 17,724 |
node cli.js roster-ablate 27669 5.node cli.js roster-ablate <team> <slot>.| Pokémon | picked | leads when picked | opening moves | share of team’s KOs | share of damage | wins when picked / benched |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dragonite |
100.0% | 100.0% | dragonpulse 61.4% protect 18.1% |
34.3% | 33.2% | 49.0% / — |
| Tyranitar |
100.0% | 100.0% | rockslide 57.2% knockoff 6.6% |
24.6% | 29.0% | 49.0% / — |
| Excadrill |
93.2% | 0.0% | — | 24.0% | 23.9% | 50.9% / 22.8% |
| Rotom-Mow |
44.0% | 0.0% | — | 8.2% | 6.6% | 46.3% / 51.1% |
| Steelix |
52.7% | 0.0% | — | 6.9% | 6.1% | 46.6% / 51.6% |
| Scizor |
10.2% | 0.0% | — | 1.9% | 1.3% | 55.1% / 48.3% |
DragoniteleadTyranitarleadExcadrillin backSteelixin backDragonite most often opens Dragon Pulse (58% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Rock Slide (100% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 75.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Tyranitar Dragonite Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Dragoniteleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Scizorbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Rotom-Mowbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Will-O-Wisp
Steelixbacka frequent selection in this matchup; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Wide Guard
DragoniteleadTyranitarleadExcadrillin backSteelixin backDragonite most often opens Dragon Pulse (98% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Rock Slide (48% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 31.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Tyranitar Dragonite Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Dragoniteleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Tailwind
Scizorbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Rotom-Mowbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; directly reduces physical damage; offers Will-O-Wisp
Steelixbacka frequent selection in this matchup; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Wide Guard
DragoniteleadTyranitarleadExcadrillin backRotom-Mowin backDragonite most often opens Dragon Pulse (58% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Rock Slide (95% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 50.0% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Tyranitar Dragonite Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Dragoniteleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Tailwind
Scizorbencha flexible preview choice rather than part of the automatic four
Rotom-Mowbacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Will-O-Wisp
Steelixbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Wide Guard
DragoniteleadTyranitarleadExcadrillin backSteelixin backDragonite most often opens Dragon Pulse (38% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Rock Slide (93% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 52.5% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Tyranitar Dragonite Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Dragoniteleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Scizorbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Rotom-Mowbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; directly reduces physical damage; offers Will-O-Wisp
Steelixbacka frequent selection in this matchup; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Wide Guard
DragoniteleadTyranitarleadExcadrillin backRotom-Mowin backDragonite most often opens Dragon Pulse (87% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Rock Slide (57% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 66.7% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Tyranitar Dragonite Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Dragoniteleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Scizorbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Rotom-Mowbacka frequent selection in this matchup; offers Will-O-Wisp
Steelixbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Wide Guard
DragoniteleadTyranitarleadExcadrillin backRotom-Mowin backDragonite most often opens Dragon Pulse (80% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Rock Slide (8% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 13.3% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Tyranitar Dragonite Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Dragoniteleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Scizorbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Rotom-Mowbacka frequent selection in this matchup; directly reduces physical damage; offers Will-O-Wisp
Steelixbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Wide Guard
DragoniteleadTyranitarleadExcadrillin backSteelixin backDragonite most often opens Protect (38% of its leads) — it scouts the opening and preserves board position.
Tyranitar most often opens Rock Slide (88% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 57.5% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Tyranitar Dragonite Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Dragoniteleada frequent selection in this matchup; can contest the speed race; offers Tailwind
Scizorbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Rotom-Mowbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; directly reduces physical damage; offers Will-O-Wisp
Steelixbacka frequent selection in this matchup; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Wide Guard
DragoniteleadTyranitarleadExcadrillin backSteelixin backDragonite most often opens Fire Blast (53% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Tyranitar most often opens Knock Off (35% of its leads) — it applies immediate damage pressure.
Record with this lead pair: 23.3% over 60 games. That shows what the team chose, not proof the choice is best.
Tyranitar Dragonite Tyranitarleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers sand setter
Excadrillbacka frequent selection in this matchup; selected for direct matchup pressure
Dragoniteleada frequent selection in this matchup; offers Tailwind
Scizorbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed
Rotom-Mowbenchusually held out unless its narrow coverage is needed; offers Will-O-Wisp
Steelixbacka frequent selection in this matchup; can blank spread damage with Wide Guard; offers Wide Guard